อารมณ์ตลาด BTC พลิกสู่ความโลภอย่างรวดเร็ว แต่เส้นค่าเฉลี่ย 52 สัปดาห์ยังไม่ทะลุผ่านอย่างมีประสิทธิภาพ สัปดาห์นี้จับตาจุดสิ้นสุดของจุดที่ 5 และโหนดการสร้างศูนย์กลาง B HYPE เข้าสู่ช่วงการสร้างศูนย์กลางที่สองพร้อมกัน โซนแนวรับ 73–77 ดอลลาร์เป็นจุดสังเกตระยะสั้นที่สำคัญ

强势拉升之后往往伴随着关键阻力位的博弈与波动的加剧。

สัปดาห์นี้ตลาดอยู่ในช่วงสำคัญของการตรวจสอบโครงสร้าง: การปรับฐานรายวันของ BTC จะสามารถทรงตัวเหนือระดับ 60,950 ดอลลาร์ได้หรือไม่ และ HYPE จะสามารถยืนเหนือโซนแนวต้าน 58–58.5 ดอลลาร์ได้อย่างมีประสิทธิภาพเพื่อสร้างส่วนออกจากศูนย์กลาง (central exit segment) หรือไม่ ซึ่งเป็นสองประเด็นหลักที่กำหนดทิศทางของตลาดในระยะต่อไป

本周比特币日线级别c浪反弹仍在延续，币价自62,268美元低点启动，能否有效突破65,700～67,300美元关键阻力区，是本周结构验证的核心；HYPE则在长期上升趋势线、下降通道下轨与50～52美元三重支撑交汇区获得支撑，日线级别反弹信号已初步显现，能否站稳并向下降通道上轨发起挑战仍待确认。

本周比特币日线级别b浪调整已运行12天并下探至62,268美元，能否于60,900～61,500美元获得支撑决定日线结构是否终结；HYPE则运行至日线c浪末端的50～52美元关键支撑区，超卖信号连续触发但方向尚未确认。

BTC日线a浪反弹或已于7月21日在66,955美元见顶，转入b浪调整，本周关注65,700美元回抽及60,950～61,500美元支撑；HYPE则在60～63.5美元关键阻力带争夺，上周空单已验证获利1.70%。

BTC continues its rebound from the 57,820 low, with this week focusing on the key resistance test at 65,700～67,300; if it stalls and pulls back, the medium-term bearish outlook persists; if it breaks through effectively, the short-term structure turns bullish. HYPE has been in a continuous correction from its 72.97 high, with this week focusing on the outcome of the battle in the 62～63.5 region; the medium-term remains bearish-dominated, with short-term A/B plans flexibly executed based on model signals.

This week, BTC is in a "descending central extension" phase on the daily level, with short-term movements expected to be dominated by consolidation and range-bound trading. The core focus is on the tug-of-war between the resistance level at $64,700 and the support range of $60,950 to $62,000. Midline short positions should be maintained at around 20%. Meanwhile, HYPE has confirmed resistance near $72.97. The key this week is the termination point of the "Endpoint 62" adjustment and whether the rebound can re-establish above $72.97. If not, it is recommended to build short positions on rallies.

BTC日线四段调整临近尾声，本周需重点关注57,820美元反弹高点能否突破65,700～67,300美元压力区；HYPE则在7段式反弹接近76.94美元历史高位区域后转为防守，本周策略以逢高锁盈、止损上移保护利润为主。

This week, we focus on tracking the formation location of the "End Point 44" in the final phase of BTC's five-wave adjustment structure. A price above $58,110 would trigger a rebound plan; otherwise, be wary of further breakdowns. Simultaneously, observe whether HYPE's "End Point 56" forms a double bottom pattern. If it stabilizes in the support zone, consider a light long position.

เกมในสัปดาห์สำคัญ: การยืนยันการดีดกลับของ BTC และการแย่งชิงแนวรับของ HYPE | บทวิเคราะห์พิเศษ

BTC's pullback battle after standing above $65,000 and HYPE's resistance zone hold test are the two core themes this week. The US-Iran agreement triggered a sharp repricing of global assets; the louder the noise, the more important the structure becomes.

Bitcoin has effectively broken below the $60,000 mark since June 5, leading to the full establishment of a monthly a-b-c three-wave adjustment structure. The current c-wave decline is still in its early stages. This week, the core focus will be on the performance at two key resistance zones: $65,000 and $69,500～$70,500, maintaining a mid-term bearish outlook. HYPE's top warning signal from last week has been validated, with the price retracing a maximum of 27% from $75.87. This week, it enters the support zone for short-term positioning. The primary entry signal is a stabilization indication in the $55～$57 range, with the strategy mainly involving light long positions.

The $75,000–$76,000 range is the most critical resistance test area for BTC this week. The operational strategy should lean bearish, with both Plan A and Plan B prepared. For HYPE, focus on the performance of the $62.5–$64.75 support zone; enter long positions if it stabilizes, but expect deeper corrections if it breaks down.

This week, the focus is on the tug-of-war between long and short positions in BTC's resistance zone of $78,500 to $79,500 and its support zone of $73,500 to $75,000. The medium-term strategy is to stay on the sidelines, while the short-term strategy offers two plans: shorting on rallies and shorting on breakdowns of support. HYPE has exhibited a top signal and momentum divergence near the endpoint of 45. The strategy shifts to waiting for a pullback to the $47.5 to $50 range before going long on dips.