BTC continues its rebound from the 57,820 low, with this week focusing on the key resistance test at 65,700～67,300; if it stalls and pulls back, the medium-term bearish outlook persists; if it breaks through effectively, the short-term structure turns bullish. HYPE has been in a continuous correction from its 72.97 high, with this week focusing on the outcome of the battle in the 62～63.5 region; the medium-term remains bearish-dominated, with short-term A/B plans flexibly executed based on model signals.

This week, BTC is in a "descending central extension" phase on the daily level, with short-term movements expected to be dominated by consolidation and range-bound trading. The core focus is on the tug-of-war between the resistance level at $64,700 and the support range of $60,950 to $62,000. Midline short positions should be maintained at around 20%. Meanwhile, HYPE has confirmed resistance near $72.97. The key this week is the termination point of the "Endpoint 62" adjustment and whether the rebound can re-establish above $72.97. If not, it is recommended to build short positions on rallies.

BTC日线四段调整临近尾声，本周需重点关注57,820美元反弹高点能否突破65,700～67,300美元压力区；HYPE则在7段式反弹接近76.94美元历史高位区域后转为防守，本周策略以逢高锁盈、止损上移保护利润为主。

This week, we focus on tracking the formation location of the "End Point 44" in the final phase of BTC's five-wave adjustment structure. A price above $58,110 would trigger a rebound plan; otherwise, be wary of further breakdowns. Simultaneously, observe whether HYPE's "End Point 56" forms a double bottom pattern. If it stabilizes in the support zone, consider a light long position.

เกมในสัปดาห์สำคัญ: การยืนยันการดีดกลับของ BTC และการแย่งชิงแนวรับของ HYPE | บทวิเคราะห์พิเศษ

BTC's pullback battle after standing above $65,000 and HYPE's resistance zone hold test are the two core themes this week. The US-Iran agreement triggered a sharp repricing of global assets; the louder the noise, the more important the structure becomes.

Bitcoin has effectively broken below the $60,000 mark since June 5, leading to the full establishment of a monthly a-b-c three-wave adjustment structure. The current c-wave decline is still in its early stages. This week, the core focus will be on the performance at two key resistance zones: $65,000 and $69,500～$70,500, maintaining a mid-term bearish outlook. HYPE's top warning signal from last week has been validated, with the price retracing a maximum of 27% from $75.87. This week, it enters the support zone for short-term positioning. The primary entry signal is a stabilization indication in the $55～$57 range, with the strategy mainly involving light long positions.

The $75,000–$76,000 range is the most critical resistance test area for BTC this week. The operational strategy should lean bearish, with both Plan A and Plan B prepared. For HYPE, focus on the performance of the $62.5–$64.75 support zone; enter long positions if it stabilizes, but expect deeper corrections if it breaks down.

This week, the focus is on the tug-of-war between long and short positions in BTC's resistance zone of $78,500 to $79,500 and its support zone of $73,500 to $75,000. The medium-term strategy is to stay on the sidelines, while the short-term strategy offers two plans: shorting on rallies and shorting on breakdowns of support. HYPE has exhibited a top signal and momentum divergence near the endpoint of 45. The strategy shifts to waiting for a pullback to the $47.5 to $50 range before going long on dips.

This week, we will break down two key paths for BTC — whether a new trend has started or it's a large-scale B-wave rebound. Based on this week's market outlook, we will provide specific mid-term and short-term trading strategies. Additionally, we will conduct an in-depth analysis of HYPE's daily chart structure to determine if it can still rise and how to trade it.

From a bullish perspective, an A-B-C three-wave correction has already ended at $60,000, and a new uptrend has begun; two bearish scenarios point, respectively, to a breakdown following the end of a D-wave rebound and a larger-scale C-wave sell-off.

Bitcoin has reached its most critical price level in months – the $80,000 to $81,000 range – a true fork in the road determining the bull or bear trajectory. If it breaks above, the consolidation phase ends, presenting a buying opportunity for the long side. If it fails to break through, the risk of a fakeout cannot be underestimated, and the cost of chasing longs may far outweigh missing out on the move.

Whether HYPE can break through its previous high of $45.76 and whether BTC can overcome the key resistance at $80,600.

ในสัปดาห์นี้ โครงสร้างคลื่น V รายวันของ HYPE เผชิญกับการทดสอบแนวรับสำคัญ ในขณะที่ BTC รอการเลือกทิศทางในการต่อสู้ระหว่างขาขึ้นและขาลงภายในช่วง เน้นที่จังหวะการเข้าตลาดและกลยุทธ์การเทรด

แนวโน้มของ HYPE และ BTC ในสัปดาห์ที่ผ่านมา สอดคล้องกับที่คาดการณ์ไว้เป็นอย่างมาก ตลาดยืนยันอีกครั้ง สัปดาห์นี้ทั้งคู่เผชิญกับภาวะซื้อมากเกินไปในระยะสั้นและแนวต้านสำคัญ เน้นจังหวะการเข้าตลาดและกลยุทธ์การเทรด