Monera Digital | Báo cáo tháng 6 năm 2026: Áp lực vĩ mô kéo dài, thị trường tiền mã hóa dao động tìm đáy

I. Market Review: Macro Pressure Persists, Crypto Market Tests Bottom Amidst Volatility 

In June 2026, the crypto market continued to face sustained macro pressure. The Fed's hawkish policy shift (dot plot hinting at possible rate hikes in 2026), persistent inflation, and geopolitical uncertainty (the US-Iran situation, despite signs of de-escalation, remains uncertain) jointly dominated market sentiment, leading to a further decline in risk appetite. The overall market showed a downward trend with weak absorptive capacity.

Regarding price performance, BTC oscillated in the $65,000–$68,000 range at the beginning of the month, followed by a rapid decline to around $58,000–$60,000 to test the bottom due to continued ETF outflows and negative macroeconomic factors, resulting in a significant single-month loss. ETH performed even weaker, with the ETH/BTC ratio continuing to fall to lower levels, experiencing a larger drawdown than BTC. Towards the end of the month, the ETH/BTC ratio began to stabilize and recover. BTC's market dominance remained high, altcoin liquidity was extremely weak, and total market capitalization saw a further correction.

On the capital flow front, US spot BTC ETFs recorded a record monthly net outflow of approximately $4.5 billion in June, marking the worst month ever; ETH ETFs also saw continuous net outflows, with only minor inflows on a few trading days.

Looking ahead, the price level around $58,000 has shown certain support characteristics after multiple tests. If the macro environment does not deteriorate sharply, secondary market trading opportunities will significantly outperform the primary market. In the short term, focus should be on signals of geopolitical de-escalation, the tone of the Fed meeting, and potential ETF capital re-inflows. In the medium term, we remain optimistic about a slow recovery driven by institutional allocation logic. However, if the US-Iran situation escalates again, the AI sector in US stocks continues to correct triggering broad index sell-offs, or major holders like MicroStrategy are forced to sell, the crypto market could face a severe panic-driven crash. Investment caution remains necessary, with risk management as the priority.

II. Fund Data: Steady Growth Against the Trend, Scale Continues to Climb 

Against the backdrop of overall market pressure, Monera Digital's fund continued to record positive growth in June 2026, with all core indicators performing steadily.

As of the end of June, the fund's total Assets Under Management (AUM) reached $15,194,800, a net increase of approximately $933,800 from the beginning of the month's $14,261,000, achieving a monthly growth rate of 6.55%. New capital introduced this month amounted to $933,750.

Since the fund's inception, starting from an initial $1 million in January 2026, AUM has grown continuously over six months – breaking $3,335,000 in February, surging to $6,780,500 in March, exceeding $12,130,200 in April, increasing to $14,261,000 in May, and reaching a new high of $15,194,800 in June. This represents a cumulative growth of over 15 times in six months, fully demonstrating the stability of the strategy and sustained capital appeal.

In terms of returns, the fund's actual APY stood at 28.65%, while the weighted APY reached an even higher 62.34%. In the current challenging market environment, the fund continues to generate stable, market-beating returns for investors.

III. Asset Allocation: Strategic Weight Adjustments, Proportion of Quantitative Trading Significantly Increases 

This month, the fund's total asset size was $15,194,800, with the allocation structure adjusted compared to the previous month. Proactive Trading saw an allocation of $7,637,300, accounting for 50.27% of total AUM, remaining the single largest strategy. Quantitative Trading's allocation was $6,513,700, representing 42.86% of AUM, a significant increase from last month's 26.0%, marking the main change in this month's allocation structure. Venture Investing remained unchanged at $1,000,000, accounting for 6.58%. Other Assets totaled $43,800, representing 0.29%, serving as a supplementary allocation.

Amidst the month's high market volatility and rising macro uncertainty, the team moderately increased the weight of quantitative trading to enhance the portfolio's robustness and hedging capability. Although the proportion of proactive trading decreased slightly, it remains the core engine driving overall returns. The overall allocation maintained flexibility under the principle of prioritizing risk management.

IV. Conclusion 

Facing adversity in June 2026, with the overall crypto market under pressure and record net outflows from ETF funds, Monera Digital's fund, leveraging diversified strategy allocation and a strict risk management system, achieved month-over-month growth of 6.55% and a weighted APY of 62.34%, continuously generating excess returns for investors.

Looking ahead to July, the team will prioritize risk management while closely tracking ETF capital flows, signals of geopolitical de-escalation, and changes in the tone of Fed policy. We will adjust position structures accordingly to seize the asymmetric opportunities presented by the market bottom.

Interested parties are welcome to contact us:

X: https://x.com/Monera_Digital 

TG：https://t.me/MoneraDigital_Official