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Weekly Editors' Picks Weekly Editors' Picks (0625-0701)
郝方舟
Odaily资深作者
@OdailyChina
2022-07-02 00:00
This article is about 5416 words, reading the full article takes about 8 minutes
High-quality in-depth analysis articles and weekly hot spots.

"Weekly Editor's Picks" is a "functional" column of Odaily.On the basis of covering a large amount of real-time information every week, a lot of high-quality in-depth analysis content will also be released, but they may be hidden in the information flow and hot news, and pass you by.

Now, come and read with us:

Now, come and read with us:

Investment and Entrepreneurship

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Investment and Entrepreneurship

Dismantling the beginning and end of the 2008 financial crisis: What are the similarities and differences between the Three Arrows crisis and Lehman Brothers?

The trigger points and diffusion logic of the two financial crises are very similar. However, due to the different financial ecological positions (banking & real estate VS hedge fund & digital currency), the level of impact is not the same, and the attitude of the government in the enthusiasm for rescue and supervision is also completely different.

The reasons why both are vulnerable to downtrends include: excessive debt and insecure collateral, and insufficient expectations for systemic risk.

Why did the former "bull market engine" GBTC become an "oil barrel" that caused thunderstorms in institutions?

GBTC is a bull market arbitrage machine, creating demand through a "positive premium". Only BlockFi and Three Arrows Capital accounted for 11% of GBTC holdings at one point. They used users' BTC for arbitrage and locked BTC into Grayscale: BlockFi converted BTC into GBTC, sacrificing liquidity, and gaining arbitrage opportunities; 3AC has borrowed BTC without collateral at an ultra-low interest rate for a long time and converted it into GBTC, and then mortgaged it to Genesis, a lending platform that also belongs to DCG, to obtain liquidity.

DCG is actively applying to the US SEC to convert GBTC into a Bitcoin ETF. Once successful, the ETF will track the price of Bitcoin more effectively, eliminating discounts and premiums, which means that the current negative premium of more than 35% will disappear, leaving room for arbitrage. The deadline for the SEC to approve or reject the application is July 6, so 3AC told a large number of institutions that they can obtain more than 40% of the profits in just 40 days, essentially betting that the SEC will approve the application.

Analysis of Messari’s fund holdings in the first half of the year: DOT wins again, public chain and DeFi are the most popular

In March 2021, according to Messari's analysis of 57 institutions, the five assets with the most funds held are: DOT, ROSE, NEAR, LUNA, and DYDX. Since the fourth quarter of 2021, the number of funds analyzed has increased from 57 to 82, and the number of assets has increased from 603 to 678. By the first half of 2022, the asset with the most fund holdings is still Polkadot (DOT), supported by 29 of the 82 funds; the second most widely held asset is Oasis Network (ROSE); the third is the top five Newcomer Nervos Network (CKB); tied for fourth most popular assets are dYdX (DYDX) and Radicle (RAD).

Similar to Q4 in 2021, funds have clearly shifted to smart contract platforms and DEXs. The average investor, when tracking institutional investing activity, needs to keep in mind that the institutional environment works very differently, and it is impossible for the average investor to own or use certain strategies without substantial capital. Funds are better able to weather turmoil and make profits at a lower cost.

DeFi

Explain the risk situation of stable currency in detail: Will USDT really crash?

Explain in detail the risk control mechanism of lending agreements Maker, Aave, and Compound

NFT, GameFi and Metaverse

The security of the three major lending agreement oracles is relatively good. Aave has a high capital utilization rate, and the mortgage coefficient of common assets is greater than or equal to Compound, and Aave supports stETH as collateral, and has brought deposits of more than one billion U.S. dollars to Aave. In extreme cases, both Maker and Aave can issue additional tokens and repay debts through auctions; although there is no relevant expression in Compound, it can also be completed through governance when encountering extreme situations; Maker’s emergency shutdown module is also an extreme The situation adds an insurance policy. In terms of the limit on the amount of borrowing, each Vault in Maker has a corresponding limit on borrowing, and some assets in Compound have a limit, but Aave does not have such a limit. All three can extract income from loan interest. In terms of the distribution of agreement income, Maker will use the surplus to repurchase and destroy MKR. Aave will distribute part of the income of the agreement to the pledgers in the security module. Compound relies on governance to withdraw .

NFT, GameFi and Metaverse

Multi-dimensional analysis of the giant whale's NFT bargain hunting strategy

During the decline in mid-June, the order of the giant whales’ bargain hunting was: Bored Ape Yacht Club > Yuga Labs’ other NFTs > other blue-chip and emerging projects, and the type and price of bargain hunting were related to the size of the funds.

Among the super giant whales with more than US$500,000 in bottom-hunting funds, some focus on buying a single NFT, and some have established a diversified combination of bottom-hunting; more whales choose to use a fund of 100,000 to 250,000 US dollars to buy bottoms. NFT costs also vary.

The bottom-hunting strategies of giant whales have some things in common, such as: buying in batches, buying more and more as they fall; they will also try multiple platforms such as X2Y2 and LooksRare, not limited to OpenSea.

Most people's current view of the game guild is: a group of scholars who focus on P2E games and mainly extract value from games. This is due to the token mechanism brought by the game itself, which eventually contributed to an unhealthy virtual economic cycle in the game.

Web 3.0

The ultimate goal of game guilds should be to become a value-added system of the game ecology, and guilds should also enable players to benefit from the collective, just like traditional game guilds. Specifically, the guild can build different tools (knowledge center, game media, Web3 infrastructure and tools, player data management, game exploration community, business) in each game's ecosystem to enhance player experience, and can also help Game players from Web2 to Web3, game design, game internal testing, helping to build the initial community of the game, increasing the retention rate of players in the game, managing e-sports teams and fans to increase the value of cooperative games.

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Comprehensive analysis of what use cases will Web3 have in the future?

It's a bit long, so let's summarize the conclusions: social networking, games, content creation, tokenized commerce, zero-knowledge proof, soul-bound tokens, DAO and other tracks.

Vitalik believes that NFTs (including governance rights, proof of attendance protocol, etc.) can achieve "soul binding" in a non-transferable manner. Through on-chain tracking to check whether the current owner is the same address as the original owner, proof-of-humanity can achieve non-transferability in practice, and add privacy to soul-bound items through ZK-SNARK. In essence, SBT is a non-transferable identity and reputation token, like the "achievement badge" in real life, using blockchain technology to verify the authenticity of all information.

Ethereum and scaling

Its possible future use cases include: artists and NFT projects, unsecured credit loans, social relationship recovery mechanisms, airdrops, DAO governance and evaluation, virtual property rights flexibility, negative reputation proof; still facing problems: privacy protection, fraud and bribery .

Ethereum and scaling

Understanding MEV2.0: How can users become MEV beneficiaries?

Once, one of the biggest leaps forward in the MEV space was the creation of Flashbots to democratize MEV for two players, miners and MEV searchers. In the future, PoS will redefine MEV and make it possible for users to benefit from MEV. The article introduces how MPSV (MEV Profit Sharing Validator) treats users as beneficiaries of MEV, and finally realizes the full democratization of MEV - users may get a part of MEV profits because they "choose" where to stake.

As background, the authors detail today's advanced MEV players, the MEV economic market structure, general proof-of-stake systems and the role of validators, and some game theory. In summary, we can see a Proof-of-Stake MEV scenario where everyone (including users) is better off and validators and users depend on each other.

Comprehensive interpretation of Layer 2 development status: data, expansion solutions and ecological applications

The Alt L1 competition of the year is being staged at Layer2. The main expansion direction of Layer2 Rollup has developed solutions such as Validium and Volition from the initial ZK Rollup and Optimistic Rollup; Polygon has acquired/integrated a variety of solutions; Loopring and Metis have developed into dedicated Layer2; Aztec focuses on the privacy track; Boba Forked Optimism.

At the same time, various DAPPs on the Ethereum mainnet are deployed to Layer 2. Between different Layer2s, the repeated layout of DAPP has also become a norm. The accompanying liquidity fragmentation between Layer 2 and security issues of cross-chain bridges have become new important topics. The richness, complexity, and challenges faced by the Layer2 ecology are no less than the Ethereum mainnet. For a long time to come, Layer 2 will be the main theme.

zk rollups is recognized by the industry as the ultimate solution for blockchain expansion, and StarkWare is recognized as one of the best zk rollups teams in the world. Unlike the L2 field, which generally charges through operating nodes, StarkWare has created a scaling as a service (scaling as a service) business model by providing a scaling technology solution, StarkEx, and has served leading customers in the industry such as dYdX, Sorare, ImmutableX, and DeversiFi.

New ecology and cross-chain

The author is optimistic that StarkWare's strongest thesis still comes from its far-leading expansion technology, but believes that StarkWare's current valuation of US$8 billion is too high. In this high-odds track, it should be deployed in the early stage.

New ecology and cross-chain

IOSG Ventures: The battle between the application chain and L2 Rollup under the dYdX departure event

New multi-chain narrative changes: High-quality applications show a weak attachment relationship to the underlying chain, while the underlying chain/network shows a strong attachment relationship to high-quality applications. In the past, applications would think about how to retain users, but now it is the public chain's turn to think about the issue of "app retention".

technology

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technology

A complete introduction to Zero-Knowledge Proofs (ZKPs), including definitions, history, classifications, risks, applications, and more.

DAO

ZKP essentially allows people to authenticate their identity and rights without disclosing any of their private information. The current best practice of ZKP is in the blockchain field. The scalability problem has always been one of the biggest dilemmas facing Ethereum. ZKP-based zk Rollup technology has been unanimously optimistic about the expansion route by encryption leaders including Vitalik. In addition, with its unique privacy, accuracy and verifiability, ZKP will also bring applications and innovations in cloud computing, finance, online voting, machine learning and other fields.

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Comprehensively analyze the interaction mode and relationship model of DAO-2-DAO

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hot spots of the week

In the past week,hot spots of the weekIn the past week,Goldman Sachs is raising $2 billion, plans to buy Celsius' distressed assets, BlockFi currentlyValuation is less than $500 millionMorgan Creek DigitalNegotiating with Ledn to lead a $400 million funding round for BlockFiVoyager Digital Announces Notice of Default to Three Arrows CapitalTrying to raise $250 million to acquire a majority stake in BlockFi,Voyager Digital Announces Notice of Default to Three Arrows CapitalBlockchain.com has applied to liquidate all assets of Three Arrows CapitalMonetary Authority of Singapore, is currently cooperating with the court investigation,Monetary Authority of SingaporeAlleges that Sanjian provided false information and its asset management scale exceeded the registration limit, FatMan saidGenesis, but does not intend to use the proceeds of the sale to repay creditors,

In addition, in terms of policies and macro markets,is facing potential losses of "hundreds of millions of dollars";In addition, in terms of policies and macro markets,The US government may pass stable currency legislation before the end of this yearPlans to Impose Billion Dollar Taxes on Crypto Sector DelayedgrayscaleUS SEC rejects Grayscale's application to convert its GBTC into a spot ETFgrayscaleFile lawsuit against SEC, Fed's Powell saysEU Adopts MiCA Encryption RegulationEuropean UnionEuropean UnionEl SalvadorCryptocurrency platforms may be prohibited from issuing interest on stablecoin deposits,

El SalvadorBuy 80 bitcoins again at a unit price of 19,000 US dollars;In terms of opinions and voices, Cathie Wood saidNFT, DeFi, digital wallets will become important and huge opportunities”,, while indicating "Founder of Pangea

Institutions, large companies and top projects,Believe that there is a huge short-selling opportunity in the future market;Institutions, large companies and top projects,FTXMicroStrategy buys 480 BTC for $10 million, with a total holding of 129,699 pieces,Internally considering whether to buy stock and cryptocurrency trading platform Robinhood, Ethereum completesGray Glacier hard forkupgrade,Postpone the difficulty bomb, no user action requiredGMXdYdX "Escapes" Ethereum, Embraces CosmosArbitrumlead to discussion,Polkadotannounced the suspension of Odyssey activities,

NFT and GameFi fields,OpenSeaWith "Editor's Picks of the Week" series

With "Editor's Picks of the Week" seriesPortal

See you next time~

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