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Q4 Loss of $667 Million, Yet Stock Price Soars 16%, Coinbase is Not a Buy Now
Coinbase is building an "everything trading platform," but short-term volatility and excessive market optimism have reduced its risk-reward ratio.
2026-02-14 14:01
exchange
stable currency
invest
Circle
Coinbase
USDC
Base
Q4 Loss of $667 Million, Yet Stock Price Soars 16%, Coinbase is Not a Buy Now
H o t s p o t I n t e r p r e t a t i o n
2026 Spring Festival Gala Prediction Market Overview: From Hot Keywords to Robot Performances, Which Events Have Been Listed?
Related events are continuously being updated: Beyond "pumping meme coins," this year's Spring Festival Gala has added prediction games.
2026-02-14 10:53
Prediction Market
2026 Spring Festival Gala Prediction Market Overview: From Hot Keywords to Robot Performances, Which Events Have Been Listed?
H o t s p o t I n t e r p r e t a t i o n
Odaily's On-Site Experience at Polymarket's First New York Store: The Most Timely Charity and Marketing
Who was at the front of the line? Do regular citizens know what a prediction market is? A no-strings-attached free giveaway? How did staff maintain order?
2026-02-13 08:07
Prediction Market
Odaily's On-Site Experience at Polymarket's First New York Store: The Most Timely Charity and Marketing
H o t s p o t I n t e r p r e t a t i o n
The Israeli military is hunting for moles on Polymarket
"The suspect's actions posed significant operational risks and will be prosecuted as a serious security crime."
2026-02-13 10:26
Safety
Prediction Market
The Israeli military is hunting for moles on Polymarket
Santiment: Meme Coins Have Entered a "Capitulation Phase," a Bottom Bounce Is Imminent, but Only Some Tokens Will Benefit

According to on-chain data analytics platform Santiment, as traders widely believe that "the era of meme coins is over," the market is showing "classic capitulation signals," which often indicate a time for contrarian attention. Santiment points out that when a particular sector of the market is completely bearish, it often signals that a bottom is near. Data shows that the total market capitalization of meme coins has fallen 34.04% over the past 30 days to $31.02 billion.

Santiment also observed that pessimistic sentiment towards the crypto market on social media significantly outweighs optimistic sentiment. This phenomenon of "remaining skeptical even as prices rise" is a healthy signal that the market may be on a path to sustained recovery. Analysts note that, unlike previous altcoin seasons characterized by broad-based rallies, the next market cycle may be more selective, with only a portion of cryptocurrencies likely to benefit.

2026-02-14 15:39
News
Santiment: Meme Coins Have Entered a "Capitulation Phase," a Bottom Bounce Is Imminent, but Only Some Tokens Will Benefit
With the Oscars approaching, numerous award betting markets have opened on Polymarket, with over $15 million wagered on the Best Picture category

Odaily News: As the 2026 Oscars ceremony approaches, betting markets for various awards have launched on Polymarket, with the following highlights:

For Best Picture, "The War to End All Wars" currently leads with a 75% real-time probability;

For Best Actor, Timothée Chalamet currently leads with a 77% real-time probability;

For Best Director, Paul Thomas Anderson currently leads with a 91% real-time probability;

For Best Actress, Jessie Buckley currently leads with a 93% real-time probability;

For Best Original Screenplay, "The Guilty" currently leads with an 84% real-time probability;

For Best Supporting Actress, Teyana Taylor currently leads with a 72% real-time probability;

For Best Supporting Actor, Stellan Skarsgård currently leads with a 67% real-time probability;

For Best Documentary Feature, "The Perfect Neighbor" currently leads with a 65% real-time probability;

For Best Original Score, "The Guilty" currently leads with an 87% real-time probability.

2026-02-14 14:51
News
With the Oscars approaching, numerous award betting markets have opened on Polymarket, with over $15 million wagered on the Best Picture category
Polymarket上“美国政府在2月14日前再次停摆”事件概率暴跌至3%,交易量近990万美元

Odaily News According to data from the Polymarket website, the probability of the event "The US government will shut down again before February 14th" has plummeted to 3%, with trading volume exceeding $9.89 million.

Previous news indicated that the probability of the event "The US government will shut down again before February 14th" on Polymarket had once risen to 97%.

2026-02-14 13:42
News
Polymarket上“美国政府在2月14日前再次停摆”事件概率暴跌至3%,交易量近990万美元
A new Hyperliquid address goes 2x long on NVIDIA stock with a position value of $3.97 million

Odaily News According to Lookonchain monitoring, a newly created wallet deposited 2 million USDC into Hyperliquid 11 hours ago to go long on NVDA stock with 2x leverage. The address currently holds 21,687 xyz:NVDA, valued at $3.97 million.

2026-02-14 13:03
News
A new Hyperliquid address goes 2x long on NVIDIA stock with a position value of $3.97 million
Polymarket's "BTC 5-Minute Price Movement Market" Reaches $25.2M in Trading Volume Over 40 Hours

Odaily News Kunal Doshi, a researcher at Blockworks, posted on X stating that the newly launched 5-minute BTC market on Polymarket has generated $25.2 million in trading volume within 40 hours of its launch. The average trading volume per window is approximately $52,000, reaching 10% to 20% of the trading volume of the 15-minute market.

Data shows that 7.1% of unique addresses simultaneously purchased both Yes and No within a single window, with only 4.2% of addresses performing this operation in over 50 windows. Although the number of such addresses is small, their trading volume accounts for 7.5% of the total, and the number of trades accounts for 23.4% of the total. Among these, 92.6% of the orders were buy orders, and 72.3% were filled via limit orders. These addresses achieved profits in 80% of the windows, with a median execution price of $0.9823 for Yes plus No. Currently, the market exhibits early arbitrage behavior. If structured liquidity is introduced, the trading volume of the 5-minute market is expected to surpass that of the 15-minute market.

2026-02-14 12:28
News
Polymarket's "BTC 5-Minute Price Movement Market" Reaches $25.2M in Trading Volume Over 40 Hours
a16z Advisor: Only 1.3% of Political Contracts in Prediction Markets Have Liquidity, Suggests Introducing AI Agents to Provide Liquidity

Odaily News Stanford Business School professor and a16z & Meta advisor Andy Hall posted on platform X, stating that his team has established a new dataset focusing on political prediction markets, liquidity, and settlement rules. The research found that the vast majority of political contracts in prediction markets lack activity, with only 1.3% of contracts having sufficient liquidity. Kalshi and Polymarket rarely list identical contracts with the same rules, leading to further fragmentation of liquidity.

Andy Hall proposed four improvement suggestions: First, list contracts on core issues, collaborating with independent institutions to define markets of social concern; Second, pay fees to market makers to inject initial liquidity into political markets; Third, introduce AI agents to trade in areas where humans do not participate, generating price references needed by society; Fourth, establish unified definitions and settlement rules across platforms. Andy Hall believes these measures will attract traders hedging political risks, making prediction markets the truth machine society needs.

2026-02-14 12:14
News
a16z Advisor: Only 1.3% of Political Contracts in Prediction Markets Have Liquidity, Suggests Introducing AI Agents to Provide Liquidity
BTC Treasury Company Hyperscale Data Plans to Issue Preferred Shares to Raise $35.4 Million

Odaily News: New York Stock Exchange-listed Bitcoin treasury company Hyperscale Data announced the initiation of an ATM equity offering plan. It aims to raise $35.4 million by issuing Series D cumulative redeemable perpetual preferred shares. The net proceeds will be used to increase Bitcoin holdings, purchase precious metals including gold, silver, and/or copper, as well as for working capital and general corporate purposes, including repaying, refinancing, redeeming, or repurchasing future debt or equity. (PRNewswire)

2026-02-14 12:09
News
BTC Treasury Company Hyperscale Data Plans to Issue Preferred Shares to Raise $35.4 Million
Coinbase Bitcoin Premium Index Remains in Negative Territory for 30 Consecutive Days, Setting the Longest "Consecutive Negative" Streak So Far This Year

Odaily News According to Coinglass data, the Coinbase Bitcoin Premium Index has remained negative for 30 consecutive days, setting the longest streak of consecutive negative readings so far in 2026, currently reported at -0.0566%.

The Coinbase Bitcoin Premium Index measures the difference between the Bitcoin price on Coinbase (a major U.S. trading platform) and the global average market price. This index is an important indicator for observing capital flows in the U.S. market, institutional investment sentiment, and changes in market mood.

A positive premium indicates that the Coinbase price is higher than the global average, typically suggesting: strong buying pressure in the U.S. market, active entry of institutional or compliant capital, ample USD liquidity, and optimistic investment sentiment. A negative premium indicates that the Coinbase price is lower than the global average, usually reflecting: significant selling pressure in the U.S. market, declining investor risk appetite, rising market risk aversion, or capital outflows.

2026-02-14 11:55
News
Coinbase Bitcoin Premium Index Remains in Negative Territory for 30 Consecutive Days, Setting the Longest "Consecutive Negative" Streak So Far This Year
Beosin x ACAMS x ABCP: 2025 Virtual Asset Anti-Money Laundering Compliance Annual Report
The virtual asset industry in 2025 is at a critical juncture where regulatory systematization, criminal sophistication, and technological innovation are deeply intertwined.
2026-02-14 11:36
Safety
stable currency
Beosin x ACAMS x ABCP: 2025 Virtual Asset Anti-Money Laundering Compliance Annual Report
X Product Lead: Plans to Further Combat Spam and Will Launch Detection, Advises Temporarily Halting Integration of Bot Programs

Odaily News X Product Lead and Solana Advisor Nikita Bier announced via a post that X will introduce more detection mechanisms targeting automated behavior and spam, and will continue to strengthen related measures going forward. If the system detects that an account's interactions are not performed manually, that account and its associated accounts may be suspended. Even actions solely for technical testing or experimentation could trigger restrictions. The goal of the X platform is to support legitimate proxy and automated use cases in the long term, but the related capabilities still require time to be perfected. During this period, it is recommended that developers temporarily halt the integration of bot programs. If business needs absolutely require it, priority should be given to using the official API interface.

2026-02-14 11:03
News
X Product Lead: Plans to Further Combat Spam and Will Launch Detection, Advises Temporarily Halting Integration of Bot Programs
Coinbase and Solana Make Consecutive Moves, Agent Economy Poised to Become the Next Major Narrative
The new war surrounding the on-chain Agent economy has already begun.
2026-02-14 10:51
Coinbase
AI
Coinbase and Solana Make Consecutive Moves, Agent Economy Poised to Become the Next Major Narrative
Lorenzo Launches Product BNB+ OTF
Lorenzo's future vision is to build an on-chain investment bank, focusing on providing standardized issuance, tokenized management, and fundraising services for yield-generating assets such as CeFi, RWA, and DeFi, bridging the gap between large-scale on-chain capital and institutional-grade wealth management products.
2026-02-14 10:36
RWA
Lorenzo Launches Product BNB+ OTF
Weekly Editor's Picks (0207-0213)
Top in-depth analysis articles and a roundup of the week's hot topics.
2026-02-14 10:34
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invest
DeFi
Prediction Market
Weekly Editor's Picks (0207-0213)
U.S. Crypto Bill Faces Obstruction from Wall Street Banking Group Over Stablecoin Yield, The Digital Chamber Proposes Compromise to Facilitate Mutual Concessions

Odaily News: Despite urging from Trump administration officials for both sides to seek compromise, the meeting between Wall Street bankers and cryptocurrency executives at the White House this week reached an impasse. The banks insisted that any stablecoin yield or rewards are unacceptable, arguing that such returns threaten the deposit activities at the core of the U.S. banking system. They outlined their position in a paper titled "The Principle of Prohibiting Yield and Interest." The Digital Chamber stated in a post on platform X that the industry group has released a set of principles for stablecoin legislation, aiming to respond to and counter the regulatory proposals previously submitted by Wall Street banks to U.S. lawmakers. The organization advocates that stablecoin issuers should have access to the Federal Reserve's payment system and that non-bank entities should be allowed to issue stablecoins under an appropriate regulatory framework. The principles emphasize that stablecoin regulation should focus on reserve transparency and liquidity, rather than fully integrating them into the traditional banking regulatory system. (Coindesk)

2026-02-14 10:05
News
U.S. Crypto Bill Faces Obstruction from Wall Street Banking Group Over Stablecoin Yield, The Digital Chamber Proposes Compromise to Facilitate Mutual Concessions
SpaceX Plans to Adopt Dual-Class Share Structure in IPO to Strengthen Musk's Control

Odaily News According to informed sources, SpaceX is considering adopting a dual-class share structure in its planned initial public offering this year. This structure would grant specific shareholders shares with higher voting rights, giving them a dominant position in decision-making. This move would allow insiders, including Musk, to maintain control over the company even with a relatively low ownership stake. The sources mentioned that SpaceX is also adding new board members to assist in advancing the IPO and to expand Musk's space ambitions beyond its core rocket and satellite businesses. Dual-class share structures are relatively common among U.S. technology companies, typically granting founders and insiders 10 or even 20 votes per share, while common shares usually have only one vote. Critics argue that this weakens accountability. Musk has praised this structure and has proposed establishing a dual-class share category for Tesla to ensure he maintains at least 25% voting control in the company. (Jin10)

2026-02-14 09:50
News
SpaceX Plans to Adopt Dual-Class Share Structure in IPO to Strengthen Musk's Control
Dutch House of Representatives Passes 36% Capital Gains Tax Bill, Scheduled for Implementation in 2028 Tax Year

Odaily News The Dutch House of Representatives passed a legislative proposal on February 13, aiming to impose a 36% capital gains tax on savings and most liquid investments, including cryptocurrencies. The proposal passed with 93 votes in favor, meeting the 75-vote threshold. According to the proposal, gains from savings accounts, cryptocurrencies, most equity investments, and interest-bearing financial instruments will be taxable, regardless of whether the assets are sold. Specific assets such as startup equity and non-investment physical assets may be exempt. The proposal still requires approval from the Dutch Senate before it can take effect; if passed, it will be officially implemented in the 2028 tax year. (Cointelegraph)

2026-02-14 09:41
News
Dutch House of Representatives Passes 36% Capital Gains Tax Bill, Scheduled for Implementation in 2028 Tax Year
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江卓尔_莱比特矿池
@Jiangzhuoer2
Thanks to @Phyrex_Ni for the discussion. Let me illustrate an arbitrage process: 1. A spot ETF like IBIT has a fund liquidating, selling a large amount of $IBIT at a discount. 2. When a certain price difference emerges between (the $IBIT stock price) and (the Net Asset Value of BTC per $IBIT share), arbitrageurs buy the discounted $IBIT and sell BTC in the spot/futures market to arbitrage the spread. 3. Selling BTC does not require the market maker/arbitrageur to hold BTC. For example, they can borrow BTC spot to sell, or short BTC via USDⓈ-settled contracts. As long as the arbitrageur has sufficient USD capital, they can sell a corresponding amount of BTC. 4. This completes the transmission from selling $IBIT to selling BTC. For instance, if a fund liquidates and dumps $IBIT equivalent to 60,000 BTC at a 5% discount, and all of it is bought by arbitrageurs, the arbitrageurs simultaneously sell 60,000 BTC in the BTC spot/futures market. 5. The arbitrageur waits for the $IBIT discount to recover, then sells the $IBIT at the normal price while closing an equivalent short position. Throughout this process, no $IBIT shares are redeemed for BTC. 6. Only if the $IBIT discount persists for an extended period, or if the arbitrageur holds too many $IBIT shares, causing liquidity strain and risk, would the arbitrageur redeem the $IBIT for BTC and then sell the spot BTC while closing the equivalent short position. Scenario 5 is the primary trading method for arbitrageurs. Scenario 6 is a special case. Assuming a fund dumps the equivalent of 60,000 BTC, perhaps 54,000 BTC worth of selling is hedged via this arbitrage, with only 6,000 BTC ultimately flowing through the redemption and spot selling route.
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