According to on-chain data analytics platform Santiment, as traders widely believe that "the era of meme coins is over," the market is showing "classic capitulation signals," which often indicate a time for contrarian attention. Santiment points out that when a particular sector of the market is completely bearish, it often signals that a bottom is near. Data shows that the total market capitalization of meme coins has fallen 34.04% over the past 30 days to $31.02 billion.

Santiment also observed that pessimistic sentiment towards the crypto market on social media significantly outweighs optimistic sentiment. This phenomenon of "remaining skeptical even as prices rise" is a healthy signal that the market may be on a path to sustained recovery. Analysts note that, unlike previous altcoin seasons characterized by broad-based rallies, the next market cycle may be more selective, with only a portion of cryptocurrencies likely to benefit.

Odaily News: As the 2026 Oscars ceremony approaches, betting markets for various awards have launched on Polymarket, with the following highlights:

For Best Picture, "The War to End All Wars" currently leads with a 75% real-time probability;

For Best Actor, Timothée Chalamet currently leads with a 77% real-time probability;

For Best Director, Paul Thomas Anderson currently leads with a 91% real-time probability;

For Best Actress, Jessie Buckley currently leads with a 93% real-time probability;

For Best Original Screenplay, "The Guilty" currently leads with an 84% real-time probability;

For Best Supporting Actress, Teyana Taylor currently leads with a 72% real-time probability;

For Best Supporting Actor, Stellan Skarsgård currently leads with a 67% real-time probability;

For Best Documentary Feature, "The Perfect Neighbor" currently leads with a 65% real-time probability;

For Best Original Score, "The Guilty" currently leads with an 87% real-time probability.

Odaily News According to data from the Polymarket website, the probability of the event "The US government will shut down again before February 14th" has plummeted to 3%, with trading volume exceeding $9.89 million.

Previous news indicated that the probability of the event "The US government will shut down again before February 14th" on Polymarket had once risen to 97%.

Odaily News According to Lookonchain monitoring, a newly created wallet deposited 2 million USDC into Hyperliquid 11 hours ago to go long on NVDA stock with 2x leverage. The address currently holds 21,687 xyz：NVDA, valued at $3.97 million.

Odaily News Kunal Doshi, a researcher at Blockworks, posted on X stating that the newly launched 5-minute BTC market on Polymarket has generated $25.2 million in trading volume within 40 hours of its launch. The average trading volume per window is approximately $52,000, reaching 10% to 20% of the trading volume of the 15-minute market.

Data shows that 7.1% of unique addresses simultaneously purchased both Yes and No within a single window, with only 4.2% of addresses performing this operation in over 50 windows. Although the number of such addresses is small, their trading volume accounts for 7.5% of the total, and the number of trades accounts for 23.4% of the total. Among these, 92.6% of the orders were buy orders, and 72.3% were filled via limit orders. These addresses achieved profits in 80% of the windows, with a median execution price of $0.9823 for Yes plus No. Currently, the market exhibits early arbitrage behavior. If structured liquidity is introduced, the trading volume of the 5-minute market is expected to surpass that of the 15-minute market.

Odaily News Stanford Business School professor and a16z & Meta advisor Andy Hall posted on platform X, stating that his team has established a new dataset focusing on political prediction markets, liquidity, and settlement rules. The research found that the vast majority of political contracts in prediction markets lack activity, with only 1.3% of contracts having sufficient liquidity. Kalshi and Polymarket rarely list identical contracts with the same rules, leading to further fragmentation of liquidity.

Andy Hall proposed four improvement suggestions: First, list contracts on core issues, collaborating with independent institutions to define markets of social concern; Second, pay fees to market makers to inject initial liquidity into political markets; Third, introduce AI agents to trade in areas where humans do not participate, generating price references needed by society; Fourth, establish unified definitions and settlement rules across platforms. Andy Hall believes these measures will attract traders hedging political risks, making prediction markets the truth machine society needs.

Odaily News: New York Stock Exchange-listed Bitcoin treasury company Hyperscale Data announced the initiation of an ATM equity offering plan. It aims to raise $35.4 million by issuing Series D cumulative redeemable perpetual preferred shares. The net proceeds will be used to increase Bitcoin holdings, purchase precious metals including gold, silver, and/or copper, as well as for working capital and general corporate purposes, including repaying, refinancing, redeeming, or repurchasing future debt or equity. (PRNewswire)

Odaily News According to Coinglass data, the Coinbase Bitcoin Premium Index has remained negative for 30 consecutive days, setting the longest streak of consecutive negative readings so far in 2026, currently reported at -0.0566%.

The Coinbase Bitcoin Premium Index measures the difference between the Bitcoin price on Coinbase (a major U.S. trading platform) and the global average market price. This index is an important indicator for observing capital flows in the U.S. market, institutional investment sentiment, and changes in market mood.

A positive premium indicates that the Coinbase price is higher than the global average, typically suggesting: strong buying pressure in the U.S. market, active entry of institutional or compliant capital, ample USD liquidity, and optimistic investment sentiment. A negative premium indicates that the Coinbase price is lower than the global average, usually reflecting: significant selling pressure in the U.S. market, declining investor risk appetite, rising market risk aversion, or capital outflows.

Odaily News X Product Lead and Solana Advisor Nikita Bier announced via a post that X will introduce more detection mechanisms targeting automated behavior and spam, and will continue to strengthen related measures going forward. If the system detects that an account's interactions are not performed manually, that account and its associated accounts may be suspended. Even actions solely for technical testing or experimentation could trigger restrictions. The goal of the X platform is to support legitimate proxy and automated use cases in the long term, but the related capabilities still require time to be perfected. During this period, it is recommended that developers temporarily halt the integration of bot programs. If business needs absolutely require it, priority should be given to using the official API interface.

Odaily News: Despite urging from Trump administration officials for both sides to seek compromise, the meeting between Wall Street bankers and cryptocurrency executives at the White House this week reached an impasse. The banks insisted that any stablecoin yield or rewards are unacceptable, arguing that such returns threaten the deposit activities at the core of the U.S. banking system. They outlined their position in a paper titled "The Principle of Prohibiting Yield and Interest." The Digital Chamber stated in a post on platform X that the industry group has released a set of principles for stablecoin legislation, aiming to respond to and counter the regulatory proposals previously submitted by Wall Street banks to U.S. lawmakers. The organization advocates that stablecoin issuers should have access to the Federal Reserve's payment system and that non-bank entities should be allowed to issue stablecoins under an appropriate regulatory framework. The principles emphasize that stablecoin regulation should focus on reserve transparency and liquidity, rather than fully integrating them into the traditional banking regulatory system. (Coindesk)

Odaily News According to informed sources, SpaceX is considering adopting a dual-class share structure in its planned initial public offering this year. This structure would grant specific shareholders shares with higher voting rights, giving them a dominant position in decision-making. This move would allow insiders, including Musk, to maintain control over the company even with a relatively low ownership stake. The sources mentioned that SpaceX is also adding new board members to assist in advancing the IPO and to expand Musk's space ambitions beyond its core rocket and satellite businesses. Dual-class share structures are relatively common among U.S. technology companies, typically granting founders and insiders 10 or even 20 votes per share, while common shares usually have only one vote. Critics argue that this weakens accountability. Musk has praised this structure and has proposed establishing a dual-class share category for Tesla to ensure he maintains at least 25% voting control in the company. (Jin10)

Odaily News The Dutch House of Representatives passed a legislative proposal on February 13, aiming to impose a 36% capital gains tax on savings and most liquid investments, including cryptocurrencies. The proposal passed with 93 votes in favor, meeting the 75-vote threshold. According to the proposal, gains from savings accounts, cryptocurrencies, most equity investments, and interest-bearing financial instruments will be taxable, regardless of whether the assets are sold. Specific assets such as startup equity and non-investment physical assets may be exempt. The proposal still requires approval from the Dutch Senate before it can take effect; if passed, it will be officially implemented in the 2028 tax year. (Cointelegraph)