Monera Digital | รายงานกองทุนประจำเดือนมิถุนายน 2026: แรงกดดันจากเศรษฐกิจมหภาคยังคงดำเนินต่อไป ตลาดคริปโตแกว่งตัวลงสู่จุดต่ำสุด

1. Market Review: Macro Headwinds Persist, Crypto Markets Oscillate and Seek a Bottom 

In June 2026, the crypto market remained under sustained macro pressure. A hawkish shift in Fed policy (dot plots hinting at potential rate hikes in 2026), sticky inflation, and geopolitical uncertainty (the US-Iran situation, despite some signs of easing, still holds variables) combined to dominate market sentiment. Risk appetite further declined, leading to an overall oscillating downward trend with weak market digestion capacity.

In terms of price performance, BTC oscillated in the $65,000–$68,000 range early in the month, then rapidly fell to probe the $58,000–$60,000 area due to continued ETF outflows and negative macro factors, recording a significant monthly decline. ETH performed weaker, with the ETH/BTC ratio dropping further to new lows and a larger decline than BTC, though it began to stabilize and recover towards month-end. BTC dominance remained high, altcoin liquidity was extremely weak, and total market capitalization continued to retrace.

On the capital flow front, U.S.-listed spot BTC ETFs recorded a record monthly net outflow of approximately $4.5 billion in June, marking the worst month on record; ETH ETFs also saw sustained net outflows, with only minor rebounds on a few trading days.

Looking ahead, the price level around $58,000 has tested and shown certain support characteristics multiple times. Should the macro environment not deteriorate sharply, secondary market trading opportunities will significantly outperform the primary market. In the short term, focus should be on signals of geopolitical de-escalation, the tone of Fed meetings, and potential capital reflows into ETFs. In the medium term, a slow recovery driven by institutional allocation logic remains the outlook. If the US-Iran situation escalates again, the US stock AI sector continues to correct triggering index-level sell-offs, or major holders like MicroStrategy are forced to sell, the crypto market could face a sharp panic-driven decline. Investment caution and risk management remain paramount.

2. Fund Data: Steady Growth Against the Trend, Scale Continues to Climb 

Against the backdrop of overall market pressure, the Monera Digital fund continued to record positive growth in June 2026, with key core indicators performing steadily.

As of the end of June, the fund's total Assets Under Management (AUM) reached $15.1948 million, a net increase of approximately $933,800 from the beginning of the month ($14.261 million), recording a monthly growth rate of 6.55%. New capital introduced this month amounted to $933,750.

Since its inception, the fund's AUM has grown from an initial $1 million in January 2026 through six consecutive months of growth—exceeding $3.335 million in February, jumping to $6.7805 million in March, surpassing $12.1302 million in April, reaching $14.261 million in May, and hitting a new high of $15.1948 million in June. This represents cumulative growth of over 15 times in six months, fully demonstrating the strategy's stability and sustained capital appeal.

In terms of returns, the fund's realized APY stood at 28.65%, while the weighted APY was even higher at 62.34%. Despite the challenging market environment, it continues to deliver stable, market-beating returns for investors.

3. Asset Allocation: Strategic Weight Adjustments, Quantitative Trading Share Significantly Increased 

This month, the fund's total asset size was $15.1948 million, with the allocation structure adjusted compared to the previous month. Proactive Trading allocation was $7.6373 million, accounting for 50.27% of total AUM, remaining the single largest strategy. Quantitative Trading allocation was $6.5137 million, accounting for 42.86%, a significant increase from 26.0% last month, becoming the main highlight of this month's allocation structure change. Venture Investing remained unchanged at $1 million, accounting for 6.58%. Other Assets totaled $43,800, accounting for 0.29% as supplementary allocation.

Against the backdrop of this month's severe market volatility and rising macro uncertainty, the team moderately increased the weight of quantitative trading to enhance portfolio resilience and hedging capabilities. Although the proportion of proactive trading decreased, it remains the core engine driving overall returns. The overall allocation maintained flexibility under the principle of prioritizing risk management.

4. Conclusion 

Despite the overall pressure on the crypto market in June 2026 and record net outflows from ETF funds, the Monera Digital Fund, leveraging its diversified strategy allocation and strict risk management system, achieved a sequential growth of 6.55% in AUM and a weighted APY of 62.34%, consistently generating excess returns for investors.

Looking ahead to July, the team, while prioritizing risk management, will closely monitor ETF capital flows, signals of geopolitical de-escalation, and changes in Fed policy stance, adjusting portfolio structures timely to seize asymmetric opportunities presented during market bottoms.

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