24H 인기 코인 및 주요 뉴스｜연준 금리 동결; 한국, 증시 안정화 위한 추가 조치 약속 (7월 30일)
- 핵심 요점: 연준 금리 동결했지만 내부 금리 인상 압력 고조, 한국 증시 규제 강화, 기술 대기업(마이크로소프트, 메타) 실적 발표에서 AI 사업 성장과 비용 압력 확인, 바이낸스·로빈후드 등 플랫폼 암호화폐 및 예측 시장 사업 적극 확장, 2분기 암호화폐 자금 조달 총액 128.6억 달러 달성.
- 핵심 요소:
- 연준은 기준금리를 3.50%-3.75%로 동결, 5회 연속 동결이지만 세 명의 위원이 반대하며 금리 인상을 주장, 2016년 이후 처음.
- 한국 재정부는 레버리지 ETF 거래 제한 등 증시 안정화 조치 시행, JP모건은 한국 주식 레버리지 ETF 청산 과정 완료됐다고 밝힘.
- 마이크로소프트 4분기 매출 900억 달러로 시장 예상 상회, 애저 클라우드 매출 성장률 43% 기록, 연간 매출 첫 1,000억 달러 돌파.
- 메타 2분기 매출은 사상 최대였지만 순이익 시장 예상 하회, AI 비용 우려로 시간외 거래에서 주가 6% 이상 하락, 연간 자본 지출 가이던스 하한선 상향 조정.
- 2026년 2분기 암호화폐 업계 자금 조달 및 M&A 총액 128.6억 달러, 전 분기 대비 약 45% 증가, 이 중 부채 자금 조달 43.6억 달러로 두 번째로 큰 규모 기록.
- 번스타인, 서클 목표 주가 190달러에서 140달러로 하향 조정했지만 2035년까지 스테이블코인 총 공급량 4조 달러에 달할 것으로 예상, 서클이 약 30% 점유율 차지할 전망.
- 바이낸스 bStocks 총 자산 관리 규모 5.9억 달러 돌파, xStocks 제치고 체인상 주식 자산 분야 최대 규모 상품 등극.
1. CEX Popular Coins
CEX Top 10 by Trading Volume & 24h Change:
- BTC: +0.69%
- ETH: +0.14%
- SOL: +0.67%
- SNDKB: -3.16%
- XRP: -0.2%
- VANA: -14.47%
- BANK: +10.00%
- SKHYB: +2.16%
- XRP: -0.4%
- VANA: -14.6%
24h Gainers (Data Source: OKX):
- ACH: +19.51%
- ASP: +18.9%
- RE: +14.6%
- AEON: +10.15%
- SENT: +6.98%
- xMSFT: +6.61%
- FLOW: +6.48%
- PROS: +6.32%
- SSV: +5.67%
- AGLD: +5.27%
24h Crypto-Equity Gainers (Data Source: msx.com):
- EDU: 15.18%
- SOXS: 14.55%
- CONI: 9.25%
- SNOW: 9.11%
- BWET: 8.38%
- MSFT: 8.05%
- MDB: 7.53%
- TSLQ: 7.59%
- NVDQ: 6.9%
- INTU: 6.73%
2. Trending On-chain Memes (Data Source: GMGN):
- Solana: Fauci, Jimothy
- BSC: HEYI, MarsCoin
- Robinhood: CASHCAT, MarketCat
Headlines
Federal Reserve Holds Interest Rates Steady
Odaily News: The Federal Reserve held the benchmark interest rate unchanged at 3.50%-3.75%, marking the fifth consecutive meeting without a policy change. (Jin Shi)
Three Dissenting Votes Emerge, Internal Pressure for Rate Hikes Intensifies at the Fed
Odaily News: In this rate decision, five regional Fed bank presidents on the FOMC voted, with three dissenting: Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari, and Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan. All three advocated for a 25-basis-point rate hike. This marks the first time since September 2016 that the Fed has seen three unanimous dissenting votes in a single policy decision, reflecting growing internal support for tighter policy.
Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh, who supported maintaining the rate, has consistently emphasized the Fed's responsibility to curb inflation. He is expected to be questioned during the 2:30 AM (Beijing Time) press conference about why he believes maintaining patience remains the most appropriate policy choice for now. (Jin Shi)
Odaily News: South Korea's Ministry of Finance stated that the government pledges additional measures to stabilize the stock market. It will implement restrictions on leveraged ETF trading and limit retail investors' exposure to leveraged ETF investments, while maintaining a 24-hour stock market monitoring system. (Jin Shi)
JP Morgan: Liquidation Process for Korea Stock Leveraged ETFs Complete, Hedge Funds 90% De-levered
Odaily News: JP Morgan released a report stating that the liquidation process for Korean stock leveraged ETFs is complete, and hedge funds have achieved 90% de-leveraging. Although there may be residual effects in the coming days, the overall market has become attractive for investment.
Dan Bin: You Must Buy During a Big Drop, Just Fired My Last Bullets
Odaily News: Today, Dan Bin stated on Xueqiu, "You must buy during a big drop, I've just fired my last bullets." Previously, he posted saying, "The 2x Long SK Hynix ETF is down 25.72% today. Leveraged tools can amplify gains but also multiply risks. When the tide goes out, you see the brutal reality of market fluctuations. This shows that such leveraged products require extra caution."
Dan Bin believes SK Hynix has become one of the landmark companies in this AI cycle. Given the current pace of correction, the short-term direction will likely become clear soon. Of course, over a longer time horizon, only companies with continuously optimizing supply-demand dynamics and steadily improving profitability can navigate through various cycles.
Industry News
South Korean Politicians Criticize Government over 2x Leveraged ETFs
Odaily News: Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas posted on X, stating that during a hearing, South Korean People Power Party lawmaker Lee Jongwook told Koo, "This country has turned into a casino. These products should never have been allowed into the market. I consider this a policy failure."
Eric Balchunas noted that South Korean politicians are criticizing the government over 2x leveraged ETFs, but the bubble and correction were triggered by the AI boom driving significant interest in memory chip manufacturers, with 2x leveraged ETFs merely being a tool to gain exposure. He also suggested that South Korea may not be the best market for 2x single-stock ETFs, as the underlying stocks lack sufficient liquidity, making derivative products more likely to inversely impact the underlying assets.
Samsung Electronics Q2 Chip Profit Beats Estimates, Expects Strong AI Server Chip Demand in H2
Odaily News: Samsung Electronics reported a Q2 net profit of 71.3 trillion won, above the market estimate of 68.5 trillion won. The chip division's operating profit was 89.2 trillion won.
Samsung Electronics' Q2 operating profit was 89.4 trillion won, in line with prior estimates; revenue was 171 trillion won, also meeting expectations.
Samsung Electronics stated that server chip demand will remain strong in H2, with chip supply shortages expected to persist. Meanwhile, the memory business is expected to benefit from sustained AI infrastructure capital expenditure and broader autonomous AI application demand.
The company noted that chip demand for mobile and PC is expected to slow, presenting uncertainties for the memory business in H2. Additionally, Samsung plans to increase its smartphone market share in H2. Its foundry business is expected to achieve double-digit revenue growth this year. (Jin Shi)
Odaily News: Microsoft (MSFT.O) reported strong growth in its cloud business and an increase in AI paid users, while investors closely watched whether the tech giant's spending on data centers is paying off. Microsoft's Q4 earnings per share were $4.81, up from $3.65 a year ago and above Wall Street's estimate of $4.24. Quarterly revenue reached $90 billion, exceeding the $87.6 billion estimate and marking an 18% year-over-year increase. Azure remains one of the most closely watched metrics, seen as a bellwether for overall AI demand. Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella said, "Azure surpassed $100 billion in revenue for the first time, and Microsoft 365 Copilot paid seats exceeded 30 million, reflecting customer trust in our ability to power their AI transformations." Microsoft's Azure cloud business achieved $39.3 billion in revenue in Q4, growing 43%, above the estimated 40% growth. Microsoft's stock rose 4% in after-hours trading. The stock has fallen approximately 18% year-to-date. (Jin Shi)
Meta Posts Record Revenue, but AI Costs Weigh on Stock Price
Odaily News: Meta Platforms (META.O) reported record revenue for Q2, but the company's update on AI spending plans raised investor concerns about infrastructure construction costs. Meta slightly raised the lower end of its annual capital expenditure guidance from $125 billion to $130 billion, maintaining the upper end at $145 billion. Q2 revenue was $60.8 billion, up 28% year-over-year, but net profit was $15.8 billion, below analyst expectations. Consequently, Meta's stock fell over 6% in after-hours trading. To catch up in the AI race, Meta has invested tens of billions in chip procurement, data center construction, and top talent recruitment, recently partnering with BlackRock to raise at least $12 billion for a Texas data center. Meta's Q2 free cash flow was $784 million. (Jin Shi)
CME Plans to Launch Futures Linked to Sports Events as New Hedging Tool
Odaily News: The Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) is planning to launch futures and options contracts linked to professional and college sports events. The company is partnering with emerging index provider FutureSports, whose products will serve as the underlying support for these new CME instruments. The statement indicated that the initial sports futures contracts will be cash-settled, with monthly and quarterly expirations, and could begin trading as early as this summer, pending regulatory approval.
CME CEO Terry Duffy stated in the announcement, "This is not just a new product; it's about introducing true price discovery mechanisms and risk management standards to an industry that desperately needs transformation." Futures contracts are common in global financial markets, with underlying assets including stock indices and commodities. If approved, this would be the first instance for the sports industry. (Jin Shi)
Odaily News: Benchmark partner Chetan Puttagunta posted on X, expressing confusion over Anthropic's public call for stricter regulation of AI model distillation. He noted that Anthropic is currently a company valued at approximately $1 trillion with vast technical and financial resources. At the scale described, a "large-scale distillation attack" should theoretically be relatively easy to identify and trace. If Anthropic chooses to restrict such behavior, the true cost might not be a lack of technical capability but rather sacrificing some API revenue. "The only cost seems to be reducing related API business revenue."
Previously, AI companies like Anthropic have focused on the model distillation issue. Model distillation typically involves using the output of a large model (teacher model) to train another model (student model) to reduce costs and improve efficiency. Some AI companies worry that competitors might extensively call APIs to obtain model outputs for training their own models, bypassing original R&D investments. Puttagunta's view is that the controversy over model distillation in the AI industry essentially involves balancing commercial interests, open competition, and intellectual property protection. For leading AI companies, finding the balance between protecting core technology and maintaining an open ecosystem will be a crucial issue for future industry competition.
Robinhood Q2 Net Revenue of $1.31 Billion Beats Estimates, Full-Year Expense Guidance Lowered
Odaily News: Robinhood released its Q2 2026 financial results. Net revenue was $1.31 billion, up 32% year-over-year and above the analyst estimate of $1.28 billion. Net profit was $573 million, up 48% year-over-year. Diluted EPS was $0.62, up 48% year-over-year.
The report showed Robinhood's adjusted EBITDA was $741 million, up 35% year-over-year and above the market estimate of $629 million. Net deposits reached a record $21.7 billion. Gold subscribers increased to 4.8 million, up 39% year-over-year.
By business segment, Robinhood's cryptocurrency revenue was $100 million, above the market estimate of $86.6 million. Options revenue was $342 million, up 29% year-over-year. Average revenue per user (ARPU) reached $187, up 24% year-over-year.
The company expects full-year 2026 adjusted operating expenses and stock-based compensation to be between $2.675 billion and $2.775 billion, lower than previous guidance and market expectations. During the period, Trump account registrations exceeded 7 million, with deposits nearing $1.5 billion. Robinhood Chain mainnet launched, and the company obtained a Singapore Capital Markets Services license while completing the acquisition of WonderFi.
Binance.US to Apply for CFTC License Next Month, Plans to Launch Prediction Markets
Odaily News: Fox Business crypto reporter posted on X saying, Binance.US CEO Stevie Satoshi stated that Binance.US plans to apply for a Designated Contract Market license from the CFTC next month, aiming to offer prediction markets to its customers.
Project News
Bernstein Adjusts Circle Price Target from $190 to $140, Judging Open USD Threat Will Diminish
Odaily News: Bernstein lowered its price target for Circle from $190 to $140 while maintaining an Outperform rating. Analyst Gautam Chhugani stated that the Open USD Alliance, backed by over 140 institutions including Visa, Mastercard, and Stripe, poses a lesser threat to Circle than market expectations. As of July 28, Circle's closing price was $64.32.
Q2 ending USDC supply was approximately $73 billion, down from $77 billion in Q1, with average supply rising to about $76 billion. Q2 average SOFR fell to 3.62%, and reserve yield dropped to 3.46%, pushing reserve income to approximately $655 million. USDC balances on Hyperliquid grew from $5 billion in mid-May to over $6 billion, generating approximately $210 million in annualized gross reserve income, of which about $190 million was directed to the exchange under a revenue-sharing agreement.
Bernstein lowered its year-end 2026 USDC supply forecast by 37% to $83 billion, and its 2028 forecast to $170 billion. Its 2026 adjusted EBITDA forecast was lowered by 12% to $602 million, with EPS forecast cut from $1.98 to $0.92. However, the firm expects the total stablecoin supply to reach $4 trillion by 2035, with Circle capturing approximately a 30% share. Additionally, Circle received final OCC approval in July to establish Circle National Trust. (The Block)
Binance bStocks Total AUM Exceeds $590 Million, Surpassing xStocks
Odaily News: Dune data shows that bStocks' total Assets Under Management (AUM) has reached approximately $599 million, surpassing xStocks' AUM of about $589 million. The data indicates bStocks' scale in the on-chain equity asset sector has further expanded, demonstrating sustained market demand and user engagement.
Odaily News:
