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2025
09/22
BITWU.ETH 🔆BTW0205
🩸Today's market plummeted without warning, and pessimism has gripped the market. Many are stuck in the dilemma of "is this a trend reversal or a correction?" — Let me start with the conclusion: No one can definitively answer whether this is a correction or a trend turning point. There's no point asking me; I'm not a god, and I don't know! As I wrote a few days ago, even top institutions like Bridgewater and Renaissance are betting on probabilities, not a clairvoyant perspective. What we can do is rephrase the question: 👉 If this is a correction, can I survive, or even increase my position? 👉 If this is a reversal, can I avoid being dragged down? The biggest problem with retail investors is their single-minded focus: either go all-in or go all-out, leaving them with no sustainable trading options. This is completely unnecessary. It's crucial to distinguish between core and flexible positions: 1. Core positions: This is your foundational position, the leverage you need to navigate cycles. Don't sell everything out hastily. A true trend reversal is often confirmed by a breakdown in macroeconomic logic, tightening liquidity, and sustained capital outflows, not by a one- or two-day plunge. If the drop is very uncomfortable, you can ask yourself: 👉 If BTC drops another 20% from now, can you still sleep well? If not, then your position is too heavy and you need to reduce it. If you can accept it, then hold on and don't scare yourself. Set the maximum drawdown you can accept, and decisively reduce it when it exceeds this line. It is better to make less money than to gain nothing. 2⃣ Flexible position: You must leave a U space, which can both relieve your emotions and keep your bullets. If you are extremely anxious, then you can consider pocketing some profits now. In an uncertain environment, non-leading altcoins are the first to reduce positions, don't linger. Remember, the real trend is only clear in the past tense. The future is always vague, but only those who survive are qualified to see the future and talk about the next bull market!
Source: Twitter