Odaily Seer Prophecy Channel monitoring shows that as the S&P 500 breaks through 7,400 points to hit a new all-time high, the probability on Polymarket of "S&P 500 reaching 8,000 points by the end of June" is currently reported at 10%; the probability of "S&P 500 breaking through 7,700 points by the end of June" is currently reported at 31%.

The event determination rule is as follows: If at any point between the creation of the market and the market close on the last trading day of June 2026, any 1-minute candle of the S&P 500 Index (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price, the market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

As indicated by the 1-minute interval ("1m") data from Yahoo Finance, all prices recorded during regular trading hours of the index's primary exchange will be considered.

Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.

All referenced times are local times of the primary exchange where the index is traded.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.

Odaily Seer Prophecy Channel continuously monitors prediction markets, observing changes before they are priced in.

Odaily Odaily News: According to Gate data, Intel's gains have expanded to 15%, with its stock price reaching a new all-time high. Sources revealed that Apple has reached a preliminary agreement with Intel for Intel to produce some chips for Apple devices.

It is currently unclear which Apple products Intel will manufacture chips for. Apple ships over 200 million iPhones annually, along with millions of iPads and Mac computers. Intel's primary business involves chip design and foundry services (including both its own products and those for external clients). Before Chen Liwu took over as CEO last spring, both segments had been underperforming for a long time.

Last summer, the Trump administration converted nearly $9 billion in federal grants into Intel stock, holding a 10% stake, which facilitated Apple's participation in negotiations. Sources say that U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick met multiple times over the past year with Apple CEO Tim Cook, Tesla CEO Elon Musk, and Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang, attempting to persuade them to collaborate with Intel. With Apple joining, Intel has now established partnerships with all three aforementioned companies. (Jin Shi)

Odaily reported that according to Gate data, Intel's stock price experienced a sharp short-term surge, soaring 10% during trading, pushing its market value past $600 billion. Sources say Apple has reached an agreement with Intel for the latter to produce chips for Apple devices. A preliminary chip manufacturing deal has been reached, with discussions between the two parties lasting over a year.

Odaily reported that Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Baghaei said in an interview that Iran is considering its response to the U.S. proposed "plan to end the war," and relevant negotiations are ongoing. Once a final result is reached, Iran will immediately announce the news. Baghaei accused the U.S. of seriously violating international law and the ceasefire agreement during its military operations from the night of May 7 to the early morning of May 8, stating that Iran "has dealt a heavy blow to the enemy." Baghaei noted that the current situation is in a "nominal ceasefire state," while the Iranian armed forces are fully prepared and closely monitoring the situation. If necessary, they will fully counter any enemy aggression and adventurism. (CCTV News)

Odaily: The S&P 500 index touched the 7,400-point mark, hitting a new all-time high, with gains expanding to 0.84%. (Jinshi)

Odaily Planet Daily News: Iranian military sources say the situation is currently calm around the Strait of Hormuz, but conflict could erupt if US forces re-enter the area and "create trouble" for Iranian vessels. Earlier on the 8th, Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps announced that Iranian armed forces had engaged in "sporadic clashes" with US warships in the waters of the Strait of Hormuz earlier that day. (CCTV News)

Odaily reported that according to Gate data, Intel (INTC.O) surged 8%, with its market capitalization approaching $600 billion. Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) rose nearly 8%, with its market cap surpassing $710 billion, reaching a new all-time high.

Odaily reports that major US-based crypto exchanges Coinbase, Kraken, and Gemini are pushing for amendments to the Senate's crypto market structure bill, seeking to delete or relax the listing restrictions on 'digital assets susceptible to manipulation.' The original clause requires trading platforms to only list digital assets that are 'not easily manipulated.' The industry is concerned that this standard could limit the ability of small-cap tokens to be listed on exchanges, thereby impacting liquidity and market development.

According to sources, the exchanges submitted revision proposals to the Senate Agriculture Committee earlier this year, suggesting the removal of the relevant restrictive language and emphasizing that the current wording could create a 'listing barrier' for small-cap crypto assets. Under the bill's design, the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) would gain broader regulatory authority over digital commodity markets in the future, adopting a 'self-certification' mechanism used in traditional commodity markets, which requires exchanges to confirm that a product is not easily manipulated before it can be listed.

However, the crypto industry believes that digital assets have structural differences from traditional commodity derivatives, making it unreasonable to simply apply existing standards, which could stifle innovation and market access. A source noted that the current direction of revisions is seen as a 'clear push for regulatory easing.' A Coinbase policy executive stated that the industry supports stronger regulatory and anti-fraud frameworks but opposes directly transplanting standards unsuitable for spot markets, as it would affect market liquidity and consumer participation. It is understood that the bill is still in the negotiation phase between two Senate committees and is expected to undergo further adjustments before being formally submitted for a full floor vote. (Politico)

Odaily reported that a senior Iranian lawmaker said that from now on, the US maritime blockade measures will be met with a military response by Iran. (Jinshi)

Odaily reported that, according to a UK police announcement, former World Athletics Championships 4x100m relay gold medalist and British sprinter CJ Ujah, along with nine other individuals, has been charged with "conspiracy to defraud" in connection with a cryptocurrency fraud case.

Police stated that the criminal gang posed as police and cryptocurrency company personnel to conduct phone scams against multiple victims, tricking them into disclosing critical wallet security information, including seed phrases. The perpetrators then transferred the victims' crypto assets, with one victim losing over £300,000. The case was cracked following a joint investigation by the Eastern Region Special Operations Unit (ERSOU) across Kent, Essex, and London. The ten suspects have appeared in court, with Ujah released on bail until a further hearing on May 28.

Ujah, now 32, won a 4x100m relay gold medal for Team GB at the 2017 World Championships and also claimed the Diamond League title that same year. In 2022, he was suspended for 22 months due to a doping violation, which was later attributed to contamination from a supplement causing an adverse analytical finding. In addition to Ujah, another British sprinter, Brandon Mingeli, is also on the list of those arrested and is currently in custody pending trial. (The Guardian)

Odaily Bitcoin mining company TeraWulf announced its Q1 financial report, showing that its high-performance computing (HPC) business has surpassed Bitcoin mining revenue for the first time, marking a critical phase in the company's transition to AI and cloud computing infrastructure. The company's total Q1 revenue was $34 million, roughly flat compared to the same period last year. HPC leasing revenue reached $21 million, exceeding digital asset mining revenue of less than $13 million for the first time, becoming the primary revenue source.

The financial report also showed that the company's net loss widened to $427.6 million, primarily due to non-cash warrant revaluation. However, CFO Patrick Fleury emphasized that the company is shifting from "volatile mining revenue" to "stable long-term computing power contract revenue."

Currently, 60MW of HPC capacity at TeraWulf's Lake Mariner data center in New York has begun generating revenue, with plans to continue expansion within the year. Meanwhile, the company is retrofitting some of its mining infrastructure into AI/HPC computing resources to support hyperscale computing demand. This trend continues to spread across the industry, with Bitcoin miners like Riot Platforms also diversifying their revenue structures through data center and AI contracts, gradually transitioning into "computing infrastructure companies." (The Block)

According to Lookonchain monitoring, the US Bitcoin ETF saw a single-day net outflow of 2,022 BTC, valued at $161.53 million, with a 7-day net inflow of 18,496 BTC, worth $1.48 billion; the Ethereum ETF recorded a single-day net outflow of 34,349 ETH, valued at $78.35 million, with a 7-day net inflow of 73,153 ETH, worth $166.86 million; and the Solana ETF had a single-day net inflow of 76,912 SOL, valued at $6.85 million, with a 7-day net inflow of 368,912 SOL, worth $32.83 million.

Odaily Odaily: According to Iran's Tasnim News Agency, Iran is formulating a plan for the "legal regime" of the Strait of Hormuz, which will become permanent law. (Jinshi)

Odaily reported that gunfire was heard in the vicinity of the Strait of Hormuz within two hours. On the 8th, Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps announced that the Iranian armed forces had engaged in "sporadic clashes" with US warships in the waters of the Strait of Hormuz earlier that day. The Revolutionary Guard did not disclose the specific location of the clashes. Earlier, it was reported that an explosion occurred on the 8th in the Sirik region of Iran, near the Strait of Hormuz, for unknown reasons. (CCTV)

Odaily星球日报讯 软银集团缩减一项以 OpenAI 股权作为抵押的融资计划，其原本拟筹集约 100 亿美元的保证金贷款，如今规模或下调至约 60 亿美元。

消息称，部分贷款方对交易结构及 OpenAI 作为未上市公司的估值可靠性表示担忧，成为融资推进受阻的关键因素之一。该贷款最初设计为以软银持有的 OpenAI 股权作为抵押，期限为两年并可延长一年，用于进一步扩大其在人工智能领域的投资布局。

软银近年来持续加码 AI 赛道，已通过 Vision Fund 2 向 OpenAI 投资约 300 亿美元，并参与包括 Stargate 在内的大型 AI 基础设施项目。不过，此次融资调整也反映出一个更广泛的趋势：尽管 AI 投资热潮持续升温，市场对私营 AI 巨头估值的可验证性正开始出现谨慎情绪，部分机构投资者在风险定价上趋于收紧。

目前相关贷款谈判仍在进行中，最终规模仍存在变动空间。（Bloomberg）