Odaily Planet Daily News The CME FedWatch tool shows that the probability of a 25 basis point rate hike at the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on September 16 has risen to 57%, with the target rate range potentially rising to 3.75% to 4%; the probability of maintaining the current range of 3.5% to 3.75% stands at 43%.

On August 21, the probability of a rate hike was 39.9%, which rose to 57% after the Jackson Hole speech on August 28, and market bets on a September rate cut have essentially disappeared.

Polymarket data shows that the probability of the federal funds rate remaining unchanged is 52%, while the probability of a hike is 48%, with related trading volume exceeding $66.6 million. Kalshi data shows that the probabilities of holding rates steady and hiking are 52% and 48%, respectively, with related trading volume exceeding $23.8 million.

In his speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium, Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh stated that the Fed will adhere to its 2% Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index inflation target, and noted that his commitment is to discipline rather than specific decisions. Data shows that the 12-month PCE inflation rate is 3.7%, and the 6-month reading is 4.1%. (Bitcoin.com News)

Odaily星球日报讯 环球银行金融电信协会（SWIFT）目前每日为跨境结算路由约 5 万亿美元交易，网络覆盖约 200 个国家和地区的 1.15 万家机构，但单笔交易成本仍约为 1%至 4%，结算通常需要 1 至 5 个工作日。面对稳定币、代币化存款和区块链支付在速度与成本上的竞争，SWIFT 已于上月推出区块链账本，汇丰银行与渣打银行随后通过该系统完成首笔实时交易，结算时间缩短至数秒。BNY 预计，稳定币及代币化现金市场规模到 2030 年或达 3.7 万亿美元；花旗预计同期代币化证券市场规模将增至 5.5 万亿美元。

Odaily News: Analyst Rekt Fencer has published a 3-day ratio chart of BTC versus the Nasdaq, marking three significant drawdowns: approximately -84.9% in 2018, approximately -80.7% in 2022, and the current level of approximately -54.3% in 2026.

Rekt Fencer stated that following the previous two instances where Bitcoin lagged the Nasdaq by such a large margin, it subsequently experienced very strong independent rallies, with prices surging straight upward. With the current ratio once again pulling back sharply, history may be repeating itself for a third time. The bottom is approaching, and BTC is set to regain strength.

Odaily News: According to GMGN data, trader Bonkguy (unipcs) has added to his MarsCoin position, currently holding approximately 24.9 million MarsCoin tokens, with total holdings valued at around $1.31 million. His cumulative investment stands at approximately $984,800, with an average cost of $0.0389, yielding unrealized gains of roughly $344,600.

Bonkguy stated that he decided to further increase his MarsCoin position after seeing Bullish list on Binance Futures, adding that he remains confident in his previous trading thesis and believes that trading requires patience for the thesis to play out.

Odaily News, Zakura, a Zcash full node client team, has released Zakura Common, a library providing cryptographic and protocol functions for the Zcash ecosystem. Official benchmark tests show that mobile proof generation speed has increased by more than 14 times, desktop by more than 5 times, Sinsemilla hashing speed by more than 21 times, trial decryption speed by more than 1.5 times, and zk-SNARK verification speed by 4 to 8 times. In many cases, the waiting time for wallet transaction creation can be reduced from over 3 seconds to under 200 milliseconds. This upgrade requires no network upgrade and is open-sourced under the MIT/Apache 2.0 dual license, and Zakura 1.3.0 will switch to this technology stack.

Odaily News, according to Hyperbot data, Machi Big Brother Jeffrey Huang's $100 million ETH long position has turned from a loss to a profit, currently showing an unrealized gain of approximately $510,000. His overall position value now exceeds $118 million, including a $9.9 million HYPE long position with 10x leverage, a $4.336 million Bitcoin long position with 40x leverage, and a $4.197 million PUMP long position with 10x leverage.

Odaily News, Christine Lagarde... International Monetary Fund (IMF) Managing Director Georgieva stated at the Jackson Hole annual meeting that stablecoins and tokenization could enhance global financial liquidity, making large-scale cross-border payments cheaper and faster; however, stablecoins could also exacerbate currency substitution, capital flows, and exchange rate volatility, while undermining capital controls and monetary sovereignty. Dollar-pegged stablecoins could expand the global network effects of the US dollar, marginally reducing US financing costs, but they cannot replace fiscal discipline. Relevant discussions indicate that the BIS tends to favor the marginalization of stablecoins with tokenized deposits taking center stage; the ECB leans toward placing central bank money on-chain; the IMF acknowledges the efficiency of stablecoins in cross-border payments while focusing risk concerns on currency substitution and capital flows in emerging markets.

Odaily News, according to GMGN data, the Robinhood ecosystem token PROLOGUE's market cap has surpassed $11 million, currently reported at $11.7 million, with an intraday surge of over 57x.

It is understood that PROLOGUE is primarily centered around the TGE expectations of Fables, an RWA protocol on the Robinhood Chain. PROLOGUE is regarded by the community as a subscription certificate ahead of the FABLES TGE, with holders able to redeem FABLES at a certain ratio. Fables is built on Uniswap v4 Hooks, primarily providing liquidity for RWAs such as tokenized stocks. Currently, markets for ETH, SPY, GLD, META, NVDA, AAPL, TSLA, and others have been launched.

Odaily reminds that PROLOGUE's current value is mainly driven by Fables TGE expectations and market pricing. Meme coin prices are highly volatile, so please be aware of trading risks.

Odaily News: According to HyperliquidNews monitoring, Unit HIP-4 is scheduled to go live earliest at 11:45 UTC on September 5. An address that deployed Tradexyz HIP-3 withdrew 500,000 HYPE from the Infinitefield validator and staked it to the Hyperliquid Strategies × Unit validator. The address subsequently unstaked another 500,000 HYPE, and these assets will not be available in the spot account until 5 days and 20 hours later. If the deployer has already deployed HIP-3, an additional 500,000 HYPE staking is required to launch HIP-4.

Odaily News: According to the official announcement, Gate has launched MARSCOIN perpetual contract live trading (USDT-settled), supporting 1-20x leverage.

Gate has also added MARSCOIN trading bots and copy trading features.

Odaily News, according to the official announcement, Bitget has launched the USDT-margined "Bull Run" perpetual contract, supporting up to 10x leverage, and the futures trading bot will be available simultaneously. For more details, please refer to the Bitget official platform.

Odaily Planet Daily News: Yi Lihua, founder of Liquid Capital, stated that a new bull market is about to begin, with on-chain finance—especially stocks—opening up new possibilities. Many meaningful opportunities and wealth-building prospects are on the horizon, and there is also the AI industry, which is dozens of times larger than crypto, worth exploring.

Odaily News According to HyperliquidNews monitoring, large positions have returned to Hyperliquid. Currently, there are 6 positions exceeding $100 million, 18 positions exceeding $50 million, 55 positions exceeding $25 million, and 176 positions exceeding $10 million. Meanwhile, large positions under HIP-3 have decreased, with 1 position reaching $41.4 million, 7 positions exceeding $25 million, and 33 positions exceeding $10 million.

Odaily News According to on-chain analyst Yu Ying's monitoring, the HyperLabs address (0x43e9...a251) applied to redeem 433,000 HYPE from staking 10 minutes ago, worth $36.14 million. This HYPE will complete its staking exit in 7 days, i.e., on September 6. Based on previous records, this HYPE will be transferred to a centralized exchange through market maker Flowdesk after the exit.