According to Odaily Seer Channel, in the Polymarket prediction event for "CS2 IEM Cologne Major Final: Furia vs. Team Falcons," a smart money address (0x89dd49bf87c41be422927372a0b75c6ab577f662) with total profits exceeding $1 million purchased $110,000 worth of shares predicting Furia would beat Team Falcons. The average opening price was 41¢, with a purchase of 269,038.0 shares.

Additionally, the address also bought $38,000 worth of shares for Map 1 - Furia defeating Team Falcons (opening price 50.2¢, 91,200.7 shares) and $52,000 worth of shares for Furia winning the match with a -1.5 handicap (opening price 62¢, 83,736.7 shares).

This final is a BO5 series. The match is currently in the first game, with Team Falcons leading Map 1 by a score of 10 to 5.

Odaily Seer Channel keeps a close watch on prediction markets, seeing changes before prices are set.

Odaily News: According to Iran's Fars News Agency, the Supreme Leader's advisor stated that Iran will not abandon the capabilities it has acquired in the Strait of Hormuz.

In other news from Iran, after 80 minutes of negotiations, the US-Iran talks, which involved mediators from Pakistan and Qatar, were temporarily adjourned for a break and internal consultations. Sources indicate that the issue of Iran's nuclear program was not discussed during the first round of talks. This round of negotiations focused on implementing Article 13 of the Memorandum of Understanding, with priority given to issues related to Lebanon. (Jin Shi)

Odaily: The first round of Iran-US negotiations has concluded, according to foreign media reports. (Xinhua News Agency)

Odaily Planet Daily News: In an interview with Fox News on the 21st, U.S. President Trump stated that if the U.S. and Iran fail to reach an agreement, the U.S. will become the "guardian" of the Strait of Hormuz and take 20% of the Middle East's oil revenues. The media outlet reported that Trump spoke with Iranian officials on the evening of the 20th, warning them not to close the Strait of Hormuz. Trump told Iranian officials: "If you close it, you will no longer have a country." (Xinhua News Agency)

Odaily reported that market数据显示 Trump-related Meme coins are broadly rising, among which:

-TRUMP up 7.9% in 24H, now at $1.94;

-MAGATRUMP up 23.6% in 24H, now at $0.0001233;

-FIGHT up 5.4% in 24H, now at $0.0001969;

-DMAGA up 8.1% in 24H, now at $0.00007925;

-WLFI up 1.3% in 24H, now at $0.05871;

-MELANIA up 0.6% in 24H, now at $0.08076.

Odaily Odaily reported that US President Donald Trump spoke with Iranian officials last night and warned them not to close the Strait of Hormuz. Trump said he told the Iranian officials: "If you close it, you won't be a nation anymore. You can’t even go back to your own damn country." Trump indicated that the US could serve as the "guardian angel" of the Strait of Hormuz and take 20% of the oil. "If necessary, we might take over the strait," President Trump told Fox News. "I'll blow them to smithereens." "If they don't make a deal, we'll charge them a toll," he said. (Jin10)

Odaily reported that, according to Onchain Lens monitoring, a whale has opened a 20x leveraged short position on Ethereum, currently holding 23,000 ETH with a position value of $39.64 million and a liquidation price of $1,832.43.

Odaily Odaily news, U.S. Vice President Vance stated that President Trump has called on us to "turn over a new leaf" to change our relationship with the Iranian people. We have reopened the Strait of Hormuz and look forward to further measures, expecting more progress within hours. Trump is committed to achieving a comprehensive regional ceasefire. In the past few days, we have made significant progress in ensuring a ceasefire in Lebanon. Such ceasefires are always a bit chaotic. (Jin Shi)

Odaily News On this day in history, 16 years ago, Satoshi Nakamoto responded to a community user asking how to solve the problem of lost Bitcoin by saying: "Lost coins only make everyone else's coins worth slightly more. Think of it as a donation to everyone."

Odaily Odaily Planet Daily News China Securities Construction Investment believes that domestic models are continuously iterating. GLM-5.2 and Kimi K2.7 Code strengthen 1M context, long-range Agent, Agentic Coding, and real engineering delivery capabilities, pushing domestic models from general Q&A towards developer tools and enterprise-level workflows. Kimi enhances its international operation capabilities, DeepSeek's financing strengthens expectations for leading model industrialization, and WeChat's AI gray-scale testing shows that AI entry points are moving from independent apps to super app ecosystems, which is expected to increase model call frequency and inference token consumption.

Overseas, Anthropic's revenue, number of major clients, and financing scale continue to be revised upward, with demand for enterprise workflows and Agentic Coding still in an expansion phase. On the computing power side, AI cloud vendors' backlog is growing, GPU rental prices are rising, CPU and DRAM/NAND supply constraints are spreading, and the boom in computing power, storage, and rental services is expected to continue. (Jin Shi)

Odaily reports that Michael Saylor, founder and Executive Chairman of bitcoin treasury company Strategy, has once again released information related to the Bitcoin Tracker. Based on previous patterns, Strategy typically discloses its Bitcoin acquisition details the day after such announcements.

According to comprehensive reports from Saudi media, Pakistan’s Foreign Minister Dar stated during a quadrilateral meeting involving Egypt, Turkey, Saudi Arabia, and Pakistan that within a 60-day period, Iran will not prevent ships from passing through the Strait of Hormuz, and no tolls will be imposed at the Strait of Hormuz. Whether it is a "transit fee" or a "service fee," nothing will be collected at the Strait of Hormuz. Pakistan has succeeded in bringing the United States and Iran together for dialogue for the first time in 47 years.

Pakistan worked closely with its partners and allies to ensure the success of the mediation efforts. A war between the U.S. and Iran would be devastating and have a negative impact on the economy. Currently, three technical teams are involved in U.S.-Iran negotiations. The technical committee is discussing nuclear issues, frozen funds, and the situation in Lebanon. Additionally, Dar stated that he has briefed the foreign ministers of Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and Turkey on the memorandum of understanding. (Jin Shi)

Odaily Odaily reports that the "White-Haired Stock Guru" Serenity has published another review of Sivers Semiconductors (SIVE), pointing out that the market still has a skewed understanding of SIVE. SIVE is not merely serving the expansion of CPO (Co-Packaged Optics), but is a core laser supplier in the next-generation optical interconnect architecture. It covers various next-generation optical communication architectures including Pluggable, Scale-out CPO, Scale-up CPO, and NPO. SIVE may be becoming the "laser bottleneck node" in the next-generation optical interconnect architecture. As new optical communication architectures gradually come into effect from 2027 onward, the market may be underestimating SIVE's position in the future AI data center optical interconnect supply chain.

1. Iranian media reports that ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has dropped to zero;

2. Adam Back: Strategy will not go to zero, there is no basis for being bearish on STRC;

3. Kalshi's trading volume this month is close to breaking last month's total notional trading volume of nearly $18 billion;

4. "Stock God" severely criticizes prediction market regulation: additional regulatory scrutiny is coming, and Polymarket KOL paid promotion's impact on X platform’s algorithm should be investigated;

5. Crypto OGs question the activity of the World Chain L2 ecosystem: its Blob submission volume is second only to Base, but the on-chain application ecosystem is extremely barren;

6. Hong Kong police: Over 2,000 people arrested for fraud and money laundering in the first quarter of this year, 70% involving "mule accounts";

7. Already 99% invested? Chuan Mu is once again bullish on SK Hynix: still 50% profit margin at current price, bullish target of 3.9 million won;

8. Citrini researcher Jukan: Citi Bank's report assumptions are conservative, Micron Technology (MU) may outperform expectations this quarter;

9. Binance Alpha will list Arcium (ARX);

10. Iranian President: The $6 billion in frozen funds held by Qatar will be returned.

Odaily Planet Daily News: Qatar's Foreign Ministry spokesperson stated that a technical and expert team has been established to discuss the terms of a final agreement between the United States and Iran; a follow-up team has also been set up to implement the memorandum of understanding until the final agreement is reached. (Jinshi)

Odaily Planet Daily News According to Iran's Tasnim News Agency: Sources close to the negotiating team stated that the Strait of Hormuz will not reopen until the Lebanon ceasefire agreement is adhered to and Iran's oil sales exemption is approved. (Jin10)