CLARITY's implied probability of becoming law this year drops to 15.5%, with TwoEyes and Geminae.Columbae, holding $19.92 million in crypto long positions, retaining their Yes positions

Odaily News: The implied probability of the CLARITY Act being signed into law this year has dropped to 15.5%. Currently, in this prediction market, only TwoEyes and Geminae.Columbae, both of whom have been long-term active participants on Polymarket and Hyperliquid, have retained their previously established Yes positions and have not exited as odds declined. The two collectively hold approximately 254,600 Yes shares, with a position value of around $39,500 and a combined unrealized loss of approximately $11,800. Both traders' average entry costs correspond to roughly a 20% probability of enactment. TwoEyes holds approximately 195,500 Yes shares with an average cost probability of about 20.2%, currently facing an unrealized loss of around $9,197; Geminae.Columbae holds approximately 59,200 Yes shares with a cost probability of about 19.94%, currently facing an unrealized loss of around $2,628. On the other side, both continue to maintain significant crypto asset exposure, with their combined nominal size of crypto long positions currently totaling approximately $19.92 million. TwoEyes holds roughly $1.606 million in BTC long positions, along with approximately $348,000 in short crude oil positions; Geminae.Columbae holds long positions in BTC, ZEC, LINK, and HYPE, totaling approximately $18.317 million.