Serenity Criticizes Paid Analysis Services: If You Could Really Predict the Semiconductor Sector Collapse, Why Not Profit from Shorting?

Odaily Odaily reports that the "White-Haired Stock God" Serenity stated that he has long shared his personal research and core views for free, without attempting to sell products or provide investment instructions to others. Meanwhile, he insists on transparently disclosing his personal investment returns, whether profit or loss. Regarding certain paid technical analysis (TA) subscription services, if these institutions could truly and consistently predict the collapse of the semiconductor market, they should theoretically generate substantial profits through short selling, rather than relying on monetizing paid content.

Addressing the recent significant correction in AI-related stocks such as semiconductors and optical communications, Serenity explained that if his own portfolio employed 1.4x leverage while being highly concentrated in memory chips and the photonics industry chain, with related assets declining by an average of 35%, the portfolio's theoretical drawdown could reach approximately 49%. AI-related assets still hold long-term recovery potential, as the demand within the AI industry chain is forming structural growth, including: continuously increasing demand for AI computing, expanding energy needs for data centers, growing demand for high-performance storage, and upgrades to network infrastructure. Despite short-term market volatility, from the overall demand across computing, energy, memory, and network communication, the construction of AI infrastructure remains in a long-term development cycle.