Monera Digital | 2026年5月基金月報:逆市穩健增長,規模再創新高
- 核心觀點:2026年5月加密市場受宏觀因素壓制,流動性傳導失敗,BTC和ETH價格顯著下跌,ETF資金創紀錄淨流出;而Monera Digital基金通過多元化策略逆市增長,AUM達1,482萬美元,實現16.23%APY。
- 關鍵要素:
- 宏觀三重壓力(地緣政治、通膨、聯準會政策)導致風險資產承壓,加密市場「流動性傳導失敗」,月末利多下仍由升轉跌。
- BTC月初觸及82,850美元後收於73,674美元,ETH/BTC比率跌至0.02675;BTC現貨ETF全月淨流出24.25億美元,創史上第三大單月流出紀錄。
- BTC已擊穿MicroStrategy約75,500美元成本線,71,400美元為最後防線;鏈上MVRV與SOPR雙雙跌破盈虧線,呈現投降式割肉型態。
- Monera Digital基金5月AUM從1,213萬美元增至1,482萬美元,月增長22.17%;自成立五個月內AUM累計增長近15倍。
- 基金實際APY為16.23%,加權APY達58.71%;資產配置中主動交易佔66.7%,量化交易佔26.0%,風險投資佔6.7%。
- 後市需看ETF資金回流與鏈上投降訊號終結,若AI龍頭重挫或MicroStrategy被迫拋售,將引發極大恐慌風險。

1. Market Review: Failed Liquidity Transmission, Crypto Market Weakens Independently
In May 2026, macroeconomic factors continued to dominate market pricing. The combined pressures of geopolitical tensions, rebounding inflation, and the Federal Reserve's policy expectations weighed on the overall performance of risk assets, with the crypto market's capacity for absorption notably declining.
This month, the crypto market experienced a textbook case of "failed liquidity transmission." In the first half of the month, stronger-than-expected inflation data pushed back expectations of Fed easing, causing asset pricing to realign with the macro narrative and putting sustained pressure on risk assets. Towards the end of the month, despite signs of a geopolitical thaw and a simultaneous decline in US Treasury yields and oil prices—factors typically seen as bullish—the crypto market refused to embrace this macro loosening, ultimately turning from gains to losses. This exposed the brutal reality of an accelerated, cycle-level bear market purge.
In terms of price performance, BTC touched $82,850 at the beginning of the month but subsequently declined, closing at $73,674. ETH performed even more weakly, with the ETH/BTC ratio hitting a low of 0.02675, showing a significantly larger decline than BTC. BTC dominance remained high, while alternative coin liquidity continued to shrink, leading to an overall market cap correction.
On the capital front, the most significant characteristic of this month was "severe internal capital hemorrhage": BTC spot ETFs completely reversed their April trend of net inflows, recording massive net outflows of $2.425 billion for the month—the third-largest single-month outflow in history. ETH ETFs also experienced significant capital flight. Concurrently, Coinbase saw a severe negative premium, and both short-term and long-term holder MVRV and SOPR on the chain fell below the breakeven line, presenting a classic pattern of capitulatory selling.
Looking ahead, BTC has substantially breached MicroStrategy's cost threshold of approximately $75,500, leaving $71,400 as the last line of defense on a cycle basis. Bottom-fishing in the short term carries extremely high risk. A true stabilization and turnaround will not depend on a single day's macro improvement; instead, it requires a clear return of ETF capital flows and an end to on-chain capitulation signals. If a major US AI stock experiences an exponential crash, or if BTC reserve companies like MicroStrategy are forced to sell due to breaching cost bases, triggering a chain of deleveraging, the crypto market faces a significant risk of panic. Investment requires prudence, with risk management taking precedence.
2. Fund Data: Steady Growth Against the Trend, AUM Reaches New High
Against the backdrop of overall market pressure, Monera Digital's fund continued to record positive growth in May 2026, with key core metrics performing strongly.
As of the end of May, the fund's total Assets Under Management (AUM) reached $14.82 million, a net increase of approximately $2.9 million from $12.13 million at the beginning of the month. The monthly growth rate was 22.17%, with newly introduced capital for the month amounting to $2.1308 million. Since its inception, the fund's AUM has grown consistently over five months, starting from an initial $1 million in January 2026—surpassing $3.33 million in February, jumping to $6.78 million in March, breaking $12.13 million in April, and reaching a new high of $14.82 million in May. This represents a cumulative increase of nearly 15 times in five months, fully demonstrating the strategy's stability and sustained capital appeal.
In terms of returns, the fund's actual yield APY was 16.23%, while the weighted yield APY reached an impressive 58.71%. Such performance is rare in the current market environment, consistently providing investors with stable returns that surpass the market.
3. Asset Allocation: Diversified Layout, Active Trading as Core Driver
This month, the fund's total assets under management stood at $14.82 million, allocated using a diversified strategy. Of this, Proactive Trading is the fund's primary source of returns, with an allocation of $9.8794 million, accounting for 66.7% of total AUM, making it the main engine driving overall performance. Quantitative Trading has an allocation of $3.8573 million, representing 26.0%, effectively complementing the proactive trading strategy to build a multi-dimensional return system. Venture Investing has an allocation of $1 million, accounting for 6.7%, focusing on early-stage positions in high-quality projects. Other Assets total $83,424, serving as a supplementary allocation.
The overall allocation structure is centered on active trading, complemented by quantitative strategies and early-stage investments. This approach effectively balances return generation and risk control amidst the current period of heightened market volatility.
4. Conclusion
Despite the adverse conditions of a pressured crypto market and significant net outflows from ETFs in May 2026, the Monera Digital fund achieved a month-over-month AUM growth of 4.61% and a cumulative weighted APY of 58.71%, thanks to its diversified strategy allocation and stringent risk management system, consistently generating excess returns for investors. Looking ahead to June, the team will prioritize risk management while closely tracking ETF capital flows, on-chain data recovery signals, and macro policy changes. We will adjust position structures in a timely manner to capitalize on the asymmetric opportunities presented by the cycle bottom.
Interested parties are welcome to contact us:
X: https://x.com/Monera_Digital
TG:https://t.me/MoneraDigital_Official
This report is prepared by the Monera Digital trading team for reference purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.


