BTC
ETH
HTX
SOL
BNB
View Market
简中
繁中
English
日本語
한국어
ภาษาไทย
Tiếng Việt

WEEX Launches "US Stock Earnings Oracle": Predict US Stock Movements and Share 6,000 USDT

WEEX Labs
特邀专栏作者
@weexglobal_ch
This article is about 4450 words, reading the full article takes about 7 minutes
Participate in earnings releases and stock price performance predictions for popular companies, guess whether prices will rise or fall, and win USDT rewards.
AI Summary
Expand
  • Key Takeaways: WEEX Exchange has launched the "US Stock Earnings Oracle" campaign, featuring up-or-down prediction contests around the earnings of four tech giants — SanDisk, Tesla, Google, and Intel — with a total prize pool of 6,000 USDT. Participants can share the prize pool evenly regardless of whether their predictions are correct or not.
  • Key Elements:
    1. The campaign runs from October 6 to November 6, 2026. Users earn points through daily check-ins, contract trading, predictions, and inviting friends. A minimum of 3 points is required to place a bet on the up-or-down direction.
    2. Reward mechanism: The winning side shares 70% of the single-match prize pool, while the other side shares 30%. In the event of a tie, rewards are distributed based on each individual's proportion of total points wagered. A points leaderboard is also in place, with the top 20 earning VIP5 to VIP7 membership benefits.
    3. SanDisk's earnings will be released on October 30, with a prize pool of 2,000 USDT. NAND contract prices are expected to rise 15%-20% quarter-over-quarter in Q4, but the stock has already surged over 500% year-to-date, raising volatility risks amid elevated expectations.
    4. Tesla's earnings will be released on October 22, with a prize pool of 2,000 USDT. Q3 deliveries reached 486,500 units, beating expectations but down 2.1% year-over-year. EPS is expected to decline about 10% year-over-year, with the market focused on profit margins and returns on AI investment.
    5. Google's earnings will be released on October 29, with a prize pool of 1,000 USDT. Cloud revenue last quarter was $24.77 billion, up 82% year-over-year, but free cash flow turned negative. AI capital expenditure and advertising growth rate are key metrics to watch.
    6. Intel's earnings will be released on October 30, with a prize pool of 1,000 USDT. Q2 revenue of $16.13 billion beat expectations, but the stock has risen over 200% year-to-date. The market is watching data center CPU demand and the sustainability of foundry business improvements.
    7. FactSet expects S&P 500 constituents to report Q3 earnings growth of 29.5% year-over-year, but the Nasdaq fell 1.25% on October 8 amid a semiconductor sector pullback, highlighting significant post-earnings volatility risks under elevated valuations.

Previewing tech giants' earnings to anticipate market movements. WEEX Exchange has officially launched the "US Stock Earnings Prophet" campaign, inviting users to predict the price movements of popular companies including SanDisk (SNDK), Tesla (TSLA), Google (GOOGL), and Intel (INTC) around their earnings releases and stock performance, for a chance to win USDT rewards.

The campaign runs from October 6, 2026, 19:00 to November 6, 2026, 23:59 (UTC+8). During the campaign, users can earn points through daily check-ins, futures trading, participating in predictions, and inviting friends, then use those points to predict the stock price movements of popular US companies after their earnings releases. New users receive points upon registration.

Predict Earnings-Driven Price Movements — Winners, Losers, and Draws Can All Share the USDT Prize Pool

This campaign uses a points-based prediction mechanism. After earning points, users can choose a "bullish" or "bearish" direction to place bets, with a minimum bet of 3 points per prediction. Each prediction event has its own independent USDT prize pool. Users can bet on both directions simultaneously, with no limit on the number of bets, and can add more points to their position after placing an initial bet.

The campaign compares the closing price on the last trading day before the earnings release with the closing price on the first trading day after the earnings release: if the stock price gain exceeds 0%, the bullish side wins; if the gain is below 0%, the bearish side wins; if the gain equals 0%, it is deemed a draw.

In terms of reward distribution, the winning side shares 70% of that event's total prize pool, while the other side shares 30%. In the event of a draw, the prize pool is distributed proportionally based on each user's individual bet points as a share of the total bet points for that event.

Point-earning channels include daily position check-ins, daily futures trading, cumulative futures trading, participating in earnings predictions, and inviting friends. Specifically, daily futures trading volume reaching 25,000, 70,000, 120,000, and 250,000 USDT earns 2, 4, 4, and 10 points respectively; cumulative futures trading volume reaching 1 million, 2.5 million, 4 million, 7 million, 15 million, and 25 million USDT earns 40, 60, 60, 140, 300, and 400 points respectively. Registering for the campaign earns 2 points, and completing designated prediction tasks can earn additional points.

Inviting friends also earns points. When an existing user invites a new user to register on WEEX, after the invitee completes a net deposit of at least 100 USDT and accumulates at least 1,000 USDT in futures trading volume, both the inviter and the invitee receive 10 points each.

In addition to individual event rewards, the campaign also features a points leaderboard. The leaderboard ranks users by total points accumulated during the campaign period: the top 3 receive 30-day VIP7 membership benefits, ranks 4 through 10 receive 30-day VIP6 membership benefits, and ranks 11 through 20 receive 30-day VIP5 membership benefits.

Currently, earnings predictions for four companies — SanDisk (SNDK), Tesla (TSLA), Google (GOOGL), and Intel (INTC) — are live, with individual prize pools of 2,000, 2,000, 1,000, and 1,000 USDT respectively, totaling 6,000 USDT across all four events.

Campaign details: https://www.weex.com/zh-CN/events/tradfi-prediction/tradfi-prediction1006

Four Major US Stock Earnings Previews: Volatility Risks Rise Amid High Valuations and High Expectations

Entering the Q3 earnings season, AI computing power, cloud computing, and storage demand remain key market focuses. According to FactSet data from early October, analysts expect S&P 500 constituent companies to post a 29.5% year-over-year increase in Q3 earnings, with corporate earnings growth expectations remaining broadly strong. However, tech stocks have accumulated significant gains, and the market has recently begun to focus on issues such as valuations, capital expenditures, and AI investment returns. On October 8, the Nasdaq index fell 1.25%, and the semiconductor sector also saw a notable pullback, highlighting that stock price volatility risks are rising in a high-expectations environment.

SanDisk (SNDK): NAND Price Hikes and Strong AI Storage Demand — High Expectations May Amplify Earnings Volatility

Earnings release time: October 30, 04:00 (UTC+8)

Total prize pool: 2,000 USDT

SanDisk is a major supplier of NAND flash memory and storage products, and demand for enterprise SSDs from AI data centers is becoming an important driver of growth in the storage industry.

According to publicly available market data, SanDisk's earnings per share (EPS) for the next fiscal quarter is expected to be approximately $46 to $47, with revenue expected at approximately $10.8 billion. The company previously guided for next-quarter EPS of $44 to $46 and revenue of $10.3 billion to $10.8 billion, indicating that the market already has high expectations for its profitability. Meanwhile, TrendForce forecast in late September that NAND Flash contract prices would rise 15% to 20% quarter-over-quarter in Q4 2026, with enterprise SSD demand being one of the main drivers.

However, favorable industry conditions do not necessarily mean the stock price will continue to rise. SanDisk's stock had already gained over 500% year-to-date as of October 8, with market optimism about AI storage demand and product price increases largely already reflected in the valuation. On October 8, affected by Samsung's preliminary results missing analyst expectations, SanDisk's stock fell about 4.9% that day, with the storage sector broadly under pressure. This also shows that even though the industry remains in an upcycle, investors' expectations threshold for growth speed and future price trends continues to rise.

Outlook: Short-term range-bound with a slight bearish bias. If SanDisk's reported results only meet existing expectations, or if management's outlook on future NAND prices and enterprise SSD demand falls short of market expectations, the stock could face "sell-the-news" pressure; if actual earnings significantly beat market expectations and the company further raises guidance, the stock could still continue to strengthen.

Tesla (TSLA): Deliveries Beat Expectations, Margins and AI Investment Returns Become Key

Earnings release time: October 22, 04:00 (UTC+8)

Total prize pool: 2,000 USDT

Tesla's Q3 deliveries came in at 486,532 vehicles, above analysts' previous expectations of approximately 457,000 to 462,000. After the delivery data was released, the stock rose about 4.7%. However, deliveries still declined about 2.1% year-over-year for the quarter, and energy storage product deployments came in at 13.7 GWh, also below the market's previous expectation of approximately 15.9 GWh. Therefore, the delivery improvement alone is not enough to fully dispel market concerns about the company's operational quality.

According to publicly available analyst estimates, Tesla's Q3 EPS is expected to be approximately $0.45, with revenue expected at approximately $27.78 billion, representing year-over-year declines of about 10% and 1.1% respectively. Analyst views have recently diverged: Goldman Sachs maintains a neutral rating on Tesla, believing that rising costs and increased capital expenditures could limit room for profitability improvement; on the other hand, businesses such as Robotaxi, Full Self-Driving software (FSD), and the Optimus humanoid robot open up long-term valuation upside for the company.

The core question for the market currently is whether Tesla can maintain competitiveness in its automotive business while investing heavily in AI, autonomous driving, and robotics, and gradually generate new revenue and cash flow sources. If automotive business margins continue to face pressure while AI-related businesses struggle to contribute meaningful returns in the short term, the market may reassess the reasonableness of its high valuation.

Outlook: Short-term neutral to bearish, with significant volatility expected. The positive news of deliveries beating expectations has already been partially reflected in prior stock performance, and the upcoming earnings report needs to further demonstrate improved profitability and cash flow. If automotive business margins come in better than expected, or if management sends clear signals of autonomous driving commercialization progress, the stock could still gain upward momentum; conversely, if capital expenditures continue to climb and earnings guidance is weak, the stock could pull back.

Google (GOOGL): Advertising and Cloud Businesses Support Growth, AI Capital Expenditures Affect Market Confidence

Earnings release time: October 29, 04:00 (UTC+8)

Total prize pool: 1,000 USDT

As Google's parent company, Alphabet's quarterly performance is primarily driven by a combination of search advertising, YouTube advertising, Google Cloud, and AI-related investments. As generative AI competition intensifies, the market is not only focused on technological progress in products like Gemini, but increasingly on whether AI can drive actual revenue growth in advertising, cloud computing, and subscription businesses.

Recent market analysis reports estimate Alphabet's Q3 EPS at approximately $3.04, with revenue of approximately $127.2 billion. The company's Google Cloud revenue in the previous quarter reached $24.77 billion, up about 82% year-over-year, reflecting still-robust demand for AI-related computing power and cloud services. However, free cash flow turning negative in the previous quarter, along with the possibility that future AI infrastructure capital expenditures may continue to expand, has also kept investors attentive to earnings quality and returns on capital investment.

In terms of stock price, Alphabet's year-to-date gain has been relatively modest, with the stock pulling back about 4% in Q3. After the launch of a new Gemini model in late September, the market did not show a significant sustained stock price reaction. This indicates that simply releasing new products is no longer enough to sustainably drive valuations higher; advertising revenue growth, cloud business margins, and capital expenditure guidance are the most critical metrics to watch in this earnings report.

Outlook: Neutral to bullish, but upside depends on earnings delivery. If search advertising maintains steady growth, Google Cloud continues its high growth rate, and AI investments begin to generate clearer commercial returns, the stock could find support and attempt a rebound. If revenue grows but capital expenditures rise further and free cash flow pressure intensifies, the market may also readjust its valuation due to investment returns falling short of expectations.

Intel (INTC): AI Server CPU Demand Recovers — Whether Earnings Improvement Can Be Sustained Is Key

Earnings release time: October 30, 04:00 (UTC+8)

Total prize pool: 1,000 USDT

Intel has recently benefited from recovering demand for data center CPUs and growing computing demand driven by AI Agent development. The company's Q2 revenue reached $16.13 billion, with adjusted EPS of $0.42, both above previous market expectations. The company subsequently guided for Q3 revenue of $15.8 billion to $16.8 billion, reflecting management's relatively optimistic view on short-term business demand.

Currently, the market expects Intel's Q3 EPS at approximately $0.39, with revenue of approximately $16.4 billion. Investors are focused not only on whether the earnings report can meet this level, but also on whether growth in data center and AI-related businesses can be sustained, whether advanced process node progress meets expectations, and whether the foundry business can further improve operating performance.

However, the stock price has already priced in a great deal of optimism. As of early October, Intel's stock had gained over 200% year-to-date. Recent news that Elon Musk's Terafab project might partner with TSMC has also led some investors to reassess Intel's potential benefit from the project. Meanwhile, the semiconductor sector broadly pulled back on October 8, indicating that capital is becoming more cautious toward high-valuation AI supply chain names.

Outlook: Short-term range-bound with a bearish bias; the market will focus on testing the sustainability of earnings improvement. If Intel's revenue and earnings beat expectations and the company provides a more convincing growth outlook, data center CPU demand and advanced process progress could become catalysts for stock price gains. However, given that the stock has already risen substantially this year, if the earnings report merely meets expectations, foundry business progress remains unclear, or the market continues to lower valuations for the semiconductor sector, the stock could face pullback pressure.

Overall, SanDisk's key variable is whether NAND prices and AI storage demand can continue to exceed expectations; Tesla needs to prove that delivery growth can translate into profit and cash flow; Google's focus is on advertising, cloud computing growth, and AI investment returns; Intel needs to further validate whether AI-related demand can support sustained earnings improvement. The four companies operate in different industries and stages of development, and their post-earnings stock performance will depend on the gap between actual results and market expectations.

Currently, earnings predictions for SanDisk, Tesla, Google, and Intel are live in the WEEX "US Stock Earnings Prophet" campaign, with a total prize pool of 6,000 USDT across all four events. Whether you predict a win, loss, or draw, you can participate in sharing the prize pool. Sign up now (https://www.weex.com/zh-CN/events/tradfi-prediction/tradfi-prediction1006) and seize the market hotspots of US stock earnings season.

invest
Welcome to Join Odaily Official Community