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A Comprehensive Look at the 2025 New Forecast Market (Part 2)
CryptoLeo
Odaily资深作者
@LeoAndCrypto
6hours ago
This article is about 4794 words, reading the full article takes about 7 minutes
Personally test a number of projects worth participating in, and experience them while keeping the risks in mind.

Original | Odaily Planet Daily ( @OdailyChina )

By CryptoLeo ( @LeoAndCrypto )

This article is a sequel to " A Comprehensive Review of New Prediction Markets in 2025 (Part 1) ". It screened ten new prediction market projects. The screening criteria is still "potential early-stage projects that can make money."

PredictBase (betting cashback)

Introduction: PredictBase is a decentralized prediction market on the Base network. Users can create predictions based on real-world events and place bets using USDC. PredictBase is permissionless, transparent, and community-driven, and its operations are all completed by smart contracts.

How to participate: PredictBase is a classic prediction market that covers sectors such as sports, entertainment, encryption, and finance. Users only need to connect their wallets and place bets. The PredictBase token has been listed on Base. The token ticker is PREDI, currently priced at $0.011. It has launched a reward mechanism, and users can receive 1 PREDI airdrop for every $1 bet.

In addition, PredictBase has launched a sports rewards program, distributing PREDI rewards to the top ten users based on their weekly betting amount. Since it's still early days and there aren't many users, getting on the list isn't difficult.

Billy Bets (AI agent betting)

Introduction: Billy Bets is an AI-powered sports prediction market agent specializing in analysis and betting for basketball, football, and baseball. It offers automated betting strategies and is based on prediction platforms (Polymarket and Kalshi). Currently in beta, the platform previously announced a $1 million funding round from investors including Coinbase Ventures and Virtuals Ventures.

How to Participate: The beta version currently integrates Kalshi (which will soon launch prediction market betting features like Polymarket). Users must set up a Kalshi account, top up their account funds, and set a Kalshi API key on the Billy platform settings page. Then, you can create a strategy, filter high-scoring events using the BCS (Billy Confidence Score), select your preferred odds/price range, set early profit thresholds, and set a pre-event timeframe to participate in Kalshi's predictions for sports like the NFL, NCAA, and MLB.

Billy Bets has launched a rewards system based on trading volume and referrals, and recently introduced a points-based reward system. This system tracks user betting volume and platform referrals, and uses this data to contribute to the rewards program. Its BILLY token is currently trading at $0.0043, with a market capitalization of $6.4 million.

Touchmarket (Matryoshka Monad)

Introduction: Touchmarket is a social prediction market based on Monad (currently on testnet), similar to options trading, but with arbitrary time settings. It primarily predicts cryptocurrency prices, offering returns with 50x to 1000x leverage. Currently, it includes predictions for ETH, BNB, SOL, SUI, and XRP.

How to participate: Users can connect to the official website through their X account and automatically receive a $1,000 start-up capital. They can set a time period and enter the opening cost (position by position; remaining funds will not be liquidated). Users with the highest daily profit rankings will receive tMON test coins (500 coins) and can interact with Monad.

PredictEX (Leveraged Odds)

Introduction: PredictEX is a sports prediction protocol currently in beta. Unlike Touchmarket, PredictEX allows for adjustable leverage for participating in predicted events. It covers sports such as MLB, NBA, and NFL, but updates are slow, so currently only the MLB section is available.

How to participate: Users can log in via email. After logging in, they can add their ERC, SOL, and AVAX addresses, receive a $1,000 starting fund (claimed every 24 hours), and participate in competition predictions. Points and rankings will be introduced in the future. The website is somewhat lag-free, but early on, you can opt out of adding any wallet addresses and register with only a new email address. This is free and risk-free, so give it a try.

Vortx HL (How to Play)

Introduction: Vortx HL is a prediction market based on Hyperliquid. Currently, there are relatively few participants. Users can make prediction transactions by depositing USDT 0. For every USDT 0 deposited, they will receive a Yes and NO token, and then they can trade.

How to participate:

Create a prediction event: The standard deposit is $50 VORTX tokens and 100 USDT 0, and the reward is 0.1% of the total trading volume of the predicted event (those with high popularity and trading volume have an advantage).

Participate in prediction events: In addition to purchasing YES and NO in other people's prediction events, Vortx HL prediction is more interesting in that you can also provide liquidity. After depositing, create a limit sell order for your YES and NO tokens, and sell your YES or NO tokens at a limit price lower than the market price. Limit orders can enjoy a 0.15% market rebate, and after the transaction is completed, it will be automatically settled to the creator in the form of USDT 0.

Profit and loss scenario (reverse betting): Deposit 100 USDT 0 and place an order (for example, if the market price is 0.8 USD per YES token, you place an order at 0.75; if the market price is 0.4 USD per NO token, you place an order at 0.35). If a user buys your YES token at a price lower than the market price and trades the predicted event, you will receive cash below the market price.

- The user's prediction is successful (YES), and you lose $25 (100-75);

- If the user's prediction fails (that is, the predicted event wins as NO), your profit is NO tokens (US$100 minus 2% handling fee) + US$75 in cash, which is US$173.

- If the user purchased all YES and NO tokens ($75 + $35), you would receive $110, a profit of $10.

In addition, you can also purchase the official token VORTX and stake it to get rewards. The current price of VORTX is $0.00022, and the staking threshold is at least 10,000 tokens ($2.2).

Buzzing (big background, big vision)

Introduction: Buzzing is a personalized social prediction market powered by Blended Builders, the official endorsement team behind the L2 network Fluent. Combining prediction markets and social media, Buzzing allows users to create, share, and trade predictions on social media with one click. By integrating AI, the platform automatically generates clear, precise, and fair market rules. Officials claim that Web 3 social networks lack a robust prediction protocol, and that Buzzing will lead the resurgence of Web 3 social networks (aiming to become a social Polymarket?).

Its co-founder DeFiGuyLuke (@DeFiGuyLuke) has worked at Cobo, Alibaba, and Kwai.

How to participate: Bzzing is currently in the early testing stage and has not yet been fully launched. Please continue to pay attention.

Signals (testnet, playable)

Introduction: Siginals is a prediction market designed specifically for Bitcoin prices on the BTC L2 network Citrea. It is now available on the Citrea testnet and is the first Bitcoin price prediction market launched on the Citrea Testnet. Similar to Upside mentioned in the previous article, it also predicts Bitcoin prices based on betting ranges.

How to participate: Log in to the official website and connect your wallet to receive 100 SUSD. You can also receive 1,000 SUSD by joining DC. You can then add a daily price prediction and adjust your prediction range based on $100. The website will display your profit after a successful prediction; the smaller the range, the higher the profit. Officials have stated that rewards will be available after the beta period ends.

Note: Citrea testnet cBTC is required as gas fee. The Siginals official website can directly access the cBTC water interface with one click. X or DC verification is sufficient. After the bet is successfully placed, you can see your position. Users can close the position at any time before the settlement time.

Flashduels (predicting stock and alliance)

Introduction: Flashduels is a decentralized prediction market platform built by the Filament team. It is also a Filament prediction market sub-project, focusing on sports and cultural events. Positioned as the "Roblox of prediction markets" (compared to other social prediction market projects, it leans more towards social gameplay), it allows users to create, participate in, and own customized prediction market alliances, earning compounding rewards over time by attracting users. Unlike one-time bets, Flashduels is designed as a long-term "conviction market," similar to stocks, but targeted to sports seasons, leagues, or trends. Flashduels also incorporates social and gaming elements, such as real-time chat, leaderboards, custom avatars, and personalized usernames.

How to Participate: Register via email and automatically receive 1,000 USDC starting capital. Fill out your application to become a Curator and create custom prediction markets based on match performance, player statistics, match win/loss predictions, short-term event predictions, and more. Once created, share your market on social media and invite others to join. Additionally, you can buy players (monetizing their long-term performance) to profit similar to stocks. Currently, these are the only options available in the Alpha version. Register to become an early adopter and stay tuned for updates.

PNP Exchange (creator revenue sharing and token rewards)

Introduction: PNP is a decentralized prediction market on Solana, divided into sectors such as sports, politics, and crypto, though the crypto sector (predicting token prices and market capitalization) currently dominates. Users can create and participate in prediction markets, earning 50% of all transaction fees, which can be redeemed at any time. The project's token, PNP, currently has a market capitalization of approximately $1.5 million. PNP also launched a creation competition, with the top 30 creators by transaction volume before October 5th receiving PNP tokens as rewards.

How to participate: Participating and creating predictions is simple. Simply connect your wallet, fill out the relevant questions, and provide initial liquidity.

PolyFund (investment forecasts and forecast rebates)

Introduction: PolyFund is a prediction market fund project based on the Polygon network. Built on Polymarket, all markets and outcomes are secured by the Polymarket infrastructure. Prediction market fund projects are a risky form of investment and financial management and fall into two categories:

1. Investing in a Fund Manager: If you don't have much time to research and predict events, you can choose a fund manager with a high win rate or accurate predictions and invest in their fund (the fund manager won't allow you to directly withdraw your investment funds, but you can trade on the prediction market). The fund manager will use the investment funds to trade on Polymarket. After the prediction is completed, if you achieve a profit, you can withdraw the principal and corresponding dividends. It's important to note that:

Each fund manager can set a deposit fee rate (up to 3%), which means that when your USDC buys funds, some deposit fees will be deducted;

When a fund manager participates in the prediction market and generates profits, the protocol will retain up to 30% (which can be set by the fund manager) of the profits and distribute them to the fund manager;

2. Become a fund manager: If you have enough confidence in your forecasting ability and participate more in forecasting, the higher your forecasting profit rate will be, the more you can publicize your forecasting performance and thus become the fund manager mentioned in the previous paragraph.

How to participate: To participate in a fund manager's investment, you need to understand their track record, expertise, and operating model, then choose a fund you believe in. To create a fund, you need to provide a fund ticker, a description (previous prediction win rate), a deposit fee, and a profit share, then you can promote yourself. If you have a high prediction win rate and profit in a particular sector on Polymarket, the 30% commission is quite attractive.

Conclusion

Previously, Vitalik mentioned in an article that the prediction market is actually far more important than we see it. It is a more popular field pioneer with the potential to be applied to other fields such as social, science, and news. Even for events, the trend of some predicted events is faster and more accurate than that of news media .

For the crypto industry, the biggest problem with prediction markets is insufficient liquidity . Even the liquidity on Polymarket and Kalshi is insufficient to support traders' trading volume. For retail investors, there are not enough prediction events with rising potential . The rising potential of the binary market is ultimately limited. In addition, most markets on the Polymarket and Kalshi platforms are generally less volatile, and the low profit rates do not attract retail investors.

Judging from the projects recommended this time, the prediction market has evolved from the previous simple binary prediction method of opinion events to the current trend prediction, AI agent prediction, leverage effect prediction, prediction funds and prediction position lending, from the Base network to SOL, Hype and even Monad and BTC L2 test network. The update and development of the prediction market is actually very fast, and it is also working hard to solve problems such as liquidity, prediction gameplay, and wealth effect.

While we might be pessimistic about the projects covered in these two issues, not all of them will "cross cycles," but by getting early access, you're already at the forefront. As global events like the US election and the Israel-Iran conflict come to the fore, niche markets may see widespread adoption due to the emergence of various updated and iterative projects.

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