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Weekly Editors' Picks Weekly Editors' Picks (0409-0415)
郝方舟
Odaily资深作者
@OdailyChina
2022-04-16 00:59
This article is about 7149 words, reading the full article takes about 11 minutes
High-quality in-depth analysis articles and weekly hot spots.

"Weekly Editor's Picks" is a "functional" column of Odaily.On the basis of covering a large amount of real-time information every week, a lot of high-quality in-depth analysis content will also be released, but they may be hidden in the information flow and hot news, and pass you by.

Now, come and read with us:

Now, come and read with us:

invest

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invest

Multicoin Partner: How to find the optimal solution for investment?

A very short article, just in line with the author's "simple > complex".

For most decisions, a single variable is probably more important than all the others combined. This is why the key to "decision making" is not to build complex utility models, but to clearly know which of the variables you need to optimize.

The first part of the Multicoin Investment Memorandum is called the "Summary", and this part is only allowed to be summarized within three sentences. If you cannot accurately explain the reasons for investing in the project in three sentences, then we will not into the next step of the discussion. You can also try to use this method to summarize the projects you are optimistic about or are currently researching.

How to dig deep into a crypto project?

The first step is to understand what the project does, how it makes money, and whether it is at the protocol or chain level. You can also enter the community to discuss and ask the team for advice, as well as find data and observe the movements of giant whales.

For chains, non-major chains should generally be viewed as short-to-medium-term trades, not long-term holdings. Chain usage can be looked at in terms of number of transactions, total value locked (essentially an indicator of how much capital is being put to work on the chain) and the number of users on any given chain to see if people like to use it . Best also as users feel it, find reasons for data and data growth, track smart money, observe supply distribution. The author uses SRM and NEAR as examples to explain the chain evaluation in terms of data.

For an agreement, the primary goal is to be able to explain the goals of the project, whether the product has a need or addressable market, implied expectations, competitive advantages in terms of usage, valuation, hype, etc.

The goal of research is to establish your own beliefs, not the beliefs of others. If you don't have confidence in an investment, when it goes down 50% (which it almost certainly will), you need to have the confidence to stay invested or buy more chips at a cheaper price. Most losers are stuck comparing their tokens only to the market cap of the next market leader. "I usually look for low starting valuations (usually $150-500 million market cap), I think they're building something special, they can go to $1-2 billion. I don't look at plagiarized projects because if the project can easily fork, then its competitive advantage is very, very low.”

DeFi

How to Use Twitter to Find More Crypto Alpha?

Use Twitter lists, Tweetdeck, IFTTT, put key individuals and accounts in the notification bar, monitor Chad_follows, favorite tweets.

Messari: Review Uniswap's market performance and progress in the first quarter

As the market's interest in cryptocurrencies and NFTs wanes, Uniswap's total transaction volume and corresponding liquidity provider fees have declined in Q1 2022, with transaction volume down 53.5% from the previous quarter.

Uniswap V2 was the only network to experience a drop in liquidity during the quarter, down 25.7%, while all other networks saw small nominal increases. The drop in V2 liquidity did coincide with a drop in retail trading volume as V2 included more long-tail token pairs. The four most active markets in Q1 are USDC/WETH, USDT/WETH, SAITAMA/WETH, and FXS/FRAX. On Uniswap V3, the most active trading pairs are USDC/WETH, USDC/USDT, and WBTC/WETH. The three contributed 61% of the trading volume of the V3 market, respectively reflecting the Ethereum and stable currency markets that are the cornerstone of the smart contract network. And the relationship between the two largest cryptocurrencies by market capitalization Three market movements.

As the latest blockchain supported by Uniswap V3, the transaction volume on Polygon has become the market with the largest transaction volume in Uniswap V3 besides Ethereum (even in the absence of liquidity mining incentives); the next quarter Additional liquidity mining incentives should continue to help drive continued growth.

Detailed explanation of Redacted Cartel: Is the Curve ecology a clever combination of nesting dolls or DeFi Lego?

Because a large part of CRV's voting rights is controlled by Convex, the projects participating in Curve War are all carried out around Convex. In order to solve users' voting-related problems and help users maximize their voting benefits, a new so-called "voting aggregator" - Redacted Carted, appeared. Redacted is a Fork of OHM, and its native token is BTRFLY. It combines the mechanisms of OHM and Convex, and is committed to building a trading market with governance/voting/bribery as a target. After Redacted acquires Votemak (where Tokemak governance votes), it will integrate and re-launch Hidden Hand, a Bribe trading market. Hidden Hand will be the core venue of VaaS (Voting as a Service), while supporting Redacted to expand other protocols besides Convex.

NFT, GameFi and Metaverse

In addition to understanding Redacted from the perspective of Curve, there is another perspective from OHM. Replace the underlying income logic of OHM with Bribe income. The same way of understanding, such as FloorDAO, also uses OHM's Bonding mechanism, and then the underlying income is to provide liquidity to NFT assets to obtain income.

NFT, GameFi and MetaverseDismantling top NFT projects: exploring the profit model of 10K projects

(Note: The 10K project refers to a total of 10,000 PFP-like NFTs with common structures and elemental differences.)

This article is a bit like an instruction manual for NFTGo (or other NFT data websites): starting from learning to understand data, and assisting purchase/exit decisions. The article includes: why/how to pay attention to the distribution of holders, what is the market hype and heat curve, when to find trading signals, what is the relationship between holding period and profit, Top 10 transaction costs and floor prices There are key issues such as how many times the difference and which blue-chip projects have the highest average profit.

Trading timing is one of the most important indicators. "The price development stage of most projects is divided into four parts, namely the incubation period/explosion period, the frenzy period, the cooling-off period/precipitation period and the development period. Each stage has representative events." Market heat, buyers and sellers The current ratio can be used to guide the timing of transactions. For high-quality projects, the longer the holding time, the more profits will be reaped. If you are not a HODLer, you can choose to leave when the hype peaks and the market heat reaches its peak, but if you firmly believe that the project can continue to create heat, HODL. At present, the NFT market is still driven by speculation and expectations. You can choose to follow the meme trend, or choose the style you like.

Starting from the consensus mechanism and bridge security, an in-depth discussion on the security of the five major NFT platforms

Text from Immutable X (you know). But security is indeed a problem that NFT projects should pay attention to and face at this stage of development. This article mainly compares the consensus and bridge security of the five underlying platforms of Ronin, Polygon, Immutable, Solana and Optimism. See the figure below for the core. At the end, the author also brought up other security factors that the project party should consider besides the bottom layer: wallet, metadata, project, funds and market.NFT, typical and atypical in Pond's New Paradisestory from "

PAK new project ASH2 farce: GAS WAR is triggered, the transaction is locked

", discuss the "Ponzi" (non-derogatory) of NFT, and explain it through Pak and BAYC.

The utility of the Pak universe may exist more in the imagination of the holders themselves. Judging from the market reaction, Pak's universe seems to have fallen into a 4-step "death spiral": From the perspective of Ponzi structure and utility, Pak has indeed ruined a good hand. But there is a good chance that the Pak universe will eventually rise from the phoenix. The art NFT universe is fundamentally different from other NFT universes, and utility may not be needed.

Web 3.0

As a comparison, BAYC has gone more steadily, and the pie has become more and more rounded, and the holders' imagination of utility has been concretized step by step. The operation of meeting the "short-term utility" beyond expectations has surprised the holders and brought a huge wealth demonstration effect, stimulating the crazy imagination of off-site users for the future of "Ape Universe", creating a super strong interest in BAYC and Apecoin need. BAYC and Apecoin quickly rose after experiencing a short-term crash, avoiding the "death spiral".

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IOSG Ventures: Is the golden age of oracles coming?

In DeFi, there are two main types of oracles that are widely adopted. One is a general-purpose oracle represented by Chainlink, and the other is DEX itself, which can be used as a source of Price Feed. Another basic condition for a publicly recognized oracle is decentralization, i.e. whether it allows a single point of failure.

In GameFi, Cryptomines is a practical example of an oracle machine. Token payment and casting amount can be automatically adjusted through the oracle machine to ensure the stability of its dollar value. Another widely used oracle machine function is VRF (verifiable randomness function, which can verified random function) to guarantee randomness.

Successful replication, bringing the Web2 growth framework to Web3 products

Ethereum and scaling

Write to the project party. The experience of Web2 is still valid, and the direction of efforts is: market-product fit, product-channel fit, channel-model fit, and model-market fit. When it comes to Web3, how to obtain, retain, profit and defend, there are Web2 old ways to refer to, and finally build a Web3 growth model - a system or cycle.

Ethereum and scaling

Comparing Lido and Rocket Pool in all directions: Who is the better investment choice?

The impact of the merger of Ethereum will also be reflected in the application layer. For example, the merger will promote the growth of Ethereum's liquid staking services. These staking protocols eliminate the opportunity cost for users to participate in staking, and may grow to tens of billions in the next few years. The two biggest players in this rapidly growing industry right now are Lido and Rocket Pool.

In terms of protocol design, Lido has increased trust assumptions compared to Rocket Pool, but Lido's model itself has greater scalability and capital efficiency, because the validator does not need to match the user's deposit with the validator's own ETH deposit. In terms of growth strategy and market adoption, Lido remains the clear market leader for liquidity staking services on Ethereum, despite Rocket Pool experiencing strong growth in the months following its launch. Additionally, Lido has a larger addressable market than its competitors, given its strategy of focusing on multi-chains. In terms of token economics, LDO lacks practicality and buying pressure. In its current form, it may be difficult to maintain its value for a long period of time. Rocket Pool has a more valuable token design. RPL benefits from the growth commensurate with its network Demand and organic buying pressure.

a16z Protocol Expert: What new opportunities will there be in the iteration of Staking?

New ecology and cross-chain

This article discusses two types of staking models: single-chain validator staking, and on-chain application internal staking. We are familiar with the former (such as Ethereum after PoS), and the application examples of the latter include governance pledge, insurance pledge, and fee pledge.

New ecology and cross-chain

JZL Capital Cosmos Topic 1: The final form of the multi-chain pattern?

A small research report with a complete structure around Cosmos. The final conclusion is that the Cosmos ecosystem has strong traffic acquisition capabilities and low thresholds.

Learn about the Avalanche expansion solution in one article: What are the advantages of the subnet solution?

Every time I see the exchange (X) chain, platform (P) chain, and contract (C) chain of Avalanche, I have to recall it again...

The author of this article believes that the disadvantages of monolithic designs outweigh the advantages, but affirms the appeal of subnetting. Subnets allow Avalanche to scale by allowing large numbers of validators to actively participate in consensus. Assets can move freely between subnetworks due to a high level of interoperability; this means no beacons or relay chains. Subnets are also free to choose which virtual machines to run on. Subnets also present a very lucrative proposition for validators. In addition to briefly reviewing the two subnet use cases of DeFi Kingdoms and Crabada, the author also expressed his expectation for the arrival of the high-performance computing ecosystem DeepSquare.

TVL breaks through $4 billion, will Stargate become the new cross-chain bridge leader?

The most outstanding point of Stargate is that it uses LayerZero's ability to transmit information to connect the capital liquidity islands of various public chains, thereby improving the capital efficiency of the system. The rapid rise of TVL is also inseparable from the liquidity weapon Delta Bridge.

DAO

However, through data calculations, there are not many users who actually use Stargate as a cross-chain solution—the new technology of Delta Bridge is not a supporting factor for Stargate’s high TVL. A high APR of more than 15% is unsustainable; and if Stargate cannot accumulate enough users and maintain the number of daily transactions at least a few thousand before the end of the high subsidy, then users may not have a long-term reason to choose Stargate . Another lower-level risk is the hidden security concerns behind the relay mechanism.

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Talking about the valuation framework of DAO

Communities are inherently valuable. It brings together members' resources, skills, knowledge and experience to create value for members and other stakeholders with whom they interact. Today, the financial value created by Internet-based communities is ultimately captured by community "leaders" or hosting platforms such as Reddit.

As a decentralized organization or a new type of LLC (limited liability company), DAO can refer to the DCF valuation model of traditional companies. The author calculates that the valuation of Uniswap (as a representative of DEX DAO) is about 10 billion US dollars, which is its income 10 times.

If DAO is regarded as a country, the calculation method of GDP (the total currency or market value of all finished products and services produced in a country within a certain period of time) provides a reference for the valuation of DAO. The moat of the community may include network economy, switching costs, brand, monopoly resources.

CultDAO has brought the decentralized ideology to the extreme with its provocative manifesto, decentralized proposal and voting model, destruction of private keys and irreversible contracts. Existing problems include: lack of resources, potential bribery and monopoly risks, limited investment scope, and inefficient voting process for proposals.

Safety

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SafetyCosine, Founder of SlowMist Technology: Blockchain Dark Forest Self-help ManualAn original text with 37,000 words

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hot spots of the week

In the past week,hot spots of the weekIn the past week,Central Committee of the Communist Party of ChinaPublished the "Opinions on Accelerating the Construction of a National Unified Market", mentioning the improvement of the standard system in areas such as blockchain,Director of the Payment and Settlement Department of the Central BankSaid to strengthen risk prevention in new fields such as virtual currency,Ministry of Public SecurityIt is said that telecommunications and network fraud crimes use a lot of running points platform and digital currency to launder money, and the use of USDT is the most harmful.China Mutual Finance Association and other three major financial associationsIssued an initiative on preventing NFT-related financial risks,

Beijing Arbitration CommissionIndicates that Bitcoin is a virtual property and is protected by law;Uniswap, Paradigm, a16z, etc.Grayscale is working with the SECMuskConvert GBTC to Spot Bitcoin ETF, Says Twitter CEOMuskDecided not to join Twitter's board, later fined for not disclosing shares affecting stock priceSued by Twitter shareholders, Musk proposedAcquired Twitter for $54.20 per share in cash, the acquisition is valued at about US$41.4 billion, with a premium of about 18%, and the "Taking Twitter private should be up to shareholders, not the board" votes,Wikimedia Foundationannounced that it will stop accepting cryptocurrency donations,

Brazilian SenateAnnouncing the imminent ratification of the Bitcoin Act;Former SoftBank CEO Marcelo Claure4130 piecesBTC,Founder of BitMEX2508.95 piecesCoinbaseFounder of BitMEXSaid that the encryption market will fall in tandem with Nasdaq, Bitcoin will fall to $30,000, and Ethereum will fall to $2,500. Crypto big V Cobie tweeted that there is an address inBuy a large number of related currencies before publishing the list of currencies considered for listing in Q2,

Binance invests 100 million euros in France, and reached a cooperation with the start-up incubator Station F;Ethereum's first mainnet shadow forkis online,MetaMask SnapsEthereum merger expected to be completed within the yearSwap Widget, MetaMask launchesUniswap Labs, Will Support Bitcoin and More Blockchain Networks, Uniswap Labs LaunchesAave, allowing users to seamlessly exchange tokens on any network,Established a venture capital department to focus on investing in Web3 projects,

Aave Ventures will be launched, Crypto Pragmatist founder Jack Niewold revealed,One of Arbitrum, Optimism, zkSync and Starknet may issue tokens next monthLINE's NFT marketplace LINE NFTofficially launched,ERC721R released, A trustless refund function is added to the smart contract of NFT, allowing minters to freely "return" within a specific period,

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