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The probability of the Fed keeping rates unchanged in July is 66.3%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 33.7%

2026-07-01 12:06

According to the CME "FedWatch" tool: The probability of the Fed keeping rates unchanged in July is 66.3%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 33.7%.

The probability of the Fed keeping rates unchanged by September is 33.1%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 50%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate hike is 16.9%. (Jinshi)