A smart money address purchased $145,000 worth of positions betting France will not win the World Cup Round of 16 match.

Data from the PPP Prediction Market Tool shows that in the Polymarket "2026 World Cup Round of 16: France vs. Sweden" prediction event, the account BreakTheBank (address: 0xf0318c32136c2db7fec88b84869aee6a1106c80c), which has total profits of nearly $4.47 million, purchased $145,000 worth of positions betting that France will not win. The average entry price was 22 cents, with 618,679.4 shares purchased. The current unrealized profit stands at $9,280.

The France vs. Sweden knockout match is scheduled for July 1st at 5:00 AM Beijing time. The French team boasts a total squad value of over €1.3 billion, featuring top stars like Mbappé and Dembélé. Having scored 6 goals while conceding only 1 in two group stage matches, their attacking efficiency ranks among the top of the 32 teams. Sweden, who have made 12 World Cup appearances in history and finished as runners-up twice, currently fields emerging attacking talents like Gyökeres and Isak. They have remained unbeaten for 12 months, with their last loss coming against France in the first half of 2025, meaning they hold no significant psychological disadvantage against the French side.

The Odaily Seer Channel continues to monitor the prediction market—seeing changes before the price is set.