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Analysts: Bitcoin price leads the M2 indicator; the DXY indicator is more suitable for assessing its correlation with Bitcoin.

2025-11-13 12:03

Odaily Planet Daily reports that crypto analyst Willy Woo wrote, "The market doesn't follow the expansion of global M2 supply; instead, it's speculative. This means the market prices in anticipated liquidity in advance. Risk assets tend to lead M2. Therefore, at global peaks, you'll see the S&P 500 peak earlier, and Bitcoin will peak even earlier. This is because Bitcoin acts as a liquidity-sensing mechanism. Furthermore, M2 is a flawed indicator because when you assess the total amount of fiat currency in the system, you're measuring it in US dollars, but only about 17% is actually US dollars; the rest is foreign currency. So M2 actually reflects more the strength of the US dollar. A more suitable indicator has proven to be the DXY (US Dollar Index), which is far more reliable when assessing its correlation with Bitcoin."