本週BTC、HYPE均逼近關鍵壓力位、技術指標進入超買區間，我們將引入纏論框架，重點跟蹤BTC（6-7）與HYPE（16-17）上行段的終結節點，操作上切忌追漲。

結合纏論結構、均線體系與倉位監測模型，分別對 BTC 與 HYPE 的走勢展開系統研判，並針對決議公布前後的不同情形給出相應的中短線操作策略，供交易參考。

本週BTC日線反彈已構建首個中樞並現頂部訊號，預計短期進入2-3週高位箱體震盪，中線空倉觀望、短線依託支撐壓力位輕倉試多試空；HYPE則處於第二中樞離開段，需重點觀察是否出現動能背馳以判斷上漲能否延續。

BTC情绪极速转向贪婪，但52周均线仍未有效突破，本周聚焦端点5终结与中枢B构建节点。HYPE同步进入第二中枢构建期，73～77美元支撑区是短线关键观察位。

強勢拉升之後往往伴隨著關鍵阻力位的博弈與波動的加劇。

本週市場處於關鍵結構驗證階段：BTC日線調整能否於60,950美元上方止跌企穩，HYPE能否有效站穩58～58.5美元阻力區形成中樞離開段，是決定後續行情方向的兩大核心觀察點。

本週比特幣日線級別c浪反彈仍在延續，幣價自62,268美元低點啟動，能否有效突破65,700～67,300美元關鍵阻力區，是本週結構驗證的核心；HYPE則在長期上升趨勢線、下降通道下軌與50～52美元三重支撐交匯區獲得支撐，日線級別反彈訊號已初步顯現，能否站穩並向下降通道上軌發起挑戰仍待確認。

本周比特币日线级别b浪调整已运行12天并下探至62,268美元，能否于60,900～61,500美元获得支撑决定日线结构是否终结；HYPE则运行至日线c浪末端的50～52美元关键支撑区，超卖信号连续触发但方向尚未确认。

The BTC daily A-wave rebound may have peaked at $66,955 on July 21, transitioning into a B-wave adjustment. This week, focus on the pullback test at $65,700 and support at $60,950～$61,500; HYPE is contending within the critical resistance zone of $60～$63.5, with last week's short position already realizing a 1.70% profit.

BTC continues its rebound from the low of $57,820, focusing this week on testing the key resistance zone of $65,700～$67,300. If it stalls and pulls back, the mid-term bearish outlook persists; if it breaks through effectively, the short-term structure turns bullish. HYPE continues to adjust from its high of $72.97. This week's focus is on the battle for the $62～$63.5 zone. The mid-term remains bearish-dominated, with short-term A/B plans flexibly executed based on model signals.

This week, BTC's daily level is in a "declining central extension" phase, with a short-term focus on oscillation and consolidation. The key watch is the long-short battle between the resistance at $64,700 and the support range of $60,950 to $62,000. Medium-term short positions are maintained at around 20%. HYPE has confirmed resistance near $72.97, and the key this week is to see the final position of the "endpoint 62" adjustment and whether the rebound can reclaim $72.97. If not, it is recommended to establish short positions on rallies.

BTC's daily four-wave adjustment is nearing its end. This week, the key focus is whether the rebound high of $57,820 can break through the resistance zone of $65,700 to $67,300. HYPE, meanwhile, has completed a seven-wave rebound approaching the historical high of $76.94 and is now shifting to a defensive stance. This week's strategy is mainly about locking in profits on highs and moving up stop-losses to protect gains.

本週重點跟蹤BTC五段式調整結構尾段「端點44」的形成位置，高於58,110美元則觸發反彈預案，否則警惕進一步破位；HYPE同步觀察「端點56」雙底形態是否成立，支撐區域企穩後輕倉試多。

BTC當前處於短期上升通道下軌回抽確認的關鍵節點，中線維持空頭佈局；HYPE支撐區域輕倉試多，嚴控倉位，動態止損。

The pullback struggle of BTC after breaking above $65,000 and the resistance test of HYPE are the two core themes this week. The US-Iran agreement has triggered a sharp repricing of global assets; the louder the noise, the more critical the structure becomes.

Bitcoin's $60,000 mark was effectively breached on June 5th. The monthly a-b-c three-wave correction structure is fully established. The current c-wave decline is still in its early stages. This week, the core focus will be on the performance under the two major resistance areas of $65,000 and $69,500~$70,500. The medium-term outlook remains bearish. HYPE's top warning signal from last week was validated, with the price retracing a maximum of 27% from $75.87. Entering the support area this week for short-term positioning, the entry basis will mainly be stabilization signals in the $55~$57 range. The strategy will primarily involve light long positions.