Odaily reported that the prediction market Predict.fun has listed a new prediction event: "When will Polymarket launch its official token?" The current trading volume has reached $546,800. Specifically, the probability of Polymarket launching its official token before June 30, 2027, is reported at 88%; before March 31, 2027, at 77%; before December 31, 2026, at 55%; before September 30, 2026, at 39%; and before June 30, 2026, at 9%.

The settlement rules for this event are as follows: If Polymarket officially launches its official token before the date indicated in the title (11:59 PM Eastern Time), the market will be resolved to "Yes." Otherwise, the market will be resolved to "No."

Even if the token launched by Polymarket initially has no utility and is not explicitly labeled as a "governance" token, it will still qualify as long as it is promoted and presented as Polymarket's official token.

The token must be freely and actively transferable and tradable. A mere announcement does not meet the requirements. Tokens that can only be claimed also do not meet the requirements.

ERC-1155 or ERC-20 tokens representing CTF shares or other user positions in Polymarket's internal markets, as well as any dollar-pegged collateral tokens, are not considered for settlement.

The source for verification will be Polymarket's official statements, including blog posts, social media channels, or documentation. If necessary, credible third-party reports may also be referenced.

In related news, Mustafa (@mustafap0ly), a member of the Polymarket official team, hinted in community interactions today that developments related to the POLY token may be forthcoming.

According to Odaily Seer Channel monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction event "Esports World Cup League of Legends Qualifier HLE vs. DNF," an account with a 61% win rate (address: 0x7714c16f86bcfdba47bfcb161dc39a2a1ff2b814) purchased $43,000 on Hanwha Life Esports (HLE) defeating DNF, with an opening price of 93¢. The match began today at 16:00.

The 2026 Esports World Cup will be held this July in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. League of Legends has been selected as a featured event for the third consecutive year, featuring 16 teams including champions from major leagues, qualifiers, and the 2025 EWC champion, with a total prize pool of $2 million.

Odaily Seer Channel continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing change before prices are set.

Odaily Planet Daily News: Polymarket's new Engineering VP Josh Stevens stated on platform X that with the launch of the Deposit Wallets feature, the proportion of ghost fills has dropped from a peak of 30% to 0.17%, and is expected to continue trending toward 0% throughout the day.

Odaily Seer 先知频道监测显示，在 Polymarket"NBA 季后赛西部半决赛 G1 马刺对战森林狼"预测事件中，亏损超 280 万美元账号（地址：0x492442eab586f242b53bda933fd5de859c8a3782）于 40 分钟前购入 10.3 万美元马刺让 10.5 分战胜森林狼，开仓均价为 51¢。

NBA 季后赛西部半决赛 G1 马刺对战森林狼已于北京时间今日早上 9 点半开赛，目前比分 29:23 森林狼领先，马刺球星文班亚马首节出战 9 分钟，目前暂仅得到 2 分。

Odaily Seer 先知频道持续关注预测市场，在定价之前，看见变化。

Odaily Odaily News: Mustafa (@mustafap0ly), a member of the Polymarket official team, hinted during community interaction that developments related to the POLY token may be coming soon.

A user asked about when staking POLY tokens would be available to reduce taker fees or potential maker fees to be introduced in the future. In response, Mustafa replied, "Soon."

Odaily Seer Prophecy Channel monitoring shows that in the Polymarket "NBA Playoffs Western Conference Semifinals G1 Spurs vs. Timberwolves" prediction event, an account that has made over $1.6 million in profits (address: 0x93abbc022ce98d6f45d4444b594791cc4b7a9723) purchased $170,000 on the Spurs defeating the Timberwolves, with an average entry price of 77¢.

NBA Playoffs Western Conference Semifinals G1 Spurs vs. Timberwolves will tip off at 9:30 AM Beijing time today. For this game, Spurs player Carter Bryant is absent; Timberwolves players Dante DiVincenzo and Ayo Dosunmu are absent. Additionally, Anthony Edwards has received medical clearance and is expected to return to play today.

Odaily Seer Prophecy Channel continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before they are priced in.

The Odaily Seer Channel reports that in the Polymarket prediction event "NBA Eastern Conference Semifinals G1: Knicks vs. 76ers," an account (address: 0x492442eab586f242b53bda933fd5de859c8a3782) that has lost nearly $3 million has purchased $230,000 worth of "Knicks -7.5" bets, at an average entry price of 51 cents.

Game 1 of the NBA Eastern Conference Semifinals between the Knicks and 76ers will tip off today at 8:00 AM Beijing time. The Knicks' starting lineup is Anunoby, Hart, Towns, Bridges, and Brunson; the 76ers' starting lineup is George, Oubre, Embiid, Edgecumbe, and Maxey.

The Odaily Seer Channel continuously monitors prediction markets, seeing the changes before the odds are set.

Odaily Odaily reported that the decentralized prediction market platform Polymarket has officially launched the Deposit Wallets feature. Newly registered users will automatically receive a dedicated deposit address. As this feature is gradually rolled out, the current "ghost fills" issue is expected to diminish over time. Meanwhile, the team is continuously monitoring system performance to ensure stable operation.

Odaily รายงานว่า สำนักงานคณะกรรมการการซื้อขายสินค้าโภคภัณฑ์ล่วงหน้าของสหรัฐฯ (CFTC) ได้รับความคิดเห็นสาธารณะมากกว่า 1,500 ข้อเกี่ยวกับข้อเสนอกฎเกณฑ์ที่เกี่ยวข้องกับตลาดการคาดการณ์ สะท้อนให้เห็นถึงการถกเถียงด้านกฎระเบียบในสาขานี้ที่ยังคงร้อนแรงอย่างต่อเนื่อง รายงานระบุว่า การรับฟังความคิดเห็นครั้งนี้แสดงให้เห็นว่า ตลาดการคาดการณ์ยังคงมีความเห็นแตกต่างอย่างมากในประเด็นขอบเขตการปฏิบัติตามกฎหมาย ลักษณะของผลิตภัณฑ์ และการวางตำแหน่งด้านกฎระเบียบ การกำหนดกฎเกณฑ์ในภายหลังอาจกลายเป็นปัจจัยสำคัญต่อการพัฒนาของอุตสาหกรรม โดยแพลตฟอร์มอย่าง Polymarket และ Kalshi แสดงการสนับสนุนกรอบการกำกับดูแล โดยเห็นว่าจะช่วยให้อุตสาหกรรมมีการพัฒนาอย่างเป็นระบบ อย่างไรก็ตาม ผู้เข้าร่วมบางส่วนก็เรียกร้องให้มีมาตรการกำกับดูแลและบังคับใช้กฎหมายที่เข้มงวดยิ่งขึ้น เพื่อป้องกันความเสี่ยงที่อาจเกิดขึ้น (Cointelegraph)

Odaily News According to data posted by Predictefy, since Hyperliquid launched its event contracts (prediction market) product, within the same time frame, the trading volume of Bitcoin price-related event contracts on its platform has exceeded that of similar markets on Kalshi, Polymarket, and all other prediction markets.

Previously, Hyperliquid launched its event contracts market yesterday, with the first market being a daily BTC price performance market.

The Odaily Seer Prophet Channel monitor shows that the probability of Polymarket's "WTI crude oil falling to $95 by May 2026" once rose to 88% early this morning, now at 81%, up 8% in 24 hours.

The event contract rules are: If the "highest price" of any 1-minute K-line of the active WTI crude oil futures month during May 2026 reaches or exceeds the listed price, the market will be judged as "Yes"; otherwise, the market will be judged as "No". The price will follow the price published by Pyth, without rounding. Previously, the rules for the WTI crude oil March price prediction event contract were: If the official settlement price of the current active month (near month) of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange crude oil futures contract on any trading day reaches or exceeds the listed price as of the last trading day of March 2026, the market will be judged as "Yes"; otherwise, the market will be judged as "No".

Trump has promised to escort the Strait of Hormuz and announced the launch of "Project Freedom", which will start this Monday to help ships leave the Strait of Hormuz for positive negotiations with Iran. At the same time, the U.S. Central Command forces also announced they will support "Project Freedom", aiming to restore the freedom of navigation for commercial shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, providing support for merchant ships seeking free passage through this important international trade corridor.

The Odaily Seer Prophet Channel continues to focus on the prediction market, seeing changes before the pricing.

Odaily Planet Daily News Polymarket official Ale posted on X disclosing platform updates, stating:

1. We are making final preparations for the launch of the "Deposit Wallet" feature to fix the "ghost fills" issue. It is expected to be released on May 4th at 12:30 UTC, and there may be a maintenance downtime of up to approximately 30 minutes during this period.

2. The remaining liquidity rewards from Migration Day (April 28th) have been distributed. Participants should be able to see them on the rewards page, and rewards will be distributed as usual at 0:00 UTC.

3. Earlier today, due to the system processing historical rewards and recalculating new rewards, rewards were not accumulated normally for about 40 minutes. The issue has now been resolved, and real-time liquidity reward accumulation has returned to normal.

4. The team has noticed an increase in "not enough balance/allowance" error reports and is working on a fix.

5. Regarding the PnL (Profit and Loss) display issue users encounter after converting or merging shares, the team is developing a patch expected to go live around Wednesday.

Odaily รายงานว่า “นักสืบบนเชน” ZachXBT โพสต์บนแพลตฟอร์ม X ระบุว่า PolyArb เป็นผลิตภัณฑ์ตลาดพยากรณ์ปลอม ซึ่งเว็บไซต์ของมันมีเครื่องมือขโมยกระเป๋าเงินอยู่ นอกจากนี้ บัญชีของผลิตภัณฑ์ดังกล่าวได้แสดงความคิดเห็นที่มีลักษณะก่อให้เกิดข้อขัดแย้งใต้โพสต์ของตลาดพยากรณ์ชื่อดังหลายแห่ง เพื่อดึงดูดการเข้าชมและหลอกล่อให้ผู้ใช้เข้าร่วม

According to monitoring by Odaily Seer Prophet Channel, in the Polymarket prediction event "NBA Eastern Conference First Round Game 7: Celtics vs. 76ers," a 47% win-rate account (address: 0x6ac5bb06a9eb05641fd5e82640268b92f3ab4b6e) purchased $141,000 on the Celtics -8.5 spread against the 76ers an hour ago, with an average entry price of 49¢.

The NBA Eastern Conference First Round Game 7 showdown between the Celtics and the 76ers is scheduled to tip off tomorrow at 7:30 AM Beijing time. If the seventh-seeded 76ers can secure a road victory in Game 7, Boston would become the 14th team in NBA history to blow a 3-1 series lead.

Odaily Seer Prophet Channel continues to monitor the prediction market – seeing the changes before the price is set.

Odaily Seer Prophet Channel monitoring shows that the probability of Polymarket’s "CLARITY Act officially taking effect in 2026" has risen to 67%, up 21% in 24 hours.

The event contract rules state: If the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law before 11:59 PM EST on December 31, 2026, the outcome will be "Yes"; otherwise, "No." The primary source of information is the Congress.gov website (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official U.S. government information, though other reliable reports may also be referenced.

Coinbase has indicated that key disagreements over stablecoin yield provisions have been resolved with traditional banking sectors, clearing the way for the U.S. Senate to advance a crypto market structure bill. Previously, banks lobbied to restrict or prohibit exchanges from offering yields to stablecoin holders, primarily concerned about capital outflows from the bank deposit system. Coinbase Chief Policy Officer Faryar Shirzad stated that the final compromise, while adding certain restrictions, still allows users to earn rewards through crypto platforms and networks based on real-world use cases. This development is expected to push the CLARITY Act toward a voting process in the Senate Banking Committee.

Odaily Seer Prophet Channel continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing the changes before the pricing.

Odaily reported that Andreessen Horowitz (a16z) stated in a comment letter to the CFTC that state-level regulatory measures targeting prediction markets are creating "barriers to fair access" and could weaken market liquidity.

a16z pointed out that requiring platforms to restrict user access on a state-by-state basis would affect market unity, conflicting with the principle of fair access at the federal level. At the same time, frequent bans and enforcement actions could also compress overall trading depth.

The institution emphasized that prediction markets play an important role in information discovery and probability pricing, and supports unified federal regulation. The CFTC, on its part, insists that related contracts fall within its exclusive regulatory scope.