Polymarket: Probability of "CLARITY Act Officially Taking Effect in 2026" Rises to 67%, Up 21% in 24 Hours

Odaily Seer Prophet Channel monitoring shows that the probability of Polymarket’s "CLARITY Act officially taking effect in 2026" has risen to 67%, up 21% in 24 hours.

The event contract rules state: If the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law before 11:59 PM EST on December 31, 2026, the outcome will be "Yes"; otherwise, "No." The primary source of information is the Congress.gov website (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official U.S. government information, though other reliable reports may also be referenced.

Coinbase has indicated that key disagreements over stablecoin yield provisions have been resolved with traditional banking sectors, clearing the way for the U.S. Senate to advance a crypto market structure bill. Previously, banks lobbied to restrict or prohibit exchanges from offering yields to stablecoin holders, primarily concerned about capital outflows from the bank deposit system. Coinbase Chief Policy Officer Faryar Shirzad stated that the final compromise, while adding certain restrictions, still allows users to earn rewards through crypto platforms and networks based on real-world use cases. This development is expected to push the CLARITY Act toward a voting process in the Senate Banking Committee.

Odaily Seer Prophet Channel continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing the changes before the pricing.