Polymarket The probability of "WTI crude oil falling to $95 by May 2026" has risen to 81%, up 8% in 24 hours

The Odaily Seer Prophet Channel monitor shows that the probability of Polymarket's "WTI crude oil falling to $95 by May 2026" once rose to 88% early this morning, now at 81%, up 8% in 24 hours.

The event contract rules are: If the "highest price" of any 1-minute K-line of the active WTI crude oil futures month during May 2026 reaches or exceeds the listed price, the market will be judged as "Yes"; otherwise, the market will be judged as "No". The price will follow the price published by Pyth, without rounding. Previously, the rules for the WTI crude oil March price prediction event contract were: If the official settlement price of the current active month (near month) of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange crude oil futures contract on any trading day reaches or exceeds the listed price as of the last trading day of March 2026, the market will be judged as "Yes"; otherwise, the market will be judged as "No".

Trump has promised to escort the Strait of Hormuz and announced the launch of "Project Freedom", which will start this Monday to help ships leave the Strait of Hormuz for positive negotiations with Iran. At the same time, the U.S. Central Command forces also announced they will support "Project Freedom", aiming to restore the freedom of navigation for commercial shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, providing support for merchant ships seeking free passage through this important international trade corridor.

The Odaily Seer Prophet Channel continues to focus on the prediction market, seeing changes before the pricing.