Predict.fun lists "When will Polymarket launch its official token," with an 88% probability of launch before June 30, 2027

Odaily reported that the prediction market Predict.fun has listed a new prediction event: "When will Polymarket launch its official token?" The current trading volume has reached $546,800. Specifically, the probability of Polymarket launching its official token before June 30, 2027, is reported at 88%; before March 31, 2027, at 77%; before December 31, 2026, at 55%; before September 30, 2026, at 39%; and before June 30, 2026, at 9%.

The settlement rules for this event are as follows: If Polymarket officially launches its official token before the date indicated in the title (11:59 PM Eastern Time), the market will be resolved to "Yes." Otherwise, the market will be resolved to "No."

Even if the token launched by Polymarket initially has no utility and is not explicitly labeled as a "governance" token, it will still qualify as long as it is promoted and presented as Polymarket's official token.

The token must be freely and actively transferable and tradable. A mere announcement does not meet the requirements. Tokens that can only be claimed also do not meet the requirements.

ERC-1155 or ERC-20 tokens representing CTF shares or other user positions in Polymarket's internal markets, as well as any dollar-pegged collateral tokens, are not considered for settlement.

The source for verification will be Polymarket's official statements, including blog posts, social media channels, or documentation. If necessary, credible third-party reports may also be referenced.

In related news, Mustafa (@mustafap0ly), a member of the Polymarket official team, hinted in community interactions today that developments related to the POLY token may be forthcoming.