Serenity criticizes paid analysis services: If they could truly predict the semiconductor sector crash, why not profit by shorting?

Odaily News "White-Haired Stock God" Serenity stated that he has long shared his personal research and core views for free, without attempting to sell products or provide investment instructions to others. He also insists on transparently disclosing his personal investment returns, whether profits or losses. Regarding some paid technical analysis (TA) subscription services, if these institutions could truly and consistently predict semiconductor market crashes, they should theoretically reap huge gains through short selling, rather than monetizing through paid content.

In response to the recent sharp pullback in AI-related stocks such as semiconductors and optical communications, Serenity explained that if his own investment portfolio used 1.4x leverage while being heavily concentrated in the memory chip and photonics industry chain, and the related assets fell by an average of 35%, the portfolio's theoretical drawdown could reach approximately 49%. AI-related assets still possess long-term recovery potential, as demand within the AI industry chain is forming structural growth, including: continuously increasing demand for AI computing, expanding data center energy needs, growing demand for high-performance storage, and network infrastructure upgrades. Despite short-term market volatility, the overall demand from computing, energy, memory, and network communications suggests that AI infrastructure construction remains in a long-term development cycle.