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Six years later, UNI has finally welcomed its "buyback bull run."

Foresight News
特邀专栏作者
2026-07-31 08:39
This article is about 2308 words, reading the full article takes about 4 minutes
For older projects with sufficiently dispersed token supply, buyback and burning act as a potent catalyst.
AI Summary
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  • Core Thesis: UNI tokens have doubled against the market over the past two months. The primary driver is not speculation but rather the conversion of protocol revenue into actual buyback-and-burn cash flows after the fee switch was activated, marking its transition from a governance token to a cash-flow asset.
  • Key Factors:
    1. In early June, UNI was priced at approximately $2.30; by late July, it approached $4.60, accumulating gains of nearly 100% and outperforming the broader market.
    2. The fee switch went live in December 2025, directing protocol revenue into the TokenJar treasury, which uses the Firepit contract to purchase UNI and permanently burn it. However, the initial annualized burn rate was only about $26 million, resulting in a muted market reaction.
    3. On July 1, Robinhood Chain launched, and Uniswap deployed on it within the first day. Within eight days, daily trading volume reached $500 million, contributing nearly half of the protocol's weekly fees (approximately $11 million).
    4. After the v4 fee switch was activated on July 27, daily burn capital rose from $114,000 to $325,000, with Robinhood Chain contributing over half of that amount. UNI surged 12% that day.
    5. As an "older token" fully distributed in 2020, UNI has dispersed supply with no massive unlocks ahead. Its exchange circulating market cap is only about $830 million, providing genuine price support for buyback demand.
    6. Risk factor: Robinhood Chain's gas subsidy is set to expire in roughly 90 days. At that point, trading volume retention will serve as the real test of this rally's sustainability.

Original author: Eric, Foresight News

During the generally turbulent months of June and July in the cryptocurrency market, most major tokens showed lackluster price movements, but UNI unexpectedly performed with remarkable strength.

In early June, UNI was still hovering around $2.3. By the end of July, it had approached $4.6, nearly doubling in just two months. Looking back to December of last year, Uniswap had just passed the long-debated fee switch proposal, yet UNI only rallied for a single day before sliding alongside the broader market. Investors showed little interest in what was then the DeFi world's top exchange.

But the turning point had already been set back then, even though few realized it at the time.

On December 28, 2025, the Uniswap governance proposal UNIfication was officially executed on-chain. The protocol fee switch was activated, directing a portion of trading fees from Ethereum mainnet v2 pools and certain v3 pools to the protocol; Unichain's sequencer revenue, after deducting OP's share and L1 data costs, also flowed into the same pool; 100 million UNI was burned from the treasury in one go, serving as retroactive compensation for the years of the "free era"; Uniswap Labs reduced its frontend, wallet, and API fees to zero while receiving an annual growth budget of 20 million UNI. All of these protocol revenues ultimately converge into a treasury contract named TokenJar, which has only one outlet: buying UNI and permanently burning it via the Firepit contract.

This is what the "fee switch," debated for over five years, actually looks like when implemented. Since the DeFi Summer, the community had been discussing whether the protocol should take a share of trading fees, but each vote stalled over concerns about profit distribution, legal risks, and LP attrition. When it finally passed, the market reaction was surprisingly muted. UNI surged nearly 50% within hours of the proposal's announcement, but as the broader market weakened, UNI fell back along with it, dropping below $3.8 by March 2026, consolidating around $3 through April and May, and even dipping to $2.3 in early June. The fee switch was on, but it was running quietly.

The reason for the silence was that the data wasn't compelling enough yet. According to Dune statistics, in the first 12 days after the fee switch was enabled, the cumulative value of UNI burned was only around $800,000, translating to an annualized figure of approximately $26–27 million, corresponding to a yearly burn of roughly 4–5 million UNI. Considering the protocol's annual growth budget expenditure of 20 million UNI, these numbers hardly seemed attractive. By May 2026, cumulative protocol revenue stood at approximately $12.3 million, with daily protocol revenue hovering around $73,000. The burn mechanism was running, but it more closely resembled an engine idling — the sound wasn't carrying.

The change came in July. On July 1, Robinhood Chain officially launched, with Uniswap's v2, v3, v4, and UniswapX deployed on day one. This chain, built for tokenized stocks, pushed Uniswap's daily trading volume to $500 million within eight days, with cumulative volume surpassing $1 billion by July 10. In its first week online, Robinhood Chain contributed nearly half of Uniswap's total weekly fees — approximately $11 million — and all-protocol daily fees briefly reached $5.2 million, ranking second across the entire network, behind only the two major stablecoin issuers. Uniswap founder Hayden Adams called it the most active chain outside of Ethereum mainnet.

Then came the votes. A Snapshot vote from July 7–12 decided to extend the fee mechanism to v4 pools, followed by an on-chain vote the next week; from July 10–15, a temperature check on enabling protocol fees for the Robinhood Chain deployment was also underway. On July 27, the v4 fee switch was officially activated. The effect was immediate: according to DefiLlama data, protocol revenue nearly tripled after activation, with daily funds flowing toward UNI burns rising from approximately $114,000 in early July to $325,000. Robinhood Chain alone contributed $170,000 — over half of the total — while Ethereum mainnet contributed around $82,000. On the day the news landed, UNI rose 12%, with the price touching $4.4.

Looking back at this curve, the logic is actually quite clear. When the fee switch was turned on late last year, the market was pricing in expectations — and when those expectations failed to materialize, the price fell back. But when burn figures climbed from a few hundred thousand dollars per month to a few hundred thousand per day, and the highest-volume new revenue source was also connected to this burn machine, the market began pricing cash flow rather than expectations. A protocol with trillions of dollars in annual trading volume — where token holders previously received nothing — now creates a permanent automatic buyer for its token with every single trade. This transformation from a governance token to a cash flow asset is the core narrative driving this rally.

It's worth noting that buyback-and-burn is no longer novel in today's crypto industry. Hyperliquid's monthly buyback scale approaches $95 million, pump.fun sits at $35 million, Jupiter allocates half its operating revenue to buybacks, and dYdX, Aave, and Lido are all advancing similar mechanisms. But whether buyback-and-burn actually works has never depended on the mechanism itself — it depends on the token supply structure.

UNI is an "old token" that completed its distribution back in 2020. Six years have allowed the supply to become sufficiently dispersed: there are no massive overhanging unlocks in the circulating supply, only approximately $830 million worth of UNI is available for sale on exchanges, and the buy-side pressure from buybacks genuinely impacts the secondary market. Many new projects also brandish the buyback-and-burn banner, but their monthly team and investor unlocks far exceed their buyback volumes. The tokens burned are a drop in the bucket against the relentless stream of new supply, so prices naturally fail to hold.

This is a rare advantage for legacy DeFi projects. Survive long enough, distribute early enough, and let the supply base get washed clean enough — only then can the buyback-and-burn machine truly spin up. For UNI, the specific question to validate next is this: Robinhood Chain's gas subsidies are set to expire approximately 90 days after launch. How much trading volume remains after that will determine whether this doubling marks the beginning of a value re-rating, or merely another illusion propped up by subsidies.

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