Original article | Odaily Planet Daily ( @OdailyChina )

Author｜Azuma ( @azuma_eth )

October, which just ended, may not have been a good month for all Binance Alpha users, especially those new users who entered the market in September attracted by the wealth effect. If they continued with their previous aggressive score-boosting strategies or lacked discipline in their operations, they may have ended up with a net loss.

There are two main reasons for this situation. Firstly, there are too many participants. As more and more new users (though not all are truly "users") enter the market, the points threshold keeps rising, intensifying competition during the redemption phase. Many users can only watch helplessly as their quotas are claimed amidst endless error messages and verifications. Secondly, there are too few resources available. Affected by the overall market downturn, the returns per coin have declined significantly.

In the following text, we review all the Binance Alpha airdrops, TGE, Pre-TGE, and Prime Sale events in October and try to find patterns to help you optimize your score-farming and trading strategies in the new normal of "too many cooks spoil the broth".

Phenomenon: Points increase, but rewards decrease; "long-term commitment" is not as effective as "flash sales".

Based on the data presented in the above chart, we can roughly summarize the following information:

Throughout October, Binance Alpha held a total of 46 events, including 40 airdrops, 2 TGE events, 2 Pre-TGE events, and 2 new events, including the Prime Sale.

Excluding PIEVERSE (Pre-TGE) and MMT (Prime Sale) whose tokens are not yet listed, and calculating based on the price sold within 5 minutes of opening (for "old coins" such as MERL that are already listed, the time of receipt is used), the average return of 46 events is approximately $64 (excluding the cost attrition of TGE-type events, the same applies below). Overall, the returns of different types of events are not significantly different . Although Pre-TGE and Prime Sale show higher returns per event, their reference value is limited due to the fact that there is only one sample for each.

Throughout October, the points threshold for Binance Alpha events steadily increased— the average points threshold (for the first phase only) was 197 points for the 14 events in the first ten days; it rose to 219.4 points for the 14 events in the middle of the month; and further increased to 227.2 points for the 18 events in the last ten days. Furthermore , the number of phased airdrop events, which were more favorable to retail investors, decreased, with only 4 events in the first ten days, and only 1 each in the middle and last ten days.

In terms of returns, based on the price at which shares were sold within 5 minutes of opening, the average return per session in the 14 events in the first ten days of the month was $89.4, with 3 events exceeding $100 (2Z, EVAA, CYPR), making 2Z the top-performing event of the month; in the 14 events in the middle of the month, the average return per session was $58.9, with only 2 events exceeding $100 (YB, RVV); in the 18 events in the last ten days of the month, the average return per session was $46.4, with only 1 event exceeding $100 (AT).

Regarding the question of whether to sell or wait after acquiring the tokens, among the 44 listed tokens, 17 peaked at the opening , while another 27 tokens had better selling points at times. If we consider the time frame up to the timeframe before the table was compiled (November 3rd, 15:00), the prices of 33 tokens were lower than their opening prices. Among them, the corresponding values of a few tokens of SUBHUB (approximately $2.1) and SIGMA (approximately $3.6) have even fallen to single digits. Although "selling immediately upon acquisition" may never capture the maximum value, it is at least a moderately good choice and can effectively avoid the energy consumption of monitoring the market afterward.

Conclusion: There is still room for profit, but the strategy needs to be optimized.

In summary, the current trend of "too many monks and too little porridge" in Binance Alpha becomes clearer. For retail investors, in addition to continuing to wait for Binance's progress in cracking down on studios, they must also subjectively optimize their strategies to adapt to the environment.

Based on the average points threshold of 227.2 and the average single-game earnings of $46.4 in late October, although the earnings of Binance Alpha have shrunk, there is still some room for profit . Even by using the most stable KOGE to farm the basic "3 + 14" package, there is a chance to receive 2 to 3 rewards within a cycle, and the wear and tear can be controlled at around $50.

Binance Alpha may never replicate the wealth effect of September, but with strict discipline and controlled losses, there's still a chance to secure relatively stable profits. As for various advanced strategies to reduce losses, opinions vary.