总统初选接连获胜，「特朗普主题」加密资产收益如何？

According to calculations and reports from several mainstream media outlets in the US, former President Donald Trump won the Republican primary held in Michigan on the 27th. This former president has continuously been a focal point of news and social media discussions during the 2024 US presidential primary.

As early as February 6th, Andrew Kang, the co-founder and partner of Mechanism Capital, a cryptocurrency investment firm, publicly announced his investment in Trump-themed cryptocurrencies. He pointed out, "The value of meme coins lies in their ability to attract public attention, and Trump is undoubtedly one of the most attention-grabbing figures globally."

What kind of investment returns can be obtained by investing in these meme coins and NFTs related to Trump starting from February 6th?

Meme Coin: TRUMP

TRUMP (MAGA) was launched on August 11, 2023. MAGA is an abbreviation of "Make America Great Again," which is Trump's famous political campaign slogan. A crypto wallet believed to be directly owned or operated by Trump currently holds 580,000 TRUMP tokens valued at over $3.6 million. Currently, the market capitalization of this token has reached $290 million, making it the 9th largest meme coin.

On February 6th, the price of TRUMP was $2.2. Based on the latest price of $6.25, an investment in TRUMP on that day has yielded a profit of 184%.

NFT: Donald Trump Digital Trading Card

On December 16, 2022, Trump announced on social media for the first time that he would release his personal-themed NFT collection, "Donald Trump Digital Trading Card," with a total of 45,000 cards and a single card price of $99. Within two days of its release, the floor price of Donald Trump Digital Trading Card once exceeded 0.6 ETH. According to the exchange rate of ETH to USD at that time, the floor price reached as high as $700.

On February 6, the floor price of Donald Trump Digital Trading Card was 0.225 ETH. Based on the current latest floor price of 0.2299 ETH, the coin-based investment return rate of holding Donald Trump Digital Trading Card on that day is currently 2.17%.

Polymarket Prediction for "2024 Presidential Election Winner"

In addition to buying meme coins and NFTs, participating in the "2024 Presidential Election Winner" prediction on Polymarket can also enjoy the profits brought by Trump's consecutive victories in the primaries. The initial trading price for each winning outcome is $0.5, and the price will change based on the amount of bets placed by users on both sides. The price (odds) represents the probability of the current event occurring. The current price for Trump to be elected president (i.e. "Bet Yes") is $0.53, meaning Trump is considered to have a 53% probability of being elected president. If the price rises to $0.7, it means Trump has a 70% chance of winning.

Trump has repeatedly reposted the odds on Polymarket on his media platform, Truth Social. As of the time of writing, the total bets for this prediction have reached $63.31 million.

Summary

The primaries are the first stage of the U.S. presidential election and will last until June. After the primaries, the Democratic and Republican parties will hold their national conventions to officially nominate presidential and vice presidential candidates. The voting day for this year's U.S. election is November 5th. As the U.S. presidential election campaign continues, Trump will continue to monopolize public attention, and cryptocurrency assets related to Trump will also have long-term speculative opportunities.