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There is a difference of 1.85 times between regular investment in BTC and regular investment in Mr. Li’s BOX?

冰棒
特邀专栏作者
This article is about 1545 words, reading the full article takes about 3 minutes
It proves once again that there are not many currencies in the market that can outperform BTC, and even a person of Mr. Li's level will sometimes choose the wrong one.
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It proves once again that there are not many currencies in the market that can outperform BTC, and even a person of Mr. Li's level will sometimes choose the wrong one.

Editor's Note: This article comes fromBingbang(ID:bingbang4444), reprinted by Odaily with authorization.

Editor's Note: This article comes from

, reprinted by Odaily with authorization.

When the market was soaring a few days ago, Mr. Li posted a Weibo:

"The smile curve is complete"

The general idea is that the smile curve of designated BOX investment has risen, and users who have designated BOX investment have generally begun to make profits.

Regarding BOX, I have always had a misunderstanding before, that is, the capital ratio of BOX is fixed according to 51% BTC, 39% EOS, and 10% XIN. In fact, the value of 1BOX is not like this, 1BOX is fixed equal to:

0.0001 BTC;

0.15 EOS;

0.0008 XINs;

That is to say, every time you buy 1 BOX, it is equivalent to buying 0.0001 BTC + 0.15 EOS + 0.0008 XIN. There is a certain gap between these two ways of understanding.

Of course, the price of BOX will also fluctuate with the fluctuations of BTC, EOS, and XIN. According to the value of 1.6USDT on November 11, 2019, the current net value is 2.03, an increase of about 26.88%.

According to Feixiaohao data, BTC has increased by 74.83% in the past year, EOS has increased by -27.79% in the past year, and XIN has increased by -48.98% in the past year.

That is to say, if you only look at the income of EOS+XIN, the price curve of BOX (above) should be in a downward trend, and the reason why the value of BOX has increased from 1.6 to 2.03 is all due to the rise of BTC.

So, I decided to calculate carefully, how big is the difference between simply buying BTC and buying BOX, and BOX and (EOS+XIN) with the same amount of funds.

I took the data for one year, that is, the data from November 11, 2019 to November 11, 2020 (366 days). According to Mr. Li’s 7-year fixed vote, my data can only be used as a reference, or for entertainment~~

secondary title

1. BTC and BOX

My calculation method is to calculate according to the amount of funds of "definitely invest 1BOX every day". If you buy a BOX every day, then you need to spend about 554USDT, you can buy:

0.0367 BTC;

54.9 EOS;

0.293 XINs;

That is, 554 USDT bought 366 BOX, the current market value is 743.86 USDT, and the net yield is 34%.

If the same regular investment method is used to buy BTC with the money bought in BOX every day, it can be bought in one year:

0.06 BTC;

Based on the price of $15,000, the market value of 0.06BTC is 902.4USDT, and the net yield is 63%.

That is to say, the rate of return of pure fixed investment BTC is 1.85 times that of fixed investment BOX.

The price of BOX roughly follows BTC, and BOX only has an upward trend in January-February 2020 that surpasses BTC.

And in the 312 extreme market, we can also see that BOX does not have a higher anti-risk ability, or the ability to disperse risks, than BTC.

secondary title

2. BOX and (EOS+XIN)

As calculated earlier, if you invest one BOX every day, you can buy 366 BOX a year, with a yield of 34%. Let's take a look at the rate of return of fixed investment EOS+XIN.

In the BOX configuration, the ratio of EOS and XIN is roughly 4:1, and we also backtest data according to this ratio of 8:2.

Also according to the investment of 554USDT, you can buy in the past year:

155.6 EOS;

0.635 XINs;

The current market value of these EOS and XIN is about 391USDT (EOS) and 85USDT (XIN), with a total market value of 476USDT.

The rate of return is -14%~~ That is to say, the rise of BOX in the past year is mainly due to the rise of BTC.

Looking at the volatility of EOS, XIN, and BOX, EOS has risen more than BOX several times, and the rise of XIN has almost never surpassed BOX in the past year. In short, XIN has been "slowing its legs"~~

It can also be seen from the decline rate that XIN is also the biggest factor affecting earnings!

Combined with BTC to see the fluctuations of the 4 targets: After the blue line BTC experienced 312, it is a ride away! The pancakes are delicious~~

That is to say, big cakes fit the smile curve. XIN and EOS are still "unable to smile"~~As for BOX, I think it looks more like a slightly wry smile~~🐶

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