After the Bitcoin plummeted, the probability of attracting more has increased, so beware of large-scale killings
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Is it wrong to keep empty positions all the time?
On the contrary, keeping short positions most of the time is the most correct choice
Although the price K-line is beating all the time, more than 70% of the time is invalid fluctuation, which does not give you the opportunity to make profits all the time
Trading is like hunting, and the market is like nature. Sometimes you may squat for several weeks, but you will not be able to kill a rabbit, and you may even hurt yourself. Sometimes you may be able to hunt a cougar casually
The reason for the different results is not the difference in hunting techniques. Hunting rabbits and lions is a process of "aiming" - "shooting". The key factor is "the timing of the appearance of the prey", which sometimes appears at your gunpoint Mostly a rabbit, sometimes a lion, that's all
Ironically, this most important "timing" is not up to us to decide
It doesn't change with your or my emotional likes and dislikes
It's time to show up, it's there, there's no reason
Whether you can catch it or not depends on your ability.
Empty positions are just waiting for the opportunity
Waiting for the prey that appears in the muzzle of one's own gun to appear
Aim, pull the trigger, one hit kill
You shouldn't have put your hand on the trigger when you know there's no prey
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Disk view
The past week has been a volatile market. After a smooth short trend, the continuation of the shock will probably continue the previous trend, that is, the short trend. The shape is as shown in the figure below. You can see that the price has touched the daily line many times. The previous high-supply area of the level showed strong selling orders. Those who bought above 11,000 were fully locked in. At present, there is no hope of paying back. In the short term, the pile of 11,000-12,500 is the top of BTC
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About Yuduo
The main reason why the price cannot go down is that many funds are bearish, and when the market sentiment is unanimously bearish, some force is needed to attract the intervention of reverse forces. This reverse force will weaken the unsteady bearish chips and put They weigh down the car, thus reducing the weight of the empty car
And what can this so-called opposing force do to throw some people off the bus?
The simplest one, a big positive line, directly changes the belief
Advanced point, shock, support raised
In short, all reasons to be bullish can find shadows
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Does the establishment of the top mean the end of the bull market?
This needs to be understood from different perspectives. Technically speaking, the shape is indeed a bearish advantage. Even if the price pulls back to 11,000, it will pay attention to the opportunity to short, and it will be the opportunity to go long if it dips again.
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Now that you know Changniu, why don't you buy it now?
Can I buy it now? It varies from person to person. If you do value investing or don’t care about price fluctuations, of course you can buy it, but this is not in line with my trading principles, so I will wait for a better buying point to reduce my holding costs. Potential profits will be bigger
To sum up, BTC is short-term short-term. Even if it pulls up to 11,000, it will still be short. At present, the opportunity to go long is not good, and the game element is relatively large. The short-term position can focus on the upper edge of the triangle convergence near 10,500, and the short-term support is 10,200. If it falls below, it will accelerate the price. If it falls below 10,000 points in the medium and long term, there will be a deeper downward correction. If it can hold, the price will go higher
