Monitoring by the PPP prediction market tool shows that Polymarket's "Average number of ships transiting the Bab el-Mandeb Strait by end of September less than 25" probability is currently at 9%, down 38% in 24 hours.

This is based on the ship transit data for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait published by IMF Portwatch, specifically the 7-day moving average of "Arrivals of Ships" on September 30, 2026.

The statistical scope includes container ships, dry bulk carriers, roll-on/roll-off ships, general cargo ships, and tankers. Ships not tracked by IMF Portwatch are not included.

If rounded figures in the chart versus the original unrounded figures in the downloadable file affect the final settlement result, the unrounded figures shall prevail.

Settlement can occur once the data is published. If the corresponding data for September 30 is still not published within 14 calendar days thereafter, the latest available data at that time shall be used for settlement.

If the initially published data contains obvious entry or data integrity errors, the market may wait up to the end of the 3rd calendar day after the data is published for an official correction. However, "IMF data differing from other institutions' data" does not count as a data error.

Join the PPP signal push community to stay one step ahead and seize the initiative.

Odaily reports: South Korea's Hana Bank has issued a $100 million, 5-year foreign currency digital bond, directly utilizing the digital financial market infrastructure of Euroclear. This is South Korea's first digital bond issued directly using Euroclear's blockchain infrastructure.

The issuance, registration, and settlement of the bond are all processed on a distributed ledger network, with bond allocation and payment settlement shortened from 3 to 5 business days to same-day. Investors can trade the bond through existing accounts and trading systems via Euroclear's global settlement network. (Cointelegraph)

Odaily News: Prominent prediction market trader @retardmode stated that approximately 61% of Kalshi's disclosed trading volume comes from multi-event combo bets; a combo ticket where a user actually stakes $1 and receives $14.1 if all legs hit would be counted as $14.1 in trading volume. According to their calculations, Kalshi's actual trading volume yesterday was approximately $136 million, while the publicly reported figure was $1.91 billion. Kalshi's crypto business lead IcoBeast responded that perpetual contracts and crypto prediction markets should be viewed separately, and that prediction markets do not have similar market-making rebates; Polymarket trader @CarOnPolymarket estimated that the actual trading volume from the relevant combo bets may be only about 7.1% of the disclosed figure.

According to SoSoValue data, HYPE spot ETFs recorded a net inflow of $3.0645 million during last week's trading days (September 14 to September 18, US Eastern Time).

The HYPE spot ETF with the largest net inflow last week was the 21Shares ETF THYP, with a weekly net inflow of $2.3955 million, bringing THYP's total historical net inflow to $52.69 million; followed by the Grayscale ETF HYPG, with a weekly net inflow of $1.669 million, bringing HYPG's total historical net inflow to $141 million.

The HYPE spot ETF with the largest net outflow last week was the Bitwise ETF BHYP, with a weekly net outflow of $1 million, while BHYP's total historical net inflow reached $145 million.

As of press time, the total net asset value of HYPE spot ETFs stands at $495 million, with the ETF net asset ratio (market value as a percentage of HYPE's total market cap) reaching 2.43%, and cumulative historical net inflows having reached $333 million.

Odaily News: According to SoSoValue data, during last week's trading days (September 14 to September 18, US Eastern Time), XRP spot ETFs recorded net inflows of $9.5592 million.

The XRP spot ETF with the largest net inflow last week was Bitwise ETF XRP, with weekly net inflows of $9.6915 million, bringing its total historical net inflows to $618 million; followed by Franklin Templeton ETF XRPZ, with weekly net inflows of $5.0212 million, bringing its total historical net inflows to $484 million.

The XRP spot ETF with the largest net outflow last week was 21Shares ETF TOXR, with weekly net outflows of $3.7806 million, bringing its total historical net outflows to $21.15 million.

As of press time, the total net asset value of XRP spot ETFs stands at $1.51 billion, with the ETF net asset ratio (market cap as a percentage of XRP's total market cap) reaching 1.71%, and cumulative historical net inflows have reached $1.71 billion.

Odaily News: According to SoSoValue data, during last week's trading days (September 14 to September 18, US Eastern Time), Ethereum spot ETFs recorded net outflows of $140 million.

Last week, the Ethereum spot ETF with the largest net outflow was BlackRock's ETF ETHA, with weekly net outflows of $56,045,600, while ETHA's total historical net inflow currently stands at $12.96 billion; followed by Bitwise ETF ETHW, with weekly net outflows of $33,082,100, while ETHW's total historical net inflow currently stands at $394 million.

Last week, the Ethereum spot ETF with the largest net inflow was Grayscale Ethereum Mini Trust ETH, with weekly net inflows of $16,232,400, while ETH's total historical net inflow currently stands at $1.93 billion.

As of press time, the total net asset value of Ethereum spot ETFs stands at $16.72 billion, the ETF net asset ratio (market value as a proportion of Ethereum's total market value) has reached 5.20%, and cumulative historical net inflows have reached $13.25 billion.

Odaily News: According to SoSoValue data, Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded $6.2137 million in net inflows during last week's trading days (September 14 to September 18, US Eastern Time).

The Bitcoin spot ETF with the largest net inflow last week was BlackRock's ETF IBIT, with weekly net inflows of $121 million, bringing IBIT's total historical net inflows to $64.12 billion. It was followed by Fidelity's ETF FBTC, with weekly net inflows of $79,934,800, bringing FBTC's total historical net inflows to $10.36 billion.

The Bitcoin spot ETF with the largest net outflow last week was Ark & 21Shares ETF ARKB, with weekly net outflows of $142 million. ARKB's total historical net inflows currently stand at $1.08 billion.

As of press time, the total net asset value of Bitcoin spot ETFs stands at $102.53 billion, with the ETF net asset ratio (market value as a proportion of Bitcoin's total market value) reaching 6.29%, and cumulative historical net inflows have reached $55.16 billion.

Odaily reports that according to GMGN market data, the Solana ecosystem Meme coin "+++++" briefly broke through $4 million in market cap, now reported at approximately $3.9 million, with an intraday gain of over 79x.

On the news front, Crypto Waterman stated that Roaring Kitty logged into their "wizard account" today and wrote "+++++", drawing attention from the GME community.

Odaily reminds readers that Meme coins are subject to significant price volatility and are easily influenced by market sentiment and trending events. Please be aware of trading risks.

According to MSX.COM data, BNC stock price has broken above $6.8, currently at $6.88, up 11%.

Earlier news: CZ participated in the BNC renaming voting, supporting "BNB Standard."

Odaily News: On September 16, the U.S. House Financial Services Committee passed the amended H.R. 8957, the "American Reserve Modernization Act," by a vote of 28 to 21, which aims to enshrine the U.S. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve and Digital Asset Reserve program into federal law.

The bill proposes that Bitcoin lawfully held by the federal government and not designated for other statutory purposes be held for at least 20 years from the effective date of the legislation, during which it may not be sold, exchanged, auctioned, pledged as collateral, or otherwise disposed of. The bill still needs to pass the House and Senate and be signed by Trump.

The bill also requires the Treasury Department to establish the relevant reserve within 180 days of the effective date and to publish an annual proof-of-reserves report covering holdings, transactions, and private key control. The Treasury Department and the Commerce Department will study lawful and budget-neutral methods of increasing Bitcoin holdings, but this provision does not authorize direct purchases. (Bitcoin.com News)

Odaily News: IcoBeast.eth, Head of Crypto at Kalshi, posted on X stating that the Artemis chart displays prediction market trading volume share, not perpetual futures trading volume; Kalshi does not offer rebates for crypto prediction markets, and its contract count and notional value calculation methods are consistent with other prediction markets.

Regarding claims that self-clearing members are selected by Kalshi as market makers, IcoBeast.eth stated this is untrue—any institution meeting regulatory requirements can become a self-clearing member of a CFTC-regulated exchange. He noted that exchanges such as CME, Hyperliquid, and Binance all improve liquidity through rebates and incentive programs; Kalshi's perpetual futures business is still in its early stages, and relevant incentive programs must be publicly filed and are available for public review.

Odaily News: According to on-chain analyst Ai Yi's monitoring, BTW has risen 644% since August, with its price climbing from $0.1017 to $0.7572, once again making it onto the 24-hour contract gainers list. A certain address withdrew 5 million BTW from Gate 40 minutes ago, worth $3.71 million, at a withdrawal price of $0.7428.

The mysterious entity that accumulated 150 million BTW on August 20 has seen its position value increase from $51.4 million to $112 million, with an unrealized profit of $58.51 million.

Odaily News: A commit titled "Binary options support" has recently appeared in the codebase of decentralized orderbook exchange platform Lighter, indicating that its ZK Circuits may have begun supporting binary outcome markets (prediction markets). According to the code, each market has a settlement cap (typically 100 for prediction markets), with share prices trading between 0 and that cap, and the market ultimately settling at either 0 or the cap based on the outcome. The mechanism uses full USDC collateralization and does not support leveraged trading, so there is no risk of forced liquidation or liquidation.

Additionally, there are two notable design elements in Lighter's implementation:

First, the Circuits support continuous market settlement, meaning market outcomes can settle at any value between 0 and the cap. This means that in addition to traditional "yes/no" events, it can also support contracts based on actual measured data. For example, a liquidation-free prediction market based on IPO valuation ranges could potentially be launched in the future: users bet on a company's IPO pricing outcome, and the final payout is calculated linearly based on where the actual valuation falls within the range, with minimum and maximum payouts set at the boundaries.

Second, the market creation and settlement mechanism. According to analysis, Lighter may introduce a "market operator" model, allowing whitelisted operators to create, manage, and be responsible for market settlement, similar to the HIP-3 deployment model. This design suggests that Lighter's prediction markets may not be entirely created uniformly by the platform, but rather expanded through authorized operators to broaden market categories.

Odaily reports that according to GMGN data, the market cap of the Solana-based token STONK briefly surpassed $300 million, hitting a new high, currently at $29.9 billion, with a 24-hour gain of 33.78%.

It is reported that Stonk supports users in issuing meme tokens and can pair them with tokenized RWAs including tokenized stocks and Pre-IPO stock tokens. Solana co-founder Anatoly Yakovenko previously retweeted a Stonk-related tweet and posted asking "What is Stonk Token?"

Meme coin prices are highly volatile, and investors are advised to participate with caution.

Odaily reminds users that Meme coin prices are highly volatile, and investors are advised to participate with caution.

Odaily Report: Quantitative analyst Beni posted on X that Kalshi ETH-PERP currently has open interest of approximately $3.1 million, with 24-hour trading volume reaching $538.6 million, equivalent to an average daily turnover of about 174 times the entire open interest position, completing a turnover approximately every 8 minutes and 18 seconds; its largest single position is approximately $17,600.

Beni stated that Kalshi's previously submitted filing to the CFTC shows that eligible self-clearing member market makers can receive a 0.3 basis point rebate, while takers pay 0.3 basis points, resulting in a combined trading cost of 0 basis points for both parties. He also mentioned that Kalshi and Jump Trading had reached a cooperation arrangement exchanging liquidity for equity, and questioned that the platform's method of calculating trading volume by number of contracts traded and displaying it with a dollar sign may cause misunderstanding.

According to Lookonchain monitoring, a whale sold 1,107 Bitcoin worth $86.76 million on Hyperliquid over the past 5 days; subsequently bought 34,400 ETH worth $86.5 million and staked all of it.