Fed Holding Rates Steady Already Priced In by Markets, Three Signals Could Shape Bitcoin's Trajectory

Odaily: The Federal Reserve is about to announce its interest rate decision, after which Fed Chair Kevin Warsh will hold a press conference. Markets expect the Fed to keep the benchmark rate unchanged in the 3.75%–4% range, with investors focused on three key signals: first, whether three or more voting members dissent from holding rates steady and advocate for a hike; second, how Warsh assesses the recent easing of financial conditions and the pullback in U.S. Treasury yields; third, what he says about two consecutive months of above-expectation inflation data, oil prices near $100, and record-high U.S. diesel prices.

If more officials signal a hawkish tilt, or if Warsh views looser financial conditions as exacerbating inflationary pressure, market expectations for future rate hikes could intensify, potentially lending support to the dollar index while weighing on risk assets such as Bitcoin. Ahead of the decision, Bitcoin stood at $81,411, up more than 2% over 24 hours; Ethereum, SOL, and XRP also posted gains of over 2% over the same period. (CoinDesk)