Analysis: Whale Net Accumulation Turns Positive at 5,230 BTC Over 60 Days, Bitcoin Spot Demand Remains Weak

Odaily report: According to XWIN monitoring, Bitcoin on-chain data reveals a divergence between whale behavior and the spot market. Large holders holding 1,000 to 10,000 BTC have seen their 60-day net accumulation shift from a decrease of 62,600 BTC to an increase of 5,230 BTC, with major whales shifting from distribution to accumulation.

Binance's USDT reserves have increased from approximately $790 million to $1.76 billion. US spot buying has not increased in tandem, with the Coinbase Premium Index at approximately negative 0.1416% and exchange net inflows of 8,428 BTC per week. STH-SOPR is approximately 0.9982, with short-term holders still near the break-even point and selling at small losses.

XWIN stated that the market's underlying structure is improving, but a sustainable rebound still requires stronger spot demand. XWIN suggests monitoring whether the Coinbase Premium Index, exchange net flows, and STH-SOPR can rise above 1.