Polymarket's "30-year U.S. Treasury yield hits 6% before 2027" probability is currently at 25%, down 25% in 24 hours

PPP prediction market tool monitoring shows that on Polymarket, the "30-year U.S. Treasury yield hits 6% before 2027" probability is currently at 25%, down 25% in 24 hours.

If the U.S. 30-year Treasury yield reaches or exceeds 6% on any day between September 3 and December 31, 2026, it will be resolved as Yes; otherwise, it will be resolved as No.

The market uses the "30 Yr" column data from the U.S. Department of the Treasury's published "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" as the sole basis for settlement. Once the target value is reached, early settlement may occur; if no qualifying data is published by 23:59 ET on January 14, 2027, and the December 31 data remains unavailable, it will be resolved as No.

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