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Kalshi Market Shows Probability of Bitcoin Reaching $100,000 in 2026 Falls to 34%

Odaily News: In Kalshi's prediction market for Bitcoin's highest price in 2026, the implied probability of the contract for Bitcoin reaching $100,000 within the year is 34%. This probability was 17% on September 16, rose to 43% on September 22, and briefly reached 46% on September 23.

After Bitcoin fell below $83,000, the probability of this contract pulled back. Polymarket prices the probability of Bitcoin reaching $100,000 before December 31, 2026 at 34.5%, and the probability of reaching that level before March 31, 2027 at 50.5%. (Bitcoin.com News)