Citrini analyst jukan: It is highly irrational to extrapolate isolated channel conditions to the entire market

Odaily Planet Daily News: Citrini analyst jukan posted on platform X, stating that some friends asked for his opinion on the Evercore channel survey. Evercore reported that several OEMs admitted they have simultaneously placed orders with both distributors and brokers for the same project due to extended lead times. Even if the three major DRAM manufacturers attempt to eliminate overbooking and duplicate orders, it cannot be completely prevented.

He believes that extrapolating the situation occurring in a few isolated channels to the entire market is highly irrational. He also shared comments from Lynx on Meta's storage procurement on the same day: According to Lynx's survey, Meta is willing to purchase memory and flash storage from major suppliers at spot prices; unlike Apple, Lynx does not expect Meta to complain about high prices and anticipates that Meta has already factored in price increases in its capital expenditure plans.