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QCP: Market Risks Shift from News-Driven to Execution Risk Phase

2026-06-24 10:52

Odaily Odaily reports that the latest macro weekly report from QCP Capital indicates global market risks are shifting from easing geopolitical news to more complex execution risks. Although the U.S. and Iran have signed a memorandum of understanding and Brent crude oil prices have fallen back below $80 per barrel, shipping through the Strait of Hormuz remains disrupted. Meanwhile, the U.S. Federal Reserve has signaled a stronger "higher for longer" stance on interest rates, with the median interest rate forecast for 2026 rising to 3.8%. Additionally, Strategy continues to increase its Bitcoin holdings, but with spot prices below its cost basis, its financing pressure is rising. QCP believes the market is transitioning from short-term sentiment repair to a phase of testing the ability to deliver on fundamentals.