Jiang Zhuoer Analyzes MSTR Capital Structure: BTC Reserves Can Cover Years of Dividend Payments, But Market Sentiment Remains Cautious

Odaily reported that Jiang Zhuoer stated in a post that MicroStrategy (MSTR) currently holds approximately $55 billion in Bitcoin assets, corresponding to an annual dividend payment of about $1.7 billion for its STRC preferred stock. Theoretically, selling BTC could cover dividend requirements for roughly 32 years.

STRC is classified as preferred stock rather than a debt instrument, so there is no traditional mandatory principal repayment pressure. From a financial structure perspective, MSTR does not face "liquidation-style leverage risk" or short-term solvency crises. However, the discussion itself reflects growing market concerns about the company's long-term cash flow and cryptocurrency asset volatility. STRC has already experienced significant discount fluctuations, limiting its refinancing capabilities.

Furthermore, MSTR has recently relied more on issuing common stock (which may dilute BTC per share when mNAV is below 1) to fund its BTC accumulation. This strategy is difficult to sustain over the long term.

Jiang Zhuoer indicated that even if the scale of MSTR's actual BTC sales to pay dividends is relatively small compared to the broader market, the symbolic significance may be more important. It could pressure market confidence and prompt investors to reassess the possibility of "long-term passive BTC selling." Market understanding of this structure is not uniform, and this divergence in perception itself could become an important factor influencing expectations and sentiment.