Expert Analysis: The Content and Effectiveness of the US-Iran Ceasefire Memorandum Are Relatively Limited

According to Odaily, Qin Tian, Deputy Director of the Institute of Middle East Studies at the China Institutes of Contemporary International Relations, stated that based on currently available information, the upcoming US-Iran ceasefire memorandum is likely to be relatively limited in both content and effectiveness, constituting a relatively weak agreement. First, both the US and Iran have their own interpretations and expressions regarding the text of this agreement. Second, the agreement fails to provide a clear and thorough resolution to key contradictions and critical issues between the two sides. These key issues will have to be addressed in the next phase of negotiation and bargaining. Third, potential skirmishes between the two sides, including factors involving Israel, may also disrupt subsequent negotiations. Currently, the military standoff between the US and Iran persists in the Persian Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz. On the battlefield in Lebanon, Israel continues to strike Hezbollah forces in southern Lebanon, which could trigger larger exchanges of fire and conflicts between Iran and Israel. All these factors will negatively impact subsequent negotiations. (CCTV News)