Analysis: US inflation in May returns to "4-handle," war-related inflation peak may have passed (Jin10 Data APP)

Odaily reported that U.S. consumer prices rose at the fastest pace in three years in May, as the conflict in the Middle East pushed up prices for gasoline and other energy products, providing further justification for the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged through 2027.

Data released on Wednesday showed that in the 12-month period ending in May, the CPI rose 4.2% year-over-year, the largest increase since April 2023. Compared to the previous month, prices rose 0.5% month-over-month, following a 0.6% increase in April. The third consecutive month of sharp CPI increases highlights the growing pressure on households, as there are signs that more consumers are dipping into their savings to cover expenses.

Furthermore, inflation has outpaced wage growth for the second consecutive month, which could negatively impact overall economic growth. At the same time, the sharp rise in the cost of living represents a significant political burden for President Trump and his party, as they attempt to maintain control of Congress in the November midterm elections.

John Briggs, Head of U.S. Rates Strategy for North America at Natixis, said that the core inflation monthly rate was slightly more moderate than expected, which may help solidify the argument that the peak of war-related inflation may have passed, and the inflation outlook could improve in the future. Of course, this depends on oil prices remaining stable going forward. (Jin10)