Serenity: Bank of America's bearish argument should be viewed with caution; a flood of negative news often arises because institutions need liquidity

Odaily Odaily reports that Serenity posted on platform X, noting that for those currently citing Bank of America's bearish views, one should remember that in March of this year, Bank of America claimed that EWY/KOSPI, representing South Korean memory chip stocks like SK hynix and Samsung, was in an extreme bubble state. At that time, Bank of America attributed the rise to retail investors, implied they should sell South Korean memory chip stocks, and even compared the situation to the 2008 financial crisis, the internet bubble, and the decline in silver prices. Serenity stated that shortly after retail investors sold their long positions, memory chip stocks instead surged to all-time highs.

Serenity remarked that institutions are not your friends; typically, when an unusually large amount of negative news emerges, it is because institutions need liquidity. Previously, BofA Securities indicated that investors should remain cautious about US stocks, as a growing number of bear market signals suggest the market is approaching a top. A team of strategists led by Savita Subramanian wrote in a report dated June 5 that approximately 70% of bear market signals have now been triggered, consistent with the average level seen at historical market tops. The S&P 500 shows statistically significant overvaluation in 17 out of 20 valuation metrics, with 8 of these metrics exceeding levels seen during the tech bubble. Furthermore, high price-to-earnings ratio stocks have significantly outperformed low-valuation stocks, which strategists view as a sign of excessive speculation. Within the tech sector, the gap between the best and worst-performing quintiles has widened to its highest level since February 2000.