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Capital Economics: Non-Farm Payroll Report Not as Strong as It Appears on the Surface

2026-04-03 14:10

Odaily News Capital Economics' Stephen Brown stated that the stronger-than-expected rebound in March non-farm payrolls primarily reflects the end of strikes in the healthcare sector and weather-related hiring disruptions in February, rather than a signal of rapid labor market recovery. He noted: "While rising oil prices may ultimately support employment in the mining sector, the more immediate risk is that reduced consumer purchasing power will dampen demand, thereby affecting hiring in the short term." On the other hand, the information sector declined again, and employment in financial services also fell, further confirming the trend of artificial intelligence suppressing hiring in certain industries. Notably, the professional services sector added only 2,000 new positions, while computer systems design jobs decreased by 13,200. (Jin10)