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Real Vision founder: Bitcoin may enter a five-year cycle, expected to peak in Q2 2026
2025-09-25 05:15

According to Odaily Planet Daily, Real Vision co-founder and CEO Raoul Pal stated in his latest podcast that Bitcoin's performance is mirroring the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) index, with interest rates following suit. The US Treasury extended the weighted average maturity of debt from four years to five years between 2021 and 2022, prolonging the original four-year cycle to a five-year cycle. He predicts the ISM will peak in 2026, potentially leading to an early inflection point in liquidity, and therefore Bitcoin's true peak is likely to occur in the second quarter of 2026.