According to CME's "Fed Watch," the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve this week is 96.1%, and the probability of a 50 basis point cut is 3.9%. The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in October is 20.1%, the probability of a 50 basis point cut is 76.8%, and the probability of a 75 basis point cut is 3.1%.