Risk Warning: Beware of illegal fundraising in the name of 'virtual currency' and 'blockchain'. — Five departments including the Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission
Information
Discover
Search
Login
简中
繁中
English
日本語
한국어
ภาษาไทย
Tiếng Việt
BTC
ETH
HTX
SOL
BNB
View Market
Powell will speak on Friday night, and some traders have lowered their expectations for a rate cut
2025-08-20 02:23

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will deliver a key speech at the annual gathering in Wyoming on Friday evening Beijing time. Meanwhile, the latest higher-than-expected inflation data has prompted some traders to lower their expectations for a rate cut, while still maintaining their prediction of a rate cut next month.

Ian Lyngen, head of U.S. rates strategy at BMO Capital Markets, said in a research note, "As the market prepares for Powell's speech at Jackson Hole, the biggest risk facing U.S. Treasuries is that the Fed chairman may pour cold water on the widely expected September rate cut."

Currently, approximately 325,000 options positions (costing approximately $10 million) could potentially generate profits of up to $100 million if the Fed correctly predicts a 50 basis point rate cut at its September meeting. Furthermore, current market pricing indicates an approximately 80% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at the September 16-17 meeting. (Jinshi)