QCP: The Fed is expected to keep interest rates unchanged this week, and market volatility will remain at a high level

Odaily News QCP posted on its official channel that last weekend, a BTC whale opened a $400 million BTC short position, which triggered market volatility on Sunday, and some groups tried to push for the liquidation of this 40x high leverage position, which only required a 2.5% price change. Despite these efforts, the position has not been liquidated and has accumulated nearly $400,000 in funding fees.
Despite the volatile market sentiment, BTC has remained above $80,000, showing resilience compared to US stocks. In contrast, US stock index futures opened lower this morning, affected by the growing concerns about a recession. Earlier, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said that the possibility of a recession cannot be ruled out, which is consistent with Trump's previous remarks. The market will focus on US retail sales data released tonight to determine whether the 0.9% decline in retail sales in January is an early sign of a slowdown in consumer spending, or just a correction after the 2024 holiday consumption peak season.
As the current crypto market lacks a strong narrative driver, the market focus remains on US stocks. Last week, the US CPI data was lower than expected, which temporarily eased market tensions, but the Fed is unlikely to turn dovish in the short term. As tariff risks and inflation concerns remain, expectations for rate cuts remain unclear. Therefore, we expect the Fed to keep interest rates unchanged at the FOMC meeting this Wednesday. However, as the market is looking for any clues about the future policy direction of the Fed, especially under the uncertainty of Trump's policy changes, market volatility is expected to remain at a high level.