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Analysts: The market is focusing on whether the Federal Reserve will suspend interest rate hikes in January next year and how to convey the potential change in attitude of "hawkish interest rate cuts"

2024-12-18 01:35

Odaily星球日报讯 SPI Asset Management 分析师 Stephen Innes 表示,尽管市场参与者普遍认为,进一步降息和强劲的盈利增长将共存,但这些因素并不一定相互依存。

人们普遍预计美联储将降息 25 个基点,但此后的走势仍不明朗。无论如何,美元、股市和债市随后的走势在很大程度上取决于美联储即将发布的指引,而不是周三降息本身。关键问题在于,美联储是否会在明年 1 月 FOMC 会议上发出暂停加息的信号。我的观点倾向于肯定。然而,真正的焦点在于美联储将如何明确地传达这种潜在的转变,并确认“鹰派降息”。(金十)