SignalPlus Volatility Column (20240325): Call options were sold off at the end of March


Atlanta Fed President Bostic spoke on Friday and said he expected only one rate cut in 2024, and that it would happen later this year. He mentioned that he was less confident that inflation would continue to fall toward the 2% target than he had in December. The U.S. dollar index continues to strengthen and is now at 104.33 as the market begins to consider the possibility that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates later. The 10-year U.S. Treasury note fell back below 4.2% before rebounding slightly, at 4.235%, while the two-year U.S. bond fluctuated slightly above 4.6%, at 4.621%. Markets this week will focus on a new round of U.S. PCE data due on Friday, which will shed light on the near-term trajectory of inflation.
Source: SignalPlus, Economic Calendar,the US PCE data is coming
Source: Binance & TradingView
In terms of digital currencies, the price of BTC rebounded from 63,000 to around 67,000, but has not yet broken through the shock range of the past week. Call options were sold heavily at the end of March, and a similar situation can be seen on ETH. At the same time, the price of the two currencies in early April Both IVs fell, forming local IV lows.
On the other hand, buying April 68000 60000 put options has become a hot spot in the BTC market in the past 24 hours; but looking at ETH, the bullish strategy in April has become its main theme in the past day, with transactions concentrated around the 3800/3900 exercise price. .

Source: Deribit (as of 25 MAR 16:00 UTC+8)
Source: SignalPlus
Source: SignalPlus
Data Source: Deribit, ETH transaction distribution
Data Source: Deribit, BTC transaction distribution

Source: Deribit Block Trade

Source: Deribit Block Trade

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