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The Real Culprit Behind the Crypto Crash: The Warsh Effect
Following the nomination of the new Fed Chair, the outflow from ETFs led to consecutive liquidations.
2026-02-01 09:12
BTC
finance
policy
currency
Solana
The Real Culprit Behind the Crypto Crash: The Warsh Effect
M a r k e t A n a l y s i s
$2.5 Billion Liquidated: Crypto Market Cursed with 'Following Drops, Not Rallies'
BTC Breaks Below Three-Month Trading Range; ETH Erases Six Months of Gains; The '1011 Insider' Who Rose to Fame Months Ago Suffers $700 Million Liquidation, Account Balance at 50.
2026-02-01 08:59
BTC
ETH
$2.5 Billion Liquidated: Crypto Market Cursed with 'Following Drops, Not Rallies'
Weekly Editor's Picks (0124-0130)
Top-tier in-depth analysis articles and a catch-up on the week's hot topics.
2026-01-31 12:11
finance
invest
policy
currency
Prediction Market
Weekly Editor's Picks (0124-0130)
Tiger Research: Driven by a Liquidity Vacuum Leading to Sharp Sell-offs, Why Has Bitcoin Failed to Rebound?
Behind the two rounds of declines lies a common underlying cause: the continuous contraction in trading volume across Bitcoin spot and futures markets.
2026-02-01 19:45
BTC
invest
policy
AI
Trump
Tiger Research: Driven by a Liquidity Vacuum Leading to Sharp Sell-offs, Why Has Bitcoin Failed to Rebound?
Matrixport Research: Bitcoin Falls into Bear Market Territory, Could a Weakening Dollar Become the Next Pivot?
"The structurally weak pattern remains unchanged, but the shift in the dollar trend is becoming a key variable."
2026-02-01 19:09
invest
USDC
Matrixport Research: Bitcoin Falls into Bear Market Territory, Could a Weakening Dollar Become the Next Pivot?
Ellison获释后SBF发布多条推文力挺特朗普加密立场并抨击拜登

Odaily reported that SBF's X account has recently posted a series of messages, stating that U.S. President Trump is correct on cryptocurrency issues, while Biden has messed up cryptocurrency. It is reported that this series of posts was published just days after the release of former Alameda Research CEO Caroline Ellison. Additionally, SBF praised Trump's actions on issues beyond cryptocurrency, while claiming that "all world leaders I've met are fed up with Biden, and he chose Gary Gensler as the SEC Chairman." According to data from the crypto prediction platform Polymarket, traders currently believe there is a 17% chance that Trump will pardon SBF before 2027.

2026-02-01 18:49
News
Ellison获释后SBF发布多条推文力挺特朗普加密立场并抨击拜登
Analysts: Profit-Taking and Hedging Activities May Fuel Sell-Off in Precious Metals Like Gold and Silver

Odaily News The sharp decline in gold and silver this week began with reports that Trump would nominate Warsh as the new Federal Reserve Chairman. Dirk Malakhi, Managing Director of SLC Management, stated that Warsh's track record carries a hawkish tone, which reduces the risk of a broad-based depreciation of the US dollar. The market is returning to an orderly monetary policy track. Additionally, analysts mentioned that traders engaging in rapid profit-taking at month-end, or banks conducting hedging operations to guard against the impact of sudden declines, may have also contributed to this precious metals sell-off. Adrian Ash, Head of Research at BullionVault, said he has been involved in the precious metals market for 20 years and has never seen a situation like the current one. However, he downplayed the possibility of retail investors suddenly withdrawing funds on Friday and pointed to similar anomalous movements in base metal markets like copper, such as copper futures falling 4.5% on Friday. Ash also stated that looking only at gold and silver, it's easy to attribute this to retail frenzy, but the base metals market has no retail participation. (Jin10)

2026-02-01 16:19
News
Analysts: Profit-Taking and Hedging Activities May Fuel Sell-Off in Precious Metals Like Gold and Silver
2026-02-01 16:05
airdrop
Airdrop Weekly Report|Aster to Begin Phase 6 Airdrop on February 2; Meteora Airdrop Closes, 9.8% of Total Supply Unclaimed (Jan 26 - Feb 1)
Must-Watch Events Next Week|White House to Convene Banks and Crypto Industry for CLARITY Talks; Strategy to Release Q4 Earnings (Feb 2-8)
Reserve Bank of Australia, Bank of England, and European Central Bank to Announce Interest Rate Decisions; US to Release January Non-Farm Payroll Data.
2026-02-01 10:45
finance
policy
airdrop
Trump
Strategy
Must-Watch Events Next Week|White House to Convene Banks and Crypto Industry for CLARITY Talks; Strategy to Release Q4 Earnings (Feb 2-8)
Weekly Token Unlocks: HYPE to Unlock Tokens Worth Approximately $300 Million
This week, HYPE and ENA will unlock tokens representing about 2.9% and 2.8% of their circulating supply, respectively.
2026-02-01 10:15
invest
Weekly Token Unlocks: HYPE to Unlock Tokens Worth Approximately $300 Million
Santiment: Market Sentiment Hits Yearly Low, Institutional Deployment Shows Unwavering Long-Term Confidence, Signaling Bullish Signs

Odaily According to a latest report from crypto data analytics platform Santiment, the crypto market sentiment indicator "Fear and Greed Index" dropped to 16 on Friday, marking its lowest level since 2026 and the first time it has entered this range since mid-December last year. It has since rebounded slightly to 20. Currently, bearish sentiment on social media far outweighs bullish views. However, this extreme negativity itself constitutes one of the few remaining strong bullish signals with reference value, as historical experience shows that when the market widely expects prices to continue falling, it often sets the stage for subsequent rebounds. Sustained fear may be laying the groundwork for a market reversal. Coinbase Chief Business Officer Shan Aggarwal pointed out that despite weak market sentiment, traditional financial institutions including Mastercard, PayPal, American Express, and JPMorgan are continuously posting crypto-related job openings, indicating that industry infrastructure development is still progressing.

2026-01-31 17:54
News
Santiment: Market Sentiment Hits Yearly Low, Institutional Deployment Shows Unwavering Long-Term Confidence, Signaling Bullish Signs
Caixin: Beijing Man Sentenced to 3 Years and 10 Months for Participating in US "Pig Butchering" Money Laundering, Ordered to Pay 187 Million Yuan in Restitution

Odaily News A Beijing man, Su Jingliang, was sentenced to 46 months in prison and ordered to pay restitution amounting to $26.87 million (approximately 187 million yuan) for his involvement in laundering over $36.9 million (approximately 256 million yuan) from "pig butchering" telecom fraud. US authorities previously dismantled a transnational fraud and money laundering ring. The perpetrators built trust with victims via social media or dating apps, then lured them into fake cryptocurrency trading platforms for so-called "investments." Funds from 174 US victims flowed into accounts of 74 shell companies registered in the US. Once the funds were received, they were converted into Tether (USDT).

It is reported that within this "pig butchering" telecom fraud chain, Su Jingliang played a key role as the "accountant." He communicated with employees of Deltec Bank via the encrypted messaging app Telegram, received funds from front-end shell companies in the US, and directed the bank to swiftly convert the incoming US dollar assets into the stablecoin USDT. These were then sent to specific cryptocurrency wallets starting with "TRteo," with the funds ultimately flowing to fraud dens in Southeast Asia. (Caixin)

2026-01-31 17:48
News
Caixin: Beijing Man Sentenced to 3 Years and 10 Months for Participating in US "Pig Butchering" Money Laundering, Ordered to Pay 187 Million Yuan in Restitution
U.S. Government Enters Technical Shutdown, Bitcoin Falls Below $83,000, Raising Market Caution for Increased Volatility Next Week

Odaily News As the U.S. government enters a partial shutdown due to the failure to pass a budget bill before the deadline, sentiment in the crypto market has turned cautious, putting pressure on the prices of Bitcoin and Ethereum. BTC has just fallen below $83,000. Although the Senate has passed a temporary funding bill, the House of Representatives needs to vote after reconvening on Monday, resulting in a technical shutdown of the government over the weekend. Traders have already begun preparing defensive strategies ahead of the House vote next Monday. Analysis suggests that the shutdown itself has limited impact on the economy, but combined with low weekend liquidity and a dense flow of political news, it may increase short-term volatility risks in the crypto market. (CoinDesk)

2026-01-31 17:40
News
U.S. Government Enters Technical Shutdown, Bitcoin Falls Below $83,000, Raising Market Caution for Increased Volatility Next Week
Analysis: Walsh will not be influenced by the White House and will maintain a certain balance in the Fed's dual mandate

Odaily News Spartan Capital Securities Chief Market Strategist Peter Cardillo stated, "I don't want to say that Walsh's nomination as the new Fed Chair is a complete surprise. He has always been considered hawkish, but recently he seems to have aligned more with Trump's stance, making it a bit difficult to assess how the market will receive this nomination. We just need to observe whether he will be influenced by the White House. My guess is that he won't; he will examine issues very prudently and maintain a certain balance regarding inflation and the labor market. He may not be as resolute as Powell, but he won't be far off." (Jin10)

2026-01-31 16:37
News
Analysis: Walsh will not be influenced by the White House and will maintain a certain balance in the Fed's dual mandate
Analysis: Bitcoin Options Sentiment Turns Bearish, Market Expectations for a Drop Below $80,000 Increase

Odaily According to Cointelegraph, as spot Bitcoin ETF outflows continue, the Bitcoin options market is sending clear bearish signals, with market expectations for BTC to fall below $80,000 on the rise. In the derivatives market, the Bitcoin options delta skew indicator surged to 17%, hitting a new high in over a year, significantly above the typical neutral market level of no more than 6%, reflecting extreme risk aversion. Additionally, the total open interest in Bitcoin futures has dropped to $46 billion, down notably from the peak of $58 billion three months ago, indicating that excessive leverage is being gradually unwound. Overall, sentiment in the Bitcoin derivatives market remains cautious. Analysis suggests that whether Bitcoin can reclaim the $87,000 level may depend on whether market risk appetite recovers after macroeconomic uncertainties ease. (Cointelegraph)

2026-01-31 16:08
News
Analysis: Bitcoin Options Sentiment Turns Bearish, Market Expectations for a Drop Below $80,000 Increase
Polymarket and Kalshi Diverge Due to Definitional Differences, US Government Shutdown Gamble Highlights Prediction Market 'Definition Precision' Issues

Odaily News As the US Congress failed to complete all legislative procedures for the appropriations bill, the US government is expected to enter a short-term, partial shutdown starting Saturday, Eastern Time. However, this event also highlights the issue of contract "definition precision" in prediction markets. Prediction contracts regarding "whether the government will shut down" on Polymarket and Kalshi have diverged due to different trigger condition definitions. Related contracts on Polymarket show a government shutdown probability of approximately 88%, while a similar contract on Kalshi shows a probability as high as about 93%. The reason may be that some contracts use whether the US Office of Personnel Management (OPM) officially announces a shutdown as the settlement basis, considering it valid even if it's only a partial shutdown. This event underscores that in political and macroeconomic events, prediction markets are highly sensitive to contract trigger conditions, the official confirming entity, and timing nodes. The contract details themselves have become a significant factor influencing the odds. (CoinDesk)

2026-01-31 16:02
News
Polymarket and Kalshi Diverge Due to Definitional Differences, US Government Shutdown Gamble Highlights Prediction Market 'Definition Precision' Issues
CZ Unfollows Solana Co-founder Toly's X Account

Odaily News CZ has currently unfollowed Solana co-founder Toly's X account.

2026-01-31 15:11
News
CZ Unfollows Solana Co-founder Toly's X Account
Judge Rules $29 Billion Insider Trading Lawsuit Involving Coinbase CEO and Other Directors to Proceed

Odaily News A judge in Delaware, USA, has ruled that a shareholder lawsuit alleging insider trading by multiple directors of Coinbase Global Inc., including venture capitalist Marc Andreessen, can proceed for now. This comes after an internal investigation previously concluded that the defendants had not engaged in any wrongdoing.

Shareholders of the crypto platform filed the lawsuit in 2023, accusing directors, including CEO Brian Armstrong, of using confidential information to sell over $29 billion worth of stock during the company's 2021 public listing, thereby avoiding losses exceeding $10 billion. According to the shareholder complaint, Armstrong, who has led Coinbase since its founding in 2012, sold $291.8 million worth of stock.

Judge Kathaleen St. J. McCormick on Friday denied a motion to dismiss the lawsuit filed by the internal committee that investigated the matter, citing a conflict of interest involving one of the committee members. However, Judge McCormick noted that the directors might ultimately prevail, as the special litigation committee's report "paints a compelling narrative" supporting their defense.

The derivative lawsuit filed by shareholders against Armstrong, Andreessen, and other executives centers on Coinbase's choice to go public via a direct listing rather than an initial public offering (IPO). A direct listing does not involve issuing new shares to raise capital, thus avoiding dilution of existing holdings and eliminating the need for a lock-up period that typically restricts existing investors from trading their shares for a set duration.

The complaint alleges that Andreessen, who has served on Coinbase's board since 2020, sold $118.7 million worth of stock in the direct listing through his Silicon Valley venture capital firm, Andreessen Horowitz. The shareholders' lawyers accuse the directors of selling shares to avoid losses based on confidential valuation information indicating the company's stock was overvalued.

Lawyers for the directors deny that their clients engaged in insider trading. They argue that the shareholder plaintiffs failed to provide evidence proving the defendants possessed material non-public information and that such information was the reason for their stock sales. (Bloomberg)

2026-01-31 15:08
News
Judge Rules $29 Billion Insider Trading Lawsuit Involving Coinbase CEO and Other Directors to Proceed
Base Chain Ecosystem Token CLAWNCH Surges Over 270 Times Intraday, Market Cap Briefly Breaks $9.7 Million

Odaily News According to GMGN data, the Base chain ecosystem token CLAWNCH once surged over 270 times intraday, with its market cap briefly soaring past $9.7 million before retreating to approximately $8 million.

Odaily reminds users that Meme coin prices are highly volatile; investors should be aware of the risks.

CLAWNCH originates from the creative combination of "Claw" and "Launch" and is a Meme launch platform specifically designed for AI agents on moltbook. Its core narrative lies in being a Meme that is entirely autonomously chatted, developed, and launched by AI agents, with no human intervention.

2026-01-31 14:50
News
Base Chain Ecosystem Token CLAWNCH Surges Over 270 Times Intraday, Market Cap Briefly Breaks $9.7 Million
Fed Reserve Chair Nominee Warsh Exposed in Epstein Case

Odaily According to Yahoo Finance, Kevin Warsh, nominated by U.S. President Trump for the position of Federal Reserve Chair, had his name appear in the latest Epstein case documents released by the U.S. government on Friday. The documents show that Warsh's name was listed on the email guest list for the "2010 St. Barts Christmas" event, which also included figures such as Russian oligarch Roman Abramovich; furthermore, he had also attended a dinner hosted by British aristocrat William Astor. This exposure coincided with the same day Warsh was nominated for the Federal Reserve Chair position. Previously, his main controversy was his relationship with Republican donor Ronald Lauder, who was accused of influencing Trump's interest in Greenland during his first term and holding commercial interests there. Currently, Warsh may need to address his relationship with Epstein and his 2010 Christmas itinerary, with outside attention also focused on whether Trump's nomination is related to them belonging to the same social circle. (Jin10)

2026-01-31 13:37
News
Fed Reserve Chair Nominee Warsh Exposed in Epstein Case
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What Kind of Person Can Truly Survive Bull and Bear Markets? In your experiences navigating bull and bear cycles, what is the most essential trait of those who ultimately "survive"—the true survivors? After reading picklecat's article, the question that had long been dormant in my mind finally found a clear answer. 1. The Eternal Illusion Named "This Time Is Different" "This time is different!"—The survivors of 2013 heard this when they bought their first Bitcoin; by the peak of the 2021 bull market, this phrase echoed in their ears once more; even now, it still whispers like a ghost, a familiar specter returning. The only difference is that the people saying it have changed, generation after generation. Reflecting on when I first traded memecoins, the same thought was spinning in my head—"This time is different!" Back then, I had just transitioned from the A-share market to Crypto, carrying the A-share belief of "spot holdings don't fear being trapped; the more it falls, the more you buy." I converted a lot of money into SOL and then, like scattering sesame seeds, threw a few, a dozen SOL into various pools with bizarre names. At the time, I only thought, "This coin is only $0.00001; if it rises to $0.0001, that's a 10x." Simple arithmetic replaced complex thinking. My wallet still holds remnants of those乱七八糟 (messy) names; their very existence feels absurd to me now. Their lifecycle wasn't measured in days or months, but in minutes and hours. At a certain point, the project teams stopped updating, and the "shared dreams" and "let's build together" in the groups quickly turned into mutual accusations and the lament of "when will the price pump?" That was the first time I truly felt that in Crypto, "going to zero" isn't an exaggerated figure of speech, but a physical reality happening in countless wallets every single day. 2. The Most Expensive Lesson: The Fantasy of "Insider Info" An even more ironic lesson came from my most trusted circle. When my meme trading losses made me start questioning life itself, a close buddy approached me. "This time is really different," he said mysteriously. "I know someone from the project team. It's listing on a major exchange next month. Internal price. Guaranteed profit." You can guess the ending. I invested the money, but that project never launched. My "close buddy" later told me he got scammed too. That sum of money became the most expensive lesson of my crypto career (so far)—it completely bought out my last shred of fantasy about "insider information." 3. The Survivor's "Aura": Clarity Born from Pain Over the years, I've excavated, like an archaeologist, the mistakes made by myself and those vanished friends. Gradually, I've come to see that those who can navigate one bull-bear cycle after another emit a similar kind of "aura." It's not an aura of luck, but a complex human texture, a blend of pain and clarity. First, they possess an instinctive reverence for numbers and a clear perception of scale. While I was haphazardly throwing SOL around, the survivors were calculating fully diluted valuations, checking on-chain holder distribution, and asking, "If everyone sold, how much capital would be needed to absorb it?" They don't just look at price; they look at market cap. They don't just look at percentage gains; they look at liquidity depth. They know that for a coin with a $100 million market cap to 10x is at least 100 times harder than for a coin with a $10 million market cap to 10x. Second, they have the ability to distinguish between "consensus" and "narrative" with surgical precision. While I was getting热血沸腾 (fired up) by narratives of "to the moon" and "the stars and the sea," they were observing: Are people actually using this protocol, or are they just speculating? When the incentives stop, how many will remain? They use the "韭菜5问" (Five Questions for the Newbie) from @0xPickleCat's article to interrogate every trending project: Are there outsiders involved? Can it pass the incentive decay test? Has it formed a daily habit? Are users willing to tolerate temporary shortcomings for its advantages? Is anyone willing to contribute out of pure passion? Third, their understanding of "trust" is as cold as ice. Only after my "close buddy" scam did I understand that in crypto, trust must be placed on verifiable on-chain behavior and long-term, consistent reputation, not on private whispers of "I'm only telling you." Fourth, they have a system of behavior that works "against themselves." This is the most crucial point. They are deeply aware of their emotional weaknesses—fear, greed, FOMO, revenge trading—and during calm market periods, they preset a roadmap of action for moments of emotional失控 (loss of control). "If it drops 30%, I reduce my position by 25%, instead of averaging down." "Any buy decision must cool down for 24 hours before execution." "If a single loss exceeds 2% of total capital, stop all trading for the day." These rules aren't dogma written on paper; they are muscle memory etched into their trading instincts. Their faith is built on quicksand, yet as solid as a rock. This sounds contradictory, but that's precisely the key. Their "faith" in a particular token or protocol is built upon a清醒的认知 (sober awareness) of its potential for failure. They embrace uncertainty. Therefore, their persistence isn't blind loyalty, but the mature mindset of "I am willing to bet on this possibility and bear the full consequences." Their faith allows them to calmly state opposing viewpoints, not狂热地 (fanatically) eliminate dissent. The crypto market is the most effective "human nature filter" on this planet. It doesn't filter for the smartest, only the most resilient. It doesn't filter for those best at making money, only those who best understand how not to lose it. I also want to ask everyone: In your experiences navigating bull and bear markets, what is the single most core trait you have observed in those who "survived"? Is it extreme冷静 (calmness)? Is it risk aversion? Is it being a learning machine? Is it the endurance of孤独 (solitude)? Or is it decisive action? 同时 (At the same time), if, as you read this, the face of a friend who embodies these traits comes to mind, please forward this article to them with a note: "I think you are this kind of person." Because in this field注定 (destined) for the majority to become fuel, identifying and drawing closer to those同类 (kindred spirits) who can survive long-term is, in itself, one of the most crucial survival skills.
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