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Prediction market Q2 notional trading volume reached $113.8 billion, a record high

2026-07-16 13:08
Odaily Planet Daily News: CoinGecko's latest Crypto Industry Report shows that in the second quarter of 2026, the notional trading volume of the prediction market reached $113.8 billion, setting a new single-quarter record; during the same period, the spot CEX, perpetual futures, and stablecoin markets all experienced a decline.

In the second quarter, the top ten centralized exchanges saw spot trading volume of $1.95 trillion, a 27.9% decrease from $2.7 trillion in the first quarter; CEX perpetual futures trading volume fell 10% to $12.7 trillion, and the stablecoin market shrank 1.6% to $305.1 billion.

Binance's spot CEX market share in the second quarter rose to 38.7%. Trading volume on the top ten spot DEXs fell from $556.4 billion in the first quarter to $408.9 billion, with Uniswap leading at a 41.2% market share.

The prediction market's notional trading volume in June reached $50.7 billion, an increase of 91.9% compared to the average of the previous five months. Kalshi led the market in the second quarter with a 58.9% share, while Polymarket's share decreased from 35.8% to 30.2%.