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Tom Lee: Probability of September rate hike drops below 40% after jobs report

2026-08-07 15:30

Odaily News - Tom Lee posted on Platform X, stating that the market's strongly "dovish" reaction to the July jobs report is another example: the market suffers from "inflation confusion syndrome." His view is that inflation is on a downward path. The market was previously impatient and overly hawkish. Following the jobs report, the probability of a September rate hike fell to below 40%, compared to 75% two weeks ago, and many economists had previously advocated for an early rate hike. Do not fight the last war.

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