Prediction market Q2 notional trading volume reaches $113.8 billion, setting a new all-time high
2026-07-16 13:08
Odaily Odaily Planet Daily News The latest Crypto Industry Report from CoinGecko shows that the notional trading volume of prediction markets in the second quarter of 2026 reached $113.8 billion, setting a new single-quarter record; during the same period, the market sizes of spot CEXs, perpetual futures, and stablecoins all declined.
The spot trading volume of the top ten centralized exchanges in the second quarter was $1.95 trillion, down 27.9% from $2.7 trillion in the first quarter; CEX perpetual futures trading volume fell 10% to $12.7 trillion, and the stablecoin market size decreased 1.6% to $305.1 billion.
Binance’s spot CEX market share in the second quarter rose to 38.7%. The trading volume of the top ten spot DEXs fell from $556.4 billion in the first quarter to $408.9 billion, with Uniswap leading at a 41.2% market share.
Prediction market notional trading volume in June reached $50.7 billion, an increase of 91.9% compared to the average of the previous five months. Kalshi led in the second quarter with a 58.9% market share, while Polymarket’s share fell from 35.8% to 30.2%.
The spot trading volume of the top ten centralized exchanges in the second quarter was $1.95 trillion, down 27.9% from $2.7 trillion in the first quarter; CEX perpetual futures trading volume fell 10% to $12.7 trillion, and the stablecoin market size decreased 1.6% to $305.1 billion.
Binance’s spot CEX market share in the second quarter rose to 38.7%. The trading volume of the top ten spot DEXs fell from $556.4 billion in the first quarter to $408.9 billion, with Uniswap leading at a 41.2% market share.
Prediction market notional trading volume in June reached $50.7 billion, an increase of 91.9% compared to the average of the previous five months. Kalshi led in the second quarter with a 58.9% market share, while Polymarket’s share fell from 35.8% to 30.2%.
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